NEWSWEEK COVER: The Race is On

Newsweek Takes an In-Depth Look at 2008 Hopefuls, Hillary Clinton and

Barack Obama; Says Theodore Sorenson: Obama 'Reminds Me in Many Ways of

Kennedy'

NEWSWEEK POLL: 50 Percent of Americans Would Most Like To See Hillary

Nominated; 32 Percent Say Obama

OBAMA TELLS NEWSWEEK: 'I Have Tremendous Respect for Hillary Clinton. She's

an Outstanding Leader in the Democratic Party. She's Earned Her Stripes'



17 Dec, 2006, 00:00 ET from Newsweek

    NEW YORK, Dec. 17 /PRNewswire/ -- For 220 years, Americans have elected
 only white male Christians with no hint of ethnicity to the White House,
 and no one knows yet whether we are ready to break the chain now, reports
 Newsweek. As part of the cover package, "The Race is On," Senior Editor and
 Columnist Jonathan Alter explores whether America is ready for a historic
 first in the White House in 2008: the first woman president or the first
 black president - New York Senator Hillary Clinton or Illinois Senator
 Barack Obama. "He [Obama] reminds me in many ways of Kennedy in 1960. The
 pundits said he was Catholic and too young and inexperienced and wasn't a
 member of the party's inner circle. They forgot that the nomination wasn't
 decided in Washington but out in the field," Theodore Sorensen, John F.
 Kennedy's adviser and speechwriter, tells Newsweek in the December 25, 2006
 - January 1, 2007 issue (on newsstands Monday, December 18).
     (Photo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20061217/NYSU007)
     It's impossible to separate the abstract question of whether America is
 ready for a woman or a black from the concrete matter of whether we're
 ready for Hillary or Barack, Alter reports. Historically, the odds favor a
 woman over an African-American; psychologically and generationally, they
 may favor Obama over Hillary. Both are now expected to launch their
 campaigns early in the new year. In the latest Newsweek Poll, 86 percent of
 those polled say that if their party nominated a woman for president, they
 would vote for her if she were qualified for the job. When asked if America
 is ready to elect a woman president, 55 percent of those polled said yes,
 it is; 35 percent do not believe America is ready to elect a woman
 president. When Americans were asked if their party nominated an
 African-American for president if they would vote for that person, 93
 percent said yes, they would. When asked if America is ready to elect an
 African-American president, 56 percent of those polled, said yes; 30
 percent of those polled responded no. If the race for the Democratic
 Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between
 Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, 50 of those polled say they would most
 like to see Hillary Clinton nominated; 32 percent say they would like to
 see Barack Obama nominated.
     Also in the cover package, in an interview, Obama speaks out on his
 prospects for the presidency, his leading rival for the nomination and
 post- baby-boom politics. When asked how he matches up against Hillary
 Clinton, Obama tells Newsweek, "I'm not going to go there. I have
 tremendous respect for Hillary Clinton. She's an outstanding leader in the
 Democratic Party. She's earned her stripes." When asked if America was
 ready for a black or female president, Obama says, "I absolutely think
 America is ready for either ... what I've found is that the American people
 - once they get to know you - are going to judge you on your individual
 character. Whatever the flaws in the process, people get a fairly accurate
 read by the end of the campaign."
     Both campaigns would likely have ample funds for a protracted primary
 campaign, Alter reports. Hillary Clinton has $14.4 million on hand and a
 financial network in place to raise whatever it takes. And should Obama
 maintain his momentum, the money will most certainly follow. "If Howard
 Dean raised $45 million on the Internet, that number is easily obtainable,"
 Bill Daley tells Newsweek.
     Even so, people remain uneasy about women in power. Rep. Stephanie
 Tubbs- Jones, an African-American who committed to Hillary a year ago (but
 admits she would now be torn between her and Obama if she hadn't), worries
 about her candidate. "Women are harder on women," she says. "They demand a
 level of perfection they often do not from male candidates." Both
 candidates have created a level of political novelty and intrigue that goes
 beyond gender and race. "People don't view her first as a woman - they view
 her as a Clinton," says one of Bill Clinton's longtime advisers, who did
 not wish to be quoted assessing her candidacy. "And he looks like he may
 have the secret formula to unlock partisanship - a mixture that's broader
 than race."
     Rep. Jim Clyburn, the black South Carolinian whose support is important
 in that state's critical primary, told Newsweek last week that he didn't
 think President Clinton's popularity would necessarily rub off on his wife.
 "Would my wife do as well as I did [running for office]? I don't think so,"
 Clyburn says. "A lot of things can't transfer. You just can't pass that
 on."
     Elsewhere in the cover package, a special guest essay by the 1984
 Democratic vice presidential nominee, Rep. Geraldine Ferraro who writes,
 "It's been 22 years since I became the first woman to run on a major-party
 ticket, and we're still asking whether a woman can be elected president. I
 don't think that's the right question. This isn't about just any woman.
 It's specific to Hillary Clinton, and we should be asking if she could do
 it." Also included is an essay by 1984 and 1988 presidential candidate,
 Rev. Jesse L. Jackson who says, "I believe that if Obama does run, he could
 inspire Americans finally to look past race and elect an African-American
 to the Oval Office."
     For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates
 International interviewed 1,000 adults aged 18 and older on December 6-7,
 2006. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
                (Read entire cover package at www.Newsweek.com.)
     Cover: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16238556/site/newsweek/
     Barack Obama Interview: 'The Challenges We Face':
 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16242286/site/newsweek/
      What We Learned the Hard Way:
 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16242285/site/newsweek/
 
