PR Newswire: news distribution, targeting and monitoring
 

Generic Congressional Ballot Tied

 
 

Job Ratings for Congress still near all time low

NEW YORK, Jan. 31, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- While almost all the election related media attention has been on the Republicans battling for the chance to challenge President Obama in November, every seat in the House of Representatives is also up for election this November. And, if the election for Congress were being held today, among registered voters, it would be a tie with 38% voting for the Republican candidate and 38% voting for the Democratic candidate. Just under one in ten (8%) would vote for another party's candidate and 16% are not sure who they would vote for.

(Logo:  http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20100517/NY06256LOGO)

Almost nine in ten Republicans (88%) would vote for their candidate and four in five Democrats (81%) would vote for their candidate while Independents are a bit more divided as 28% would vote for the Democratic candidate, 26% for the Republican, 15% for another party's candidate and three in ten (30%) are not sure.

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,016 adults surveyed online between January 16 and 23, 2012 by Harris Interactive.

One issue that Members of Congress have is that the institution itself as well as the two major parties in Congress and the leaders are all looking at very low job approval ratings. Specifically:

  • When it comes to Congress itself, just 6% of Americans would rate the overall job they are doing positively while 94% would rate their job negatively. Last month 5% gave them positive ratings while 95% gave them negative ones;
  • Over two in five Americans (46%) give Speaker of the House John Boehner negative ratings, 11% give him positive marks and more than two in five (44%) are not familiar enough to have an opinion;
  • Looking at the two Democratic Congressional leaders, over half of Americans (53%) give House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi negative ratings, while 13% give her positive marks and 34% are not familiar with her. Two in five U.S. adults (42%) give Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid negative ratings, 8% give him positive ratings and half (50%) are not familiar enough with him to have an opinion; and,
  • Looking at the two political parties, over half of Americans have negative opinions of the job both Republicans in Congress (56%) and Democrats in Congress (53%) are doing. Just one in ten have a positive opinion of the job Republicans in Congress are doing (10%) and 13% have positive opinions of the job Democrats in Congress are doing. One-third of U.S. adults are not familiar enough with the job either party is doing (34% for both) to have an opinion regarding them.

So What?
With approval ratings at historic lows, Members of Congress have reason to be nervous about their chances for re-election. This may be why, so far, around 30 have decided to retire rather than run again. There also isn't any one to rally around – President Obama's ratings are also low and, with the bruising primary so far, it's possible that whoever emerges as the Republican candidate will be damaged, so coattails from the presidential race may be short. Representatives have to hope that the old adage of "hate the Institution, but like my Member" holds true for November or it could be another watershed year with incumbents not able to win re-election.

 

TABLE 1

GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT

"If the election for Congress were being held today, for whom would you most likely vote?"

Base: All adults

 

Total

Reg

voters

Political Party

Rep.

Dem.

Ind.

%

%

%

%

%

Democratic candidate

37

38

3

81

28

Republican candidate

35

38

88

4

26

Other

8

8

2

3

15

Not sure

20

16

7

11

30

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

 

TABLE 2

CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING

"How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Total

Political Party

Rep.

Dem.

Ind.

%

%

%

%

POSITIVE

6

5

7

5

    Excellent

*

*

*

*

    Pretty good

5

5

6

5

NEGATIVE

94

95

93

95

    Only fair

34

41

34

27

    Poor

60

54

60

67

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

 

TABLE 3

CONGRESS' OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND

"How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

TREND

Positive*

Negative**

%

%

2012

January

6

94

2011

December

5

95

 

November

5

95

October

5

95

September

6

94

August

5

95

July

8

92

June

11

89

May 19th

12

88

May 9th

13

87

April

8

92

March

10

90

February

14

86

January

16

84

2010

December

11

89

 

November

13

87

October

11

89

September

13

87

August

15

85

June

14

86

May

15

85

April

16

84

March

10

90

Jan.

16

84

2009

Dec.

17

83

 

Oct.

16

84

Sept.

