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Despite Forecasts, Most Americans Believe US Economy Is Still in Recession and Fear the Worst Is Yet to Come

 

- 53% say the economy is in trouble, while 45% expect it to get worse, according to new StrategyOne survey -

NEW YORK, Dec. 17 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Despite some signs and predictions that the U.S. economy is rebounding, most Americans' opinion of the economy has remained steady since the summer, with 53% saying they believe the economy is in trouble, and 45% feeling the economy has not yet bottomed out and will still get worse (vs. 49% in July). The survey conducted by StrategyOne also indicates that the recession is taking an emotional toll, with two-thirds of Americans saying the recession has significantly changed their general outlook on life.

When asked to describe the current state of the US economy, 41% say it is in a deep recession and another 12% believe the economy is in a 1930's-style economic depression. Just over one-third (34%) say the economy is in a mild recession, while only 5% of Americans say the economy is doing fine.

"Despite some indications suggesting the economy is strengthening, Americans are as concerned as they were in July that the current slowdown will become a protracted problem that doesn't have an immediate end in sight," said Bradley Honan, Senior Vice President of StrategyOne. "With consumer spending accounting for two thirds of the economic activity in the country, these feelings could turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy."

Less than one-third (30%) today say the economy has bottomed out and is getting better, with 28% feeling that way in July 2009. Lastly, while 18% today believe the economy is at the bottom and is getting neither better nor worse, 21% felt that way in July.

To the extent some believe the economy is recovering, it is a feeling that is particularly pronounced among high income earners and households.

Only 25% of those living in households making less than $50,000 annually believe the economy has hit bottom and is getting better. By contrast, 36% of those in households making $100,000 or more report the economy has hit bottom and is now getting better.

Regardless of current sentiment about where the economy stands today, it is clear that the downturn has altered our national outlook and psyche. Thirty percent report that the current recession has changed their general outlook on life very significantly and another 38% say it has done so somewhat significantly. By contrast, just 29% report that the economic recession has either not very significantly or not significantly at all changed their general outlook on life.

"There clearly will be psychological implications from the economic downturn in terms of how consumers behave," said Honan. "How quickly businesses adapt to these new realities will go a long way towards determining how fast we recover economically from this most recent recession."

Question Text & Data:

Now thinking about the nation's economy, do you believe the economy . . .

View chart


    Answer                                          July 2009    Nov. 2009
    ------                                          ---------    ---------
    Has already hit bottom and is GETTING BETTER             28%          30%
    --------------------------------------------            ---          ---
    Is at bottom and NOT getting BETTER OR WORSE             21%          18%
    --------------------------------------------            ---          ---
    Or, has not yet bottomed out and WILL GET WORSE          49%          45%
    -----------------------------------------------         ---          ---
    Don't know (Volunteered Answer Choice)                    2%           7%
    --------------------------------------                  ---          ---

Which of the following best describes your view of the US economy. Is it . . .

View chart


    Answer                                       Nov. 2009
    ------                                       ---------
    Doing fine                                             5%
    ----------                                           ---
    In a mild recession                                   34%
    -------------------                                  ---
    In a deep recession                                   41%
    -------------------                                  ---
    In a 1930's style economic depression                 12%
    -------------------------------------                ---
    Don't know (Volunteered Answer Choice)                 8%
    --------------------------------------               ---

How significantly has the current economic recession changed your general outlook on life?

View chart


    Answer                                       Nov. 2009
    ------                                       ---------
    Very significantly                                    30%
    ------------------                                   ---
    Somewhat significantly                                38%
    ----------------------                               ---
    Not very significantly                                15%
    ----------------------                               ---
    Not significantly                                     14%
    -----------------                                    ---
    Don't know (Volunteered Answer Choice)                 3%
    --------------------------------------               ---

Survey Methodology:

StrategyOne conducted 1,005 telephone interviews among a representative sample of Americans. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.09%. Interviews were conducted between November 17 and 22, 2009. Statistical weights were designed from the United States Census Bureau statistics.

About StrategyOne:

With offices in Atlanta, Chicago, London, New York, Paris, San Mateo, and Washington, D.C., StrategyOne, a Daniel J. Edelman company, employs custom public opinion research and secondary research methodologies to deliver strategic counsel to corporate, organizational and governmental clients globally. Visit www.strategyone.net for more information.

SOURCE StrategyOne

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