 
                                 Newsweek Poll
                               Hillary and Obama
               Princeton Survey Research Associates International
 
                             Final Topline Results
                                   (12/17/06)
 
     N = 1,000 national adults, 18 and over
     Margin of error:  plus or minus 4
     Interviewing dates:  12/6-7/06
 
     SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR KEY SUBGROUPS:
     279   Republicans (plus or minus 7)
     330   Democrats (plus or minus 6)
     336   Independents (plus or minus 6)
 
     SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
     864   Registered voters (plus or minus 4)
 
     253   Republicans (plus or minus 7)
     289   Democrats (plus or minus 7)
     284   Independents (plus or minus 7)
 
     422   Democrats/Democratic Leaners (plus or minus 5)
 
     406   Men (plus or minus 6)
     458   Women (plus or minus 5)
 
     714   Whites (plus or minus 4)
     130   Non-Whites (plus or minus 10)
 
     Notes:  Data is weighted so that sample demographics match Census Current
             Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race,
             region, and population density.
     Reported sample sizes are unweighted and should not be used to compute
 percentages.
     An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than 1%.
 
 
     1.  If your party nominated a WOMAN for president, would you vote for her
         if she were qualified for the job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   86       8        6         =100
 
     Men                             86       8        6         =100
     Women                           86       8        6         =100
 
     Trends(1)
     (1/20-25/06)                    92       5        3         =100
     (12/13-16/99)                   91       6        3         =100
     (3/30-4/1/98)                   90       7        3         =100
 
 
     2.  Do you think America is ready to elect a woman president, or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   55      35       10         =100
 
     Men                             59      32        9         =100
     Women                           51      39       10         =100
 
     Trends(2)
     (1/20-25/06)                    55      38        7(3)      =100
     (12/13-16/99)                   48      45        7         =100
     (3/30-4/1/98)                   50      45        5         =100
     (10/27-29/96)                   40      53        7         =100
 
 
     3.  If your party nominated a BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN for president,
         would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the
         job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   93       3        4         =100
 
     Whites                          92       5        3         =100
     Non-Whites                      96       2        2         =100
 
     Trends(4)
     (2/6-10/00)                     94       4        2         =100
     (10/15-18/91)                   83       9        8(5)      =100
 
 
     4.  Do you think America is ready to elect an African-American president,
         or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   56      30       14         =100
 
     Whites                          55      30       15         =100
     Non-Whites                      57      33       10         =100
 
     Trend(6)
     (2/6-10/00)                     37      52       11(7)      =100
 
 
     5.  What if your party nominated a MORMON for president, that is, a member
         of the Church of Jesus Christ of the Latter Day Saints? Would you vote
         for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
         66  Yes
         25  No
          9  Don't know
        100
 
 
     6.  Do you think America is ready to elect a Mormon president, or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
         34  Yes
         48  No
         18  Don't know
        100
 
 
     READ INTRO TO Q7ab-Q12ab TO ALL RVs:  (RV1=1,3):  Now I'm going to
     describe some different choices of candidates voters might have in the
     2008 election for president. As I read each one, please tell me how you
     would vote if the election for president were being held TODAY. First ...
 