19

81

Aug.

22

78

June

25

75

March

29

71

2008

October

10

86

 

August

18

77

June

13

83

February

20

76

2007

December

17

79

 

October

20

77

April

27

69

February

33

62

2006

September

24

73

 

May

18

80

February

25

71

January

25

72

*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor.

 

TABLE 4

FAMILIARITY WITH SENIOR CABINET MEMBERS, CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS AND PARTIES IN CONGRESS

"Are you familiar enough with each of the following to have an opinion regarding them?"

Base: All adults

 

FAMILIAR

2009

2010

2011

2012

Mar

April

May

June

Aug

Sept

Dec

Jan

Mar

June

Oct

Jan

May

Oct

Jan

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

House Minority

Leader Nancy Pelosi

68

65

66

66

67

69

71

68

69

69

72

69

75

72

66

Democrats in Congress

66

64

64

65

68

69

67

71

68

68

67

66

66

67

66

Republicans in Congress

62

61

59

58

63

65

64

66

67

64

64

63

62

66

66

House Speaker

John Boehner

37

N/a

37

N/a

27

N/a

N/a

N/a

N/a

N/a

37

48

54

60

56

Senate Majority

Leader Harry Reid

32

N/a

N/a

N/a

39

N/a

44

N/a

N/a

N/a

N/a

N/a

53

53

50

Note: N/a indicates not asked; In January 2011 Nancy Pelosi became House Minority Leader (from House Speaker) and John Boehner became

House Speaker (from House Minority Leader).

 

TABLE 5

RATINGS OF SENIOR CABINET MEMBERS, CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS AND PARTIES IN CONGRESS

"How would you rate the overall job each of the following is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Positive*

Excellent

Pretty

Good

Negative**

Only

Fair

Poor

Not

Familiar

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Democrats in Congress

13

2

11

53

21

32

34

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi

13

2

11

53

17

36

34

House Speaker John Boehner

11

1

10

46

20

25

44

Republicans in Congress

10

1

9

56

20

36

34

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid

8

1

7

42

15

27

50

*Positive = excellent or pretty good **Negative = only fair or poor; In January 2011 Nancy Pelosi became House Minority Leader

(from House Speaker) and John Boehner became House Speaker (from House Minority Leader).

 

TABLE 6

RATING OF HOUSE SPEAKER JOHN BOEHNER – TREND

How would you rate the job House Speaker John Boehner is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Positive*

Negative**

Not Familiar

2012

Jan.

%

11

46

44

2011

 

 

Oct.

%

17

43

40

May

%

22

32

46

Jan.

%

22

27

52

2010

Oct.

%

12

25

63

2009

 

Aug.

%

8

19

73

March

%

9

16

75

*Excellent or pretty good. **Only fair or poor. Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% because of

rounding; Until January 2011 John Boehner was House Minority Leader.

 

TABLE 7

RATING OF HOUSE MINORITY LEADER NANCY PELOSI – TREND

How would you rate the job House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Positive*

Negative**

Not Familiar

2012

Jan

%

13

53

34

2011

 

 

Oct.

%

18

54

28

May

%

24

51

25

Jan.

%

22

48

31

2010

 

 

 

Oct.

%

19

52

28

June

%

20

49

31

March

%

16

52

31

Jan.

%

18

50

32

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec.

%

22

49

29

Sept.

%

20

49

31

Aug.

%

19

48

33

June

%

18

49

34

May

%

21

45

34

April

%

21

44

35

March

%

23

45

32

*Excellent or pretty good. **Only fair or poor. Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% because of 

rounding; until January 2011 Nancy Pelosi was House Speaker.

 

TABLE 8

RATING OF SENATE MAJORITY LEADER HARRY REID – TREND

How would you rate the job Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is doing?"

Base: All adults

 

 

Positive*

Negative**

Not Familiar

2012

Jan.

%

8

42

50

2011

 

Oct.

%

10

42

47

May

%

17

36

47

2009

 

 

Dec.

