Fifty Percent of U.S. Adults Would Not Vote for Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Candidate for President Twenty-one percent of Democrats also say they would not vote for the United

States Senator



    ROCHESTER, N.Y., March 27 /PRNewswire/ -- Senator Hillary Clinton is
 still the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for President of the
 United States according to recent polls, even as Senator Barack Obama gains
 ground on her in the race.(1) However, according to a new Harris Poll, half
 of U.S. adults say they would not vote for Senator Clinton if she was the
 Democratic candidate, while only 36 percent say they would, with 11 percent
 unsure. Her own party is not unanimously behind her either, as 21 percent
 of Democrats say they would not vote for her. In the all-important contest
 for Independents, 48 percent say they would not vote for Senator Clinton,
 while 37 percent say they would.
     Gender also plays an important role. While one would expect that women
 would be more likely than men to lean towards Senator Clinton, this is not
 the case as 38 percent of women and 34 percent of men both say they would
 vote for her. Even among women there is a divide as four in 10 (41%) single
 women say they would vote for Senator Clinton, compared to 36 percent of
 married women. Over half of both men (56%) and married women (52%) say they
 would not vote for her for president.
     These are just some of the results of a Harris Poll of 2,223 U.S.
 adults conducted online between March 6 and 14, 2007 by Harris
 Interactive(R).
     Clinton's track record, political opinion and personality
     In looking deeper, a picture begins to emerge as to what critics
 dislike about Hillary Clinton. When asked about her track record as First
 Lady, just under half (48%) say they like her track record, while 41
 percent say they do not. Four in 10 (42%) like her track record as a U.S.
 Senator, while 38 percent dislike it. Moving from the offices to the
 personal, the dislikes edge out the likes -- by a 45 percent to 44 percent
 margin, adults dislike Hillary Clinton as a person and by a 45 percent to
 42 percent margin, they dislike her political opinions.
     Unsurprisingly, Republicans and Conservatives are much more likely than
 Democrats and Liberals to dislike Senator Clinton on these issues. Men are
 also more likely than women to dislike her on these issues. There is also a
 large generational gap. Those who are "Matures" (aged 62 and older) are,
 across the board, more likely to dislike Hillary Clinton. Over half (54%)
 dislike her track record as a U.S. Senator and 60 percent feel the same
 about her track record as First Lady. But, two-thirds (65%) of matures say
 they dislike Hillary Clinton's personal opinions and 61 percent dislike her
 as a person. Among the generations, Generation X (31-42) is the age group
 which provides her the most support. This is also seen in the 44 percent of
 Gen Xers who would vote for her, compared to 23 percent of Matures.
     Other personal assets and liabilities
     Besides her track records and politics, there are other reasons why so
 many people do not like Senator Clinton. Fully half (52%) agree that she
 does not appear to connect with people on a personal level, and this number
 is even higher among married women (53%), men (56%), Matures (68%), and, of
 course, Republicans (73%). This may be her big problem.
     There is also an issue with things that happened during the Bill
 Clinton presidency. A plurality (45%) agrees that it is difficult to trust
 her because of Whitewater and other scandals in the Clinton White House,
 while 42 percent disagree. Similar numbers (44%) agree that her handling of
 health care in the White House raises questions about her ability and 34
 percent disagree.
     Nevertheless, the news is not all bad for Senator Clinton.
 Three-quarters of adults (76%) agree that she is a very intelligent person
 and this is the sentiment across the board. Even 65 percent of Republicans
 agree. Just over half (52%) of adults agree that Hillary Clinton
 understands family and children's issues, while 44 percent say she inspires
 confidence personally. When it comes to her experience, 39 percent say she
 lacks experience and is unqualified to be president, but 49 percent of
 adults disagree with that statement.
     Additionally, Senator Clinton's supposed liberalism is not a major
 liability. One area that the Senator has had to deal with has been her
 perceived inconsistencies on issues and claims that she has moved from
 liberal to the middle and back to liberal again. When asked about her
 political philosophy, one-third (31%) say Hillary Clinton is too liberal
 and 41 percent say she is neither too liberal nor too conservative. Just
 four percent say she is too conservative, but among liberals that number
 rises to 11 percent. What the Clinton campaign may have to address is the
 25 percent who say they are not sure, including 22 percent of their own
 party. This could be a plus or it could be a minus.
     While the first votes are still many months away, there are a few
 groups that Senator Clinton and her team need to target. First, married
 women are consistently more likely to have negative feelings toward the
 Senator than single women. Second, those over age 62 have some of the
 highest negatives for her -- behind only Republicans and Conservatives.
 Since this is the age group that votes in the highest numbers, there is
 work to be done here. Finally, the Clinton campaign may not want to use the
 slogan "a vote for Hill is one for Bill." Only just over one-third (37%)
 feel it would be good to have both Hillary and Bill Clinton back in the
 White House.
                                    TABLE 1
                           VOTING FOR HILLARY CLINTON
 "If Hillary Clinton was the Democratic nominee for President, which is closest
                             to the way you think?"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                      Total    Gender   Gender/Marital Status
                                                           Single  Married
                                            Male   Female   Women   Women
                                        %     %       %       %       %
     Would vote for her (NET)          36    34      38      41      36
       I definitely would vote for
        her                            15    13      17      19      14
       I probably would vote for her   22    22      21      22      22
     Would not vote for her (NET)      50    56      45      42      52
       I probably would not vote for
        her                            11    11      10      11      10
       I definitely would not vote for
        her                            39    44      35      31      42
     I wouldn't vote at all             3     2       3       4       2
     Not sure                          11     8      13      13      10
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 2
     VOTING FOR HILLARY CLINTON - BY GENERATION AND POLITICAL PARTY "If
 Hillary Clinton was the Democratic nominee for President, which is closest
                             to the way you think?"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                    Generation               Political Party
                           Echo              Baby
                         Boomers   Gen X   Boomers Matures
                  Total  (18-30)  (31-42)  (43-61)  (62+)   Rep.   Dem.   Ind.
                    %       %        %        %       %       %      %      %
     Would vote
      for her
      (NET)        36      34       44       39      23       5     68     37
     I definitely
      would vote
      for her      15      11       15       19      10       1     33     11
     I probably
      would vote
      for her      22      23       29       21      13       4     35     26
 