     7a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and John McCain, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or McCain, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total McCain    Undec./Other
     Current Total           50               43               7           =100
 
     Republicans             11               82               7           =100
     Democrats               83               14               3           =100
     Independents            45               45              10           =100
 
 
     8a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total Giuliani  Undec./Other
     Current Total           48               47               5           =100
 
     Republicans             12               83               5           =100
     Democrats               80               19               1           =100
     Independents            41               50               9           =100
 
 
     9a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and Mitt Romney, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or Romney, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total Romney    Undec./Other
     Current Total           58               32               10          =100
 
     Republicans             20               70               10          =100
     Democrats               87                8                5          =100
     Independents            57               29               14          =100
 
 
     10a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             John McCain, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or McCain, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total McCain    Undec./Other
     Current Total           43               45               12          =100
 
     Republicans             15               77                8          =100
     Democrats               73               20                7          =100
     Independents            38               48               14          =100
 
 
     11a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             Rudy Giuliani, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total Giuliani  Undec./Other
     Current Total           44               47                9          =100
 
     Republicans             17               75                8          =100
     Democrats               72               20                8          =100
     Independents            39               50               11          =100
 
 
     12a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             Mitt Romney, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or Romney, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total Romney    Undec./Other
     Current Total           55               25               20          =100
 
     Republicans             25               56               19          =100
     Democrats               82                5               13          =100
     Independents            55               21               24          =100
 
 
     13.  Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination
          in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary Clinton and Barack
          Obama. Who would you MOST like to see nominated -- Clinton or Obama?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED DEMOCRATS AND DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
 
         50  Clinton
         32  Obama
          2  Neither/Other (VOL.)
         16  Undecided
        100
 
 
     14.  How much would you say you know about Hillary Clinton and what she
          stands for... (READ)
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
        Total                                       Dem/Lean Dem
         45  A lot                                       42
         36  Some                                        39
         13  Only a little, OR                           14
          4  Nothing at all?                              4
          2  Don't know                                   1
        100                                             100
 
 
     15.  How much would you say you know about Barack Obama and what he stands
          for... (READ)
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
        Total                                       Dem/Lean Dem
         14  A lot                                       18
         27  Some                                        27
         27  Only a little, OR                           25
         31  Nothing at all?                             29
          1  Don't know                                   1
        100                                             100
 
 
     D2.  Now I have just a few more questions so we can describe the people
          who took part in our survey ... Regardless of how you might have
          voted in recent elections, in politics TODAY, do you consider
          yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
 
        Total                                           RVs
         26  Republican                                  28
         34  Democrat                                    35
         34  Independent                                 32
          3  No party/Not interested (VOL.)               2
          *  Other party (VOL.)                           1
          3  Don't know                                   2
        100                                             100
 
 
     END OF INTERVIEW.
 
     (1)  2006 trend from CBS News/New York Times poll. 1998 and 1999 trends
          from CBS News polls. All trends based on total adults.
 
     (2)  2006 trend from CBS News/New York Times poll. 1996, 1998 and 1999
          trends from CBS News polls. All trends based on total adults.
 
     (3)  Don't know/Refused category for all trends includes those who
          volunteered Depends.
 
     (4)  2000 trend from CBS News poll. 1991 trend from CBS News/New York
          Times poll; wording read "If your party nominated a generally well
          qualified black candidate for President, would you vote for him?".
          Trends based on total adults.
 
     (5)  Don't know/Refused category includes those who volunteered Depends.
 
