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Season of good cheer: U.S. Consumer confidence twice as strong as a year ago, according to RBC Index
"Traditionally, the holidays are a season of hope and optimism. Despite continuing high unemployment and weak assessments of personal finances, the RBC Index shows that American consumers are optimistic that the economy will soon begin to improve," said RBC Capital Markets U.S. economist
The RBC Index is a monthly national survey of consumer attitudes on the current and future state of local economies, personal finance situations, savings and confidence to make large investments. The Index is composed of four sub-indices: RBC Current Conditions Index; RBC Expectations Index; RBC Investment Index; and, RBC Jobs Index. The Index is benchmarked to a baseline of 100 assigned at its introduction in
Improvements this month were seen across all facets of consumer confidence as reflected in the RBC Index's four sub-indices. Highlights of the survey results include:
- Confidence in current conditions improved in the last month, with the
RBC Current Conditions Index for December 2009 standing at 37.0, up 8
points from the November reading of 28.8. Consumers report they are
more comfortable purchasing not only household products but also
major items such as a house or car. However, the percentage of
consumers rating their personal financial situation as "weak" remains
at roughly one-third; in comparison, only 21 percent rate their
current personal finances as strong.
- Consumer expectations for the near-term economic future improved
significantly in December, driven primarily by increasingly positive
attitudes regarding the local economy. This movement, coupled with
marginal improvements in expectations for personal finances, helped
the RBC Expectations Index for December jump to 40.4, an 18-point
increase from the 21.9 reading in November.
- The RBC Investment Index climbed 10 points this month, to 46.9 from a
36.6 level in November. The improvement in investment confidence
stems from both increasing confidence in the ability to invest in the
future. Gains in investment confidence and the stability of
assessments of personal finance contribute to the improvement. Among
the groups expressing more confidence were young people (under age
35), African-Americans and Hispanics.
- The RBC Jobs Index for December edged up 0.5 points to stand at 51.4,
compared to 50.9 in November. Six in ten consumers (62 percent)
report they are less confident about job security (compared to 66
percent in November). Confidence in the job market has held steady
over the past month despite more Americans saying they or someone in
their close circle has lost a job in the last six months. Seven-in-10
Americans (71 percent) personally know someone who has lost a job, up
from 66 percent in November.
The RBC Index report can be viewed at: www.rbc.com/newsroom/rbc-cash-index.html.
Royal Bank of
SOURCE RBC
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