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Royal Caribbean Reports Better Than Expected First Quarter Results Due to Better Revenues and Expenses
Key Highlights
- First quarter 2009 net loss was
$36.2 million , or$0.17 per share, compared to net income of$75.6 million , or$0.35 per share in 2008. The results were significantly better than prior guidance of a loss of between$0.30 - $0.35 . - Net Yields for the first quarter decreased 13.5% versus 2008, better than the company's guidance of down 14% to 16%.
- Net Cruise Costs per APCD ("NCC") declined 7.0%, better than guidance of down 4% - 6%.
- NCC excluding bunker, declined 6.8% as compared to the first quarter of 2008 and versus guidance of a decrease of 5% to 7%. The improved cost control carries forward to provide expected full year NCC excluding bunker of down 6%-8%.
- For the year, the company projects revenue yields to be toward the lower end of its previous guidance (12%) - (13%).
- The slightly reduced revenue expectations are largely offset by the improved cost outlook and are expected to result in 2009 earnings per share of around
$1.35 . - As of
March 31 , the company had$1.1 billion in liquidity and expects to generate over$1 billion in operating cash flow in 2009. - The company recently received commitments for financing of Royal Caribbean International's Oasis of the Seas and signed credit agreements for Celebrity Equinox and Celebrity's fourth Solstice-class vessel scheduled to enter service in 2011.
"Obviously, we are never happy to report a loss, but I am pleased that the full year earnings outlook has not changed materially," said
First Quarter 2009 Results
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. today announced a net loss for the first quarter 2009 of
Revenues were
Fuel costs benefited from reductions in at-the-pump pricing and continued consumption reduction initiatives and were
Revenue Environment
While consumer spending continues to be impacted by the economy, the company noted that its overall revenue environment has remained relatively consistent since the end of last year. Discounting continues to be aggressive, yet remains within the range of previous guidance and booking volumes have been sufficient for the company to achieve its forecasted occupancy levels. "In January, we noted that our booking patterns had begun to stabilize but that there was still a high level of uncertainty in the market," said
Second quarter Net Yields are projected to decline approximately 17% on an as-reported basis and approximately 12% on a constant dollar basis. Third quarter yields are projected to perform slightly better than the second quarter on both an as-reported and constant dollar basis, mainly due to the company's Pullmantur brand, which will have much easier comparables from the prior year due to the earlier deterioration in the Spanish economy.
The second and third quarter Net Yields are projected to show the largest yield declines on an as-reported basis, as each quarter is impacted by approximately five percentage points based on current exchange rates. On a constant dollar basis, the second and third quarters are also being impacted by relatively weaker demand for the company's seasonal premium itineraries such as
Many of these same factors indicate that the fourth quarter will not suffer as large a revenue decline. In addition to having more favorable currency comparables and a product mix that is weighted more heavily toward relatively stronger
For the full year, the company expects Net Yields to decline 12% - 13% on an as-reported basis and 9% - 10% on a constant dollar basis. "A later booking pattern continues to make forecasting difficult, but our visibility gets better every day," said Rice. "We have lowered our revenue forecast marginally to take into account selected areas of weakness including a more cautious view of onboard revenue, but overall, our bookings continue to come in within the range of our earlier expectations. In today's world, that is significant."
Expense Guidance
Net cruise costs are forecasted to decrease 10% - 12% for the year and 11% - 12% for the second quarter. Excluding fuel, net cruise costs are expected to decline 6% - 8% for the year and approximately 9% for the second quarter.
In addition to a very successful cost savings program, the company has benefited from falling fuel prices and the stronger dollar. Based on current dollar exchange rates net cruise costs are realizing a benefit of approximately five percentage points in the second quarter and between two and three percentage points for the year. There continues to be some natural inverse correlation between revenues and expenses and the company's cost cutting initiatives are focused on taking advantage of this correlation.
Fuel Expense
The company does not forecast fuel prices and its cost calculations are based on current at-the-pump prices net of hedging impacts. Based on today's fuel prices the company has included
The company is currently 51% hedged for the second quarter and 48% for the full year. Because of the relatively low fuel prices available, the company has recently increased its hedges in 2010 to 40% and has hedged approximately 25% of forecasted 2011 consumption.