     (6)  Trend from CBS News poll. Trend based on total adults.
 
     (7)  Don't know/Refused category includes those who volunteered Depends.
 
 

SOURCE Newsweek
    NEW YORK, Dec. 17 /PRNewswire/ -- For 220 years, Americans have elected
 only white male Christians with no hint of ethnicity to the White House,
 and no one knows yet whether we are ready to break the chain now, reports
 Newsweek. As part of the cover package, "The Race is On," Senior Editor and
 Columnist Jonathan Alter explores whether America is ready for a historic
 first in the White House in 2008: the first woman president or the first
 black president - New York Senator Hillary Clinton or Illinois Senator
 Barack Obama. "He [Obama] reminds me in many ways of Kennedy in 1960. The
 pundits said he was Catholic and too young and inexperienced and wasn't a
 member of the party's inner circle. They forgot that the nomination wasn't
 decided in Washington but out in the field," Theodore Sorensen, John F.
 Kennedy's adviser and speechwriter, tells Newsweek in the December 25, 2006
 - January 1, 2007 issue (on newsstands Monday, December 18).
     (Photo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20061217/NYSU007)
     It's impossible to separate the abstract question of whether America is
 ready for a woman or a black from the concrete matter of whether we're
 ready for Hillary or Barack, Alter reports. Historically, the odds favor a
 woman over an African-American; psychologically and generationally, they
 may favor Obama over Hillary. Both are now expected to launch their
 campaigns early in the new year. In the latest Newsweek Poll, 86 percent of
 those polled say that if their party nominated a woman for president, they
 would vote for her if she were qualified for the job. When asked if America
 is ready to elect a woman president, 55 percent of those polled said yes,
 it is; 35 percent do not believe America is ready to elect a woman
 president. When Americans were asked if their party nominated an
 African-American for president if they would vote for that person, 93
 percent said yes, they would. When asked if America is ready to elect an
 African-American president, 56 percent of those polled, said yes; 30
 percent of those polled responded no. If the race for the Democratic
 Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between
 Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, 50 of those polled say they would most
 like to see Hillary Clinton nominated; 32 percent say they would like to
 see Barack Obama nominated.
     Also in the cover package, in an interview, Obama speaks out on his
 prospects for the presidency, his leading rival for the nomination and
 post- baby-boom politics. When asked how he matches up against Hillary
 Clinton, Obama tells Newsweek, "I'm not going to go there. I have
 tremendous respect for Hillary Clinton. She's an outstanding leader in the
 Democratic Party. She's earned her stripes." When asked if America was
 ready for a black or female president, Obama says, "I absolutely think
 America is ready for either ... what I've found is that the American people
 - once they get to know you - are going to judge you on your individual
 character. Whatever the flaws in the process, people get a fairly accurate
 read by the end of the campaign."
     Both campaigns would likely have ample funds for a protracted primary
 campaign, Alter reports. Hillary Clinton has $14.4 million on hand and a
 financial network in place to raise whatever it takes. And should Obama
 maintain his momentum, the money will most certainly follow. "If Howard
 Dean raised $45 million on the Internet, that number is easily obtainable,"
 Bill Daley tells Newsweek.
     Even so, people remain uneasy about women in power. Rep. Stephanie
 Tubbs- Jones, an African-American who committed to Hillary a year ago (but
 admits she would now be torn between her and Obama if she hadn't), worries
 about her candidate. "Women are harder on women," she says. "They demand a
 level of perfection they often do not from male candidates." Both
 candidates have created a level of political novelty and intrigue that goes
 beyond gender and race. "People don't view her first as a woman - they view
 her as a Clinton," says one of Bill Clinton's longtime advisers, who did
 not wish to be quoted assessing her candidacy. "And he looks like he may
 have the secret formula to unlock partisanship - a mixture that's broader
 than race."
     Rep. Jim Clyburn, the black South Carolinian whose support is important
 in that state's critical primary, told Newsweek last week that he didn't
 think President Clinton's popularity would necessarily rub off on his wife.
 "Would my wife do as well as I did [running for office]? I don't think so,"
 Clyburn says. "A lot of things can't transfer. You just can't pass that
 on."
     Elsewhere in the cover package, a special guest essay by the 1984
 Democratic vice presidential nominee, Rep. Geraldine Ferraro who writes,
 "It's been 22 years since I became the first woman to run on a major-party
 ticket, and we're still asking whether a woman can be elected president. I
 don't think that's the right question. This isn't about just any woman.
 It's specific to Hillary Clinton, and we should be asking if she could do
 it." Also included is an essay by 1984 and 1988 presidential candidate,
 Rev. Jesse L. Jackson who says, "I believe that if Obama does run, he could
 inspire Americans finally to look past race and elect an African-American
 to the Oval Office."
     For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates
 International interviewed 1,000 adults aged 18 and older on December 6-7,
 2006. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
                (Read entire cover package at www.Newsweek.com.)
     Cover: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16238556/site/newsweek/
     Barack Obama Interview: 'The Challenges We Face':
 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16242286/site/newsweek/
      What We Learned the Hard Way:
 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16242285/site/newsweek/
 