%

11

33

56

Aug.

%

10

29

61

March

%

12

26

61

*Excellent or pretty good. **Only fair or poor. Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% because of rounding.

 

 

TABLE 9

RATING OF DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS – TREND

How would you rate the job the Democrats in Congress are doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Positive*

Negative**

Not Familiar

2012

Jan.

%

13

53

34

2011

 

 

Oct.

%

12

54

33

May

%

18

48

34

Jan.

%

19

47

34

2010

 

 

 

Oct.

%

16

51

33

June

%

14

54

32

March

%

14

54

32

Jan.

%

17

54

29

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec.

%

18

50

33

Sept.

%

18

51

31

Aug.

%

21

47

32

June

%

21

43

35

May

%

25

39

36

April

%

22

42

36

March

%

25

41

34

*Excellent or pretty good. **Only fair or poor. Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% because of rounding.

 

 

TABLE 10

RATING OF REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS – TREND

How would you rate the job the Republicans in Congress are doing?"

Base: All adults

 

Positive*

Negative**

Not Familiar

2012

Jan.

%

10

56

34

2011

 

 

Oct.

%

13

53

34

May

%

18

44

38

Jan.

%

20

44

37

2010

 

 

 

Oct.

%

14

51

36

June

%

11

52

36

March

%

16

51

33

Jan.

%

16

50

34

2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dec.

%

14

50

36

Sept.

%

11

54

35

Aug.

%

12

52

37

June

%

12

46

42

May

%

14

45

41

April

%

14

48

39

March

%

15

47

38

*Excellent or pretty good. **Only fair or poor. Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% because of rounding.

 

Methodology
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between January 16 and 23, 2012 among 2,016 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of Harris Interactive.

J41215
Q1215, 1225, 1228, 1260

The Harris Poll® #12, January 31, 2012
By Regina A. Corso, SVP, Harris Poll, Public Relations and Youth Research, Harris Interactive

About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is one of the world's leading custom market research firms, leveraging research, technology, and business acumen to transform relevant insight into actionable foresight. Known widely for the Harris Poll and for pioneering innovative research methodologies, Harris offers expertise in a wide range of industries including healthcare, technology, public affairs, energy, telecommunications, financial services, insurance, media, retail, restaurant, and consumer package goods. Serving clients in over 215 countries and territories through our North American and European offices and a network of independent market research firms, Harris specializes in delivering research solutions that help us – and our clients – stay ahead of what's next. For more information, please visit www.harrisinteractive.com.

Press Contact:
Corporate Communications
Harris Interactive
212-539-9600
press@harrisinteractive.com  

SOURCE Harris Interactive

Back to top

RELATED LINKS
http://www.youtube.com/user/TheHarrisInteractive
http://twitter.com/harrispoll
http://twitter.com/harrisint
http://www.facebook.com/HarrisPoll
http://www.facebook.com/harrisinteractive?ref=share
http://www.harrisinteractive.com

Custom Packages

Browse our custom packages or build your own to meet your unique communications needs.

Start today.

 

PR Newswire Membership

Fill out a PR Newswire membership form or contact us at (888) 776-0942.

Learn about PR Newswire services

Request more information about PR Newswire products and services or call us at (888) 776-0942.

Featured Video

 
  • Print
  • Email
  •   RSS
  • Share it  
  • Blog it  
  • Blog Search  

Journalists and Bloggers

Visit PR Newswire for Journalists for releases, photos, ProfNet experts, and customized feeds just for Media.

View and download archived video content distributed by MultiVu on The Digital Center.

Free Investing Newsletter from Investor Uprising!

Learn to navigate the world's financial system and profit from leading companies.  

Register for Investor Uprising, the people's investment site, for a free weekly newsletter, information, education and premium research including our latest IU Confidential Report - "All That Glitters: The Ultimate Gold Report".

Advanced Search
Search
  
  1. Products & Services
  2. Knowledge Center
  3. Browse News Releases
  4. Contact PR Newswire