Second Quarter 2009 Full Year 2009
------------------- --------------
Fuel Consumption 300,000 mt 1,240,000 mt
Fuel Expenses $142 Million $574 Million
Percent Hedged (forward
consumption) 51% 48%
Impact of 10% change in
fuel prices $7 Million $22 Million
Forward Guidance Summary
The company provided the following estimates for the second quarter and full year 2009. Except for earnings per share, all estimates are as compared to the second quarter and full year 2008, respectively.
Second Quarter 2009 Full Year 2009
------------------- --------------
Earnings Per Share Flat - ($0.05) Around $1.35
Capacity 3.5% 5.9%
Net Yields Approx. (17%) (12%) - (13%)
Net Cruise Costs per APCD (11%) - (12%) (10%) - (12%)
Net Cruise Costs per APCD,
excluding Fuel Approx. (9%) (6%) - (8%)
Depreciation and
Amortization $135 to $140 Million $560 to $565 Million
Interest Expense $65 to $70 Million $295 to $300 Million
Based on its most recent guidance, the company forecasts it will generate in excess of
Liquidity and Financing Arrangements
As of
In April, the company announced that it had obtained financing commitments for up to 80% of the cost (
The company also entered into a credit agreement with KfW-IPEX for an unsecured term loan for up to 80% of the contract price of Celebrity Equinox (USD Equivalent of
Also during the quarter, the company entered into an agreement with KfW-IPEX for a 12-year unsecured term loan for up to 80% of the contract price of Celebrity Solstice IV (USD Equivalent of
Capital Expenditures and Capacity Guidance
Based on current ship orders, projected capital expenditures for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012, estimates are unchanged at
Projected capacity increases for the same four years are 5.9%, 11.4%, 8.4%, and 3.0%, respectively. The company's capacity figures have been updated for the sale of Pullmantur's Oceanic, which was sold to its new owner during the month of April.
Conference Call Scheduled
The company has scheduled a conference call at
Terminology
Available Passenger Cruise Days ("APCD")
APCDs are our measurement of capacity and represent double occupancy per cabin multiplied by the number of cruise days for the period.
Gross Cruise Costs
Gross Cruise Costs represent the sum of total cruise operating expenses plus marketing, selling and administrative expenses.
Gross Yields
Gross Yields represent total revenues per APCD.
Net Cruise Costs
Net Cruise Costs represent Gross Cruise Costs excluding commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. In measuring our ability to control costs in a manner that positively impacts net income, we believe changes in Net Cruise Costs to be the most relevant indicator of our performance. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Cruise Costs to projected Net Cruise Costs due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.
Net Debt-to-Capital
Net Debt-to-Capital is a ratio which represents total long-term debt, including current portion of long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents ("Net Debt") divided by the sum of Net Debt and total shareholders' equity. We believe Net Debt and Net Debt-to-Capital, along with total long-term debt and shareholders' equity are useful measures of our capital structure.
Net Revenues
Net Revenues represent total revenues less commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses.
Net Yields
Net Yields represent Net Revenues per APCD. We utilize Net Revenues and Net Yields to manage our business on a day-to-day basis as we believe that it is the most relevant measure of our pricing performance because it reflects the cruise revenues earned by us net of our most significant variable costs, which are commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Yields to projected Net Yields due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.
Occupancy
Occupancy, in accordance with cruise vacation industry practice, is calculated by dividing Passenger Cruise Days by APCD. A percentage in excess of 100% indicates that three or more passengers occupied some cabins.