 
                                 Newsweek Poll
                               Hillary and Obama
               Princeton Survey Research Associates International
 
                             Final Topline Results
                                   (12/17/06)
 
     N = 1,000 national adults, 18 and over
     Margin of error:  plus or minus 4
     Interviewing dates:  12/6-7/06
 
     SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR KEY SUBGROUPS:
     279   Republicans (plus or minus 7)
     330   Democrats (plus or minus 6)
     336   Independents (plus or minus 6)
 
     SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
     864   Registered voters (plus or minus 4)
 
     253   Republicans (plus or minus 7)
     289   Democrats (plus or minus 7)
     284   Independents (plus or minus 7)
 
     422   Democrats/Democratic Leaners (plus or minus 5)
 
     406   Men (plus or minus 6)
     458   Women (plus or minus 5)
 
     714   Whites (plus or minus 4)
     130   Non-Whites (plus or minus 10)
 
     Notes:  Data is weighted so that sample demographics match Census Current
             Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race,
             region, and population density.
     Reported sample sizes are unweighted and should not be used to compute
 percentages.
     An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than 1%.
 
 
     1.  If your party nominated a WOMAN for president, would you vote for her
         if she were qualified for the job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   86       8        6         =100
 
     Men                             86       8        6         =100
     Women                           86       8        6         =100
 
     Trends(1)
     (1/20-25/06)                    92       5        3         =100
     (12/13-16/99)                   91       6        3         =100
     (3/30-4/1/98)                   90       7        3         =100
 
 
     2.  Do you think America is ready to elect a woman president, or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   55      35       10         =100
 
     Men                             59      32        9         =100
     Women                           51      39       10         =100
 
     Trends(2)
     (1/20-25/06)                    55      38        7(3)      =100
     (12/13-16/99)                   48      45        7         =100
     (3/30-4/1/98)                   50      45        5         =100
     (10/27-29/96)                   40      53        7         =100
 
 
     3.  If your party nominated a BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN for president,
         would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the
         job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   93       3        4         =100
 
     Whites                          92       5        3         =100
     Non-Whites                      96       2        2         =100
 
     Trends(4)
     (2/6-10/00)                     94       4        2         =100
     (10/15-18/91)                   83       9        8(5)      =100
 
 
     4.  Do you think America is ready to elect an African-American president,
         or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                                    Yes      No       DK
     Current Total                   56      30       14         =100
 
     Whites                          55      30       15         =100
     Non-Whites                      57      33       10         =100
 
     Trend(6)
     (2/6-10/00)                     37      52       11(7)      =100
 
 
     5.  What if your party nominated a MORMON for president, that is, a member
         of the Church of Jesus Christ of the Latter Day Saints? Would you vote
         for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
         66  Yes
         25  No
          9  Don't know
        100
 
 
     6.  Do you think America is ready to elect a Mormon president, or not?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
         34  Yes
         48  No
         18  Don't know
        100
 
 
     READ INTRO TO Q7ab-Q12ab TO ALL RVs:  (RV1=1,3):  Now I'm going to
     describe some different choices of candidates voters might have in the
     2008 election for president. As I read each one, please tell me how you
     would vote if the election for president were being held TODAY. First ...
 