     Would not
      vote for
      her (NET)    50      46       40       49      69      91     21     48
     I probably
      would not
      vote for
      her          11      12       11       12       9      10     10     13
     I definitely
      would not
      vote for her 39      35       29       38      60      81     11     35
 
     I wouldn't
      vote at all   3       4        2        3       1       1      1      3
 
     Not sure      11      15       14        9       6       2     10     12
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 3
                           OPINION OF HILLARY CLINTON
 "Looking at the list of attributes, please indicate how you feel about each."
     Base: All adults
 
                    Like  Strongly  Somewhat  Dislike  Somewhat  Strongly   Not
                    (NET)   like     like      (NET)    dislike   dislike  sure
                      %       %        %         %         %         %       %
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      track record
      as First Lady  48      23       25        41        14        27      12
     Hillary Clinton
      as a person    44      19       26        45        15        29      11
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      track record
      as a U.S.
      Senator        42      19       23        38        14        24      20
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      political
      opinions       42      15       27        45        13        31      14
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 4
             OPINION OF HILLARY CLINTON - BY GENERATION AND GENDER
 "Looking at the list of attributes, please indicate how you feel about each."
                    Those saying "Somewhat/Strongly Dislike"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                                                 Gender/Marital
                            Generation                  Gender       Status
                        Echo            Baby
              Total   Boomers  Gen X  Boomers Matures            Single Married
              Dislike (18-30) (31-42) (43-61)  (62+)  Male Female Women  Women
                 %       %       %       %       %      %     %     %      %
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      political
      opinions  45      42      31      43      65     52    38    34     46
     Hillary
      Clinton
      as a
      person    45      43      36      42      61     50    40    36     46
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      track
      record as
      First
      Lady      41      35      34      39      60     45     37   33     44
     Hillary
      Clinton's
      track
      record as
      a U.S.
      Senator   38      36      28      38      54     45     32   27     39
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 5
     OPINION OF HILLARY CLINTON - BY POLITICAL PARTY AND PHILOSOPHY "Looking
 at the list of attributes, please indicate how you feel about each."
                    Those saying "Somewhat/Strongly Dislike"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                            Total     Political party    Political philosophy
                           Dislike    Rep.  Dem.  Ind.     Cons.  Mod.  Lib.
                              %        %      %    %         %      %     %
     Hillary Clinton's
      political opinions     45       84     17   43        72     39    19
     Hillary Clinton as
      a person               45       81     17   44        72     39    20
     Hillary Clinton's
      track record as
      First Lady             41       77     15   39        68     35    16
     Hillary Clinton's
      track record as a
      U.S. Senator           38       75     15   33        65     32    17
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 6
                        ATTITUDES TOWARD HILLARY CLINTON
  "Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statements
                            about Hillary Clinton."
 