Passenger Cruise Days
Passenger Cruise Days represent the number of passengers carried for the period multiplied by the number of days of their respective cruises.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise vacation company that operates Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Pullmantur, Azamara Cruises and CDF Croisieres de
Certain statements in this news release are forward-looking statements. Words such as "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goal", "intend", "may", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", "will", and similar expressions are intended to help identify these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements do not guarantee future performance and may involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied in those forward-looking statements. Examples of these risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to the following: general economic and business conditions, vacation industry competition and changes in industry capacity and overcapacity, the impact of tax and environmental laws and regulations affecting our business or our principal shareholders, the impact of changes in other laws and regulations affecting our business, the impact of pending or threatened litigation, the delivery of scheduled new ships, the impact of emergency ship repairs, including the related lost revenue, the impact of problems encountered at shipyards, including industrial actions, shipyard insolvency or financial difficulties, the impact on prices of new ships due to shortages in available shipyard facilities, component parts and shipyard consolidations, negative incidents involving cruise ships including those involving the health and safety of passengers, reduced consumer demand for cruises as a result of any number of reasons, including geo-political and economic uncertainties and the unavailability or cost of air service, fears of terrorist attacks, armed conflict and the resulting concerns over safety and security aspects of traveling, the impact of the spread of contagious diseases, the availability under our unsecured revolving credit facility, cash flows from operations and our ability to obtain new borrowings and raise new capital on terms that are favorable or consistent with our expectations to fund operations, debt payment requirements, capital expenditures and other commitments, the impact of a prolonged economic downturn on the demand for cruises, the impact of disruptions in the global financial markets on the ability of our counterparties and others to perform their obligations to us, changes in our stock price or principal shareholders, the impact of changes in operating and financing costs, including changes in foreign currency, interest rates, fuel, food, payroll, insurance and security costs, the unavailability of ports of call, weather, and other factors described in further detail in Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The above examples are not exhaustive and new risks emerge from time to time. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, certain financial measures in this news release constitute non-GAAP financial measures as defined by Regulation G. A reconciliation of these items can be found on our investor relations website at www.rclinvestor.com.
Financial Tables Follow
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(unaudited, in thousands, except per share data)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
---------
2009 2008
---- ----
Passenger ticket revenues $949,270 $1,037,903
Onboard and other revenues 376,332 391,182
------- -------
Total revenues 1,325,602 1,429,085
--------- ---------
Cruise operating expenses:
Commissions, transportation and other 235,829 257,940
Onboard and other 83,234 78,520
Payroll and related 168,746 154,239
Food 85,403 83,002
Fuel 154,875 158,234
Other operating 224,249 230,251
------- -------
Total cruise operating expenses 952,336 962,186
Marketing, selling and administrative
expenses 189,157 204,941
Depreciation and amortization expenses 139,856 124,390
------- -------
Operating Income 44,253 137,568
------ -------
Other income (expense):
Interest income 1,730 2,508
Interest expense, net of interest
capitalized (79,462) (77,948)
Other (expense) income (2,759) 13,479
------ ------
(80,491) (61,961)
------- -------
Net (Loss) Income $(36,238) $ 75,607
======== =======
(Loss) Earnings Per Share:
Basic $ (0.17) $ 0.35
====== =====
Diluted $ (0.17) $0.35
====== =====
Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding:
Basic 213,687 213,326
======= =======
Diluted 213,687 214,464
======= =======
STATISTICS
Quarter Ended
March 31,
---------
2009 2008
---- ----
Occupancy 101.2% 104.4%
Passenger Cruise Days 6,822,368 6,612,925
APCD 6,743,456 6,332,099
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands, except share data)
As of
------
March 31, December 31,
2009 2008
---- ----
(unaudited)
Assets
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 455,884 $ 402,878
Trade and other receivables, net 194,508 271,287
Inventories 91,957 96,077
Prepaid expenses and other assets 124,780 125,160
Derivative financial instruments 33,030 81,935
------ ------
Total current assets 900,159 977,337
Property and equipment, net 13,578,700 13,878,998
Goodwill 753,774 779,246
Other assets 958,394 827,729