     7a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and John McCain, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or McCain, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total McCain    Undec./Other
     Current Total           50               43               7           =100
 
     Republicans             11               82               7           =100
     Democrats               83               14               3           =100
     Independents            45               45              10           =100
 
 
     8a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total Giuliani  Undec./Other
     Current Total           48               47               5           =100
 
     Republicans             12               83               5           =100
     Democrats               80               19               1           =100
     Independents            41               50               9           =100
 
 
     9a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
            and Mitt Romney, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
            OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
            more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or Romney, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Clinton    Total Romney    Undec./Other
     Current Total           58               32               10          =100
 
     Republicans             20               70               10          =100
     Democrats               87                8                5          =100
     Independents            57               29               14          =100
 
 
     10a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             John McCain, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or McCain, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total McCain    Undec./Other
     Current Total           43               45               12          =100
 
     Republicans             15               77                8          =100
     Democrats               73               20                7          =100
     Independents            38               48               14          =100
 
 
     11a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             Rudy Giuliani, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total Giuliani  Undec./Other
     Current Total           44               47                9          =100
 
     Republicans             17               75                8          =100
     Democrats               72               20                8          =100
     Independents            39               50               11          =100
 
 
     12a/b.  Suppose you HAD TO CHOOSE between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and
             Mitt Romney, the Republican. Who would you vote for? [IF
             OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN
             more toward Obama, the Democrat; or Romney, the Republican?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                        Total Obama      Total Romney    Undec./Other
     Current Total           55               25               20          =100
 
     Republicans             25               56               19          =100
     Democrats               82                5               13          =100
     Independents            55               21               24          =100
 
 
     13.  Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination
          in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary Clinton and Barack
          Obama. Who would you MOST like to see nominated -- Clinton or Obama?
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED DEMOCRATS AND DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
 
         50  Clinton
         32  Obama
          2  Neither/Other (VOL.)
         16  Undecided
        100
 
 
     14.  How much would you say you know about Hillary Clinton and what she
          stands for... (READ)
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
        Total                                       Dem/Lean Dem
         45  A lot                                       42
         36  Some                                        39
         13  Only a little, OR                           14
          4  Nothing at all?                              4
          2  Don't know                                   1
        100                                             100
 
 
     15.  How much would you say you know about Barack Obama and what he stands
          for... (READ)
 
     BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
 
        Total                                       Dem/Lean Dem
         14  A lot                                       18
         27  Some                                        27
         27  Only a little, OR                           25
         31  Nothing at all?                             29
          1  Don't know                                   1
        100                                             100
 
 
     D2.  Now I have just a few more questions so we can describe the people
          who took part in our survey ... Regardless of how you might have
          voted in recent elections, in politics TODAY, do you consider
          yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
 
        Total                                           RVs
         26  Republican                                  28
         34  Democrat                                    35
         34  Independent                                 32
          3  No party/Not interested (VOL.)               2
          *  Other party (VOL.)                           1
          3  Don't know                                   2
        100                                             100
 
 
     END OF INTERVIEW.
 
     (1)  2006 trend from CBS News/New York Times poll. 1998 and 1999 trends
          from CBS News polls. All trends based on total adults.
 
     (2)  2006 trend from CBS News/New York Times poll. 1996, 1998 and 1999
          trends from CBS News polls. All trends based on total adults.
 
     (3)  Don't know/Refused category for all trends includes those who
          volunteered Depends.
 
     (4)  2000 trend from CBS News poll. 1991 trend from CBS News/New York
          Times poll; wording read "If your party nominated a generally well
          qualified black candidate for President, would you vote for him?".
          Trends based on total adults.
 
     (5)  Don't know/Refused category includes those who volunteered Depends.
 
     (6)  Trend from CBS News poll. Trend based on total adults.
 
     (7)  Don't know/Refused category includes those who volunteered Depends.
 
 SOURCE Newsweek