     Base: All adults
 
                        Total                     Total
                        Agree Strongly Somewhat disagree Somewhat Strongly  Not
                        (NET)  agree    agree     (NET)  disagree disagree sure
                          %       %        %        %        %        %      %
     She is a very
      intelligent
      person.            76      47       29       14        6        8     11
     She does not
      appear to
      connect with
      people on a
      personal level.    52      27       26       34       21       13     14
     She understands
      family and
      children's issues. 52      24       28       34       15       19     14
     It's difficult to
      trust her because
      of Whitewater and
      other scandals in
      the Clinton White
      House.             45      28       17       42       18       24     13
     She inspires
      confidence
      personally.        44      18       27       43       15       27     13
     Her handling of
      health care
      reform in the
      White House
      raises questions
      about her ability. 44      24       20       34       19       14     22
     She lacks
      experience and
      is unqualified to
      be president.      39      23       16       49       23       26     11
     It would be good
      to have both her
      and Bill Clinton
      in the White House
      again.             37      19       18       50       10       40     13
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 7
      ATTITUDES TOWARD HILLARY CLINTON - BY GENERATION AND POLITICAL PARTY
     "Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following
 statements
                            about Hillary Clinton."
                     Those saying "Somewhat/Strongly Agree"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                        Generation             Political Party
                        Total   Echo            Baby
                        Agree Boomers  Gen X  Boomers Matures
                        (NET) (18-30) (31-42) (43-61)  (62+)   Rep.  Dem.  Ind.
                          %      %       %       %       %      %     %     %
     She is a very
      intelligent
      person.            76     66      79      79      78     65    90    79
     She does not
      appear to
      connect with
      people on a
      personal level.    52     42      51      51      68     73    41    52
     She understands
      family and
      children's issues. 52     45      53      56      50     28    78    53
     It's difficult
      to trust her
      because of
      Whitewater and
      other scandals in
      the Clinton White
      House.             45     36      46      43      57     74    23    44
     She inspires
      confidence
      personally.        44     37      50      51      35     19    72    45
     Her handling of
      health care
      reform in the
      White House
      raises questions
      about her ability. 44     36      43      43      57     67    29    43
     She lacks
      experience and
      is unqualified to
      be president.      39     34      35      38      54     66    23    38
     It would be good
      to have both her
      and Bill Clinton
      in the White House
      again.             37     36      38      43      27      9    67    36
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 8
      ATTITUDES TOWARD HILLARY CLINTON - BY GENERATION AND POLITICAL PARTY
     "Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following
 statements
                            about Hillary Clinton."
                     Those saying "Somewhat/Strongly Agree"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                                                 Gender/Marital
                                                      Gender         Status
                                             Total
                                             Agree               Single Married
                                             (NET)  Male  Female  Women  Women
                                               %      %      %      %      %
     She is a very intelligent person.        76     75     77     78     76
     She does not appear to connect with
      people on a personal level.             52     56     49     45     53
     She understands family and children's
      issues.                                 52     49     55     57     52
     It's difficult to trust her because
      of Whitewater and other scandals in
      the Clinton White House.                45     49     41     39     46
     She inspires confidence personally.      44     39     50     52     49
     Her handling of health care reform in
      the White House raises questions
      about her ability.                      44     50     38     35     44
     She lacks experience and is
      unqualified to be president.            39     45     35     35     38
     It would be good to have both her and
      Bill Clinton in the White House
      again.                                  37     35     39     43     34
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
 
 
 
                                    TABLE 9
                     HILLARY CLINTON'S POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                      "Do you think Hillary Clinton ... ?"
 
     Base: All adults
 
                                                                   Political
                                     Total      Party             Philosophy
                                           Rep.  Dem.  Ind.   Cons.  Mod.  Lib.
                                       %    %     %     %       %     %     %
     Is too liberal                   31   68     7    26      66    23     2
     Is neither too liberal nor
      too conservative                41   13    67    44      13    46    66
     Is too conservative               4    2     5     4       *     3    11
     Not sure                         25   17    22    26      20    28    21
 
     Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
     Note: *less than 0.5%
 
 
     Methodology
     This Harris Poll(R) was conducted online within the United States
 between March 6 and 14, 2007, among 2,223 adults (aged 18 and over).
 Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were
 weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual
 proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to
 adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.
     All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include:
 sampling error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed);
 measurement error due to question wording and/or question order,
 deliberately or unintentionally inaccurate responses, nonresponse
 (including refusals), interviewer effects (when live interviewers are used)
 and weighting.
     With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that
 result cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a
 finite "margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should
 be avoided.
     With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is
 possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not
 other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure
 probability sample of 2,223 adults one could say with a ninety-five percent
 probability that the overall results would have a sampling error of +/- two
 percentage points. However that does not take other sources of error into
 account. This online survey is not based on a probability sample and
 therefore no theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
     These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the
 National Council on Public Polls.
     J29950
     Q705, 710, 715, 720
 
     The Harris Poll (R)#28, March 27, 2007
     By Regina Corso, Director, The Harris Poll
 
     About Harris Interactive
     Harris Interactive is the 12th largest and fastest-growing market
 research firm in the world. The company provides innovative research,
 insights and strategic advice to help its clients make more confident
 decisions which lead to measurable and enduring improvements in
 performance. Harris Interactive is widely known for The Harris Poll, one of
 the longest running, independent opinion polls and for pioneering online
 market research methods. The company has built what it believes to be the
 world's largest panel of survey respondents, the Harris Poll Online. Harris
 Interactive serves clients worldwide through its United States, Europe and
 Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiary Novatris in France and through a
 global network of independent market research firms. The service bureau,
 HISB, provides its market research industry clients with mixed-mode data
 collection, panel development services as well as syndicated and tracking
 research consultation. More information about Harris Interactive may be
 obtained at http://www.harrisinteractive.com.
     To become a member of the Harris Poll Online and be invited to
 participate in online surveys, register at http://www.harrispollonline.com.
     Press Contact:
     Tracey McNerney
     Harris Interactive
     585-214-7756
 
     (1) Harris Poll #23 Support for Barack Obama Surges
 
 

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