------- -------
$16,191,027 $16,463,310
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
Current liabilities
Current portion of long-term debt $ 473,579 $471,893
Accounts payable 241,431 245,225
Accrued interest 108,573 128,879
Accrued expenses and other liabilities 565,051 687,369
Customer deposits 934,430 968,520
Hedged firm commitments 139,729 172,339
------- -------
Total current liabilities 2,462,793 2,674,225
Long-term debt 6,493,714 6,539,510
Other long-term liabilities 484,775 446,563
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders' equity
Preferred stock ($0.01 par value; 20,000,000
shares authorized; none outstanding) - -
Common stock ($0.01 par value; 500,000,000
shares authorized; 224,061,664 and
223,899,076 shares issued, March 31, 2009
and December 31, 2008, respectively) 2,241 2,239
Paid-in capital 2,958,477 2,952,540
Retained earnings 4,556,291 4,592,529
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (353,560) (319,936)
Treasury stock (10,308,683 and 11,076,701
common shares at cost, March 31, 2009 and
December 31, 2008, respectively) (413,704) (424,360)
-------- --------
Total shareholders' equity 6,749,745 6,803,012
--------- ---------
$16,191,027 $16,463,310
=========== ===========
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(unaudited, in thousands)
Quarter Ended
March 31,
---------
2009 2008
---- ----
Operating Activities
Net (loss) income $(36,238) $ 75,607
Adjustments:
Depreciation and amortization 139,856 124,390
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Decrease in trade and other receivables, net 64,954 81,033
Decrease (increase) in inventories 2,959 (227)
Increase in prepaid expenses and other assets (500) (17,593)
Decrease in accounts payable (2,304) (19,878)
Decrease in accrued interest (20,306) (41,545)
Decrease in accrued expenses and other
liabilities (28,610) (10,220)
(Decrease) increase in customer deposits (33,143) 112,092
Other, net 27,240 (1,856)
------ ------
Net cash provided by operating activities 113,908 301,803
------- -------
Investing Activities
Purchases of property and equipment (219,339) (260,788)
Cash received on settlement of derivative financial
instruments 26,658 154,502
Loans and equity contributions to unconsolidated
affiliates (152,209) (16,000)
Proceeds from the sale of Celebrity Galaxy 290,928 -
Other, net (6,434) (9,132)
------ ------
Net cash used in investing activities (60,396) (131,418)
------- --------
Financing Activities
Debt proceeds 813 345,000
Debt issuance costs (105) (11,121)
Repayments of debt (1,502) (265,846)
Dividends paid - (32,015)
Proceeds from exercise of common stock options - 2,788
Other, net (567) 176
---- ---
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities (1,361) 38,982
------ ------
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash 855 976
--- ---
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 53,006 210,343
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 402,878 230,784
------- -------
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $455,884 $441,127
======== ========
Supplemental Disclosure
Cash paid during the period for:
Interest, net of amount capitalized $70,884 $ 87,791
======= =======
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
NON-GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION
(unaudited)
Gross Yields and Net Yields were calculated as follows (in
thousands, except APCD and Yields):
Quarter Ended
March 31,
---------
2009 2008
---- ----
Passenger ticket revenues $ 949,270 $1,037,903
Onboard and other revenues 376,332 391,182
------- -------
Total revenues 1,325,602 1,429,085
========= =========
Less:
Commissions, transportation and other 235,829 257,940
Onboard and other 83,234 78,520
------ ------
Net revenues $1,006,539 $1,092,625
========== ==========
APCD 6,743,456 6,332,099
Gross Yields $ 196.58 $ 225.69
Net Yields $ 149.26 $ 172.55
Gross Cruise Costs and Net Cruise Costs were calculated as follows
(in thousands, except APCD and costs per APCD):
Quarter Ended
March 31,
---------
2009 2008
---- ----
Total cruise operating expenses $952,336 $962,186
Marketing, selling and administrative
expenses 189,157 204,941
------- -------
Gross Cruise Costs 1,141,493 1,167,127
========= =========
Less:
Commissions, transportation and other 235,829 257,940
Onboard and other 83,234 78,520
------ ------
Net Cruise Costs $822,430 $830,667
======== ========
APCD 6,743,456 6,332,099
Gross Cruise Costs per APCD $ 169.27 $ 184.32
Net Cruise Costs per APCD $ 121.96 $ 131.18
Net Debt-to-Capital was calculated as follows (in thousands):
As of
------
March 31, December 31,
2009 2008
---- ----
Long-term debt, net of current portion $ 6,493,714 $ 6,539,510
Current portion of long-term debt 473,579 471,893
------- -------
Total debt 6,967,293 7,011,403
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 455,884 402,878
------- -------
Net Debt $ 6,511,409 $ 6,608,525
========== ==========
Total shareholders' equity $ 6,749,745 $ 6,803,012
Total debt 6,967,293 7,011,403
--------- ---------
Total debt and shareholders' equity 13,717,038 13,814,415
========== ==========
Debt-to-Capital 50.8% 50.8%
Net Debt 6,511,409 6,608,525
--------- ---------
Net Debt and shareholders' equity $13,261,154 $13,411,537
=========== ===========
Net Debt-to-Capital 49.1% 49.3%
SOURCE Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.