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Segal Survey Predicts Declines in Trends for Fifth Consecutive Year
NEW YORK, Sept. 19, /PRNewswire/ -- The 2008 Segal Health Plan Cost
Trend Survey forecasts continued declines in trends for 2008, marking the
fifth consecutive year of declining medical trends. And, although a growing
number of health plans project single-digit trends for 2008, health plan
costs trends are still significantly above general inflation. Key findings
include:
-- Over the past five years, projected trend rates for point-of-service
(POS) medical plans (including prescription drugs) for actives and
retirees under 65 has declined from a high of 14.9% in 2003 to 10.5%
for 2008.
-- Prescription drug projected trends have declined dramatically, by
nearly nine percentage points, since their high of 19.5% in 2003.
www.segalco.com/publications/surveysandstudies/2008trendsurveysupplement.pdf
-- Price inflation appears to be the biggest element of overall medical
plan trend, accounting for approximately 60% of overall projected
preferred provider organization (PPO) trend in 2008.
-- The survey found some regional variation in medical trend projections
- ranging from a low of 9.4% in the Midwest to a high of 11.7% in the
West.
The 2008 Segal Health Plan Cost Trend Survey compares historical
forecasts to actual cost increases. The Survey reports projections for 2008
obtained from a survey of managed care organizations, health insurers,
pharmacy benefit managers and third party administrators. The survey also
covers trend rates for PPOs and HMOs, Medicare Advantage plans, dental and
vision care plans.
According to Edward A. Kaplan, Segal's National Health Practice Leader,
"The most successful plan sponsors are examining detailed claims data to
determine what diseases, conditions, facilities and treatments are driving
cost increases. Then they are using integrated data mining to develop
targeted intervention strategies to identify gaps in needed treatment for
participants, poor quality health care delivery to participants and ways
they can improve the health and health care consumption of their
participants and reduce health trends to manageable levels."
The complete survey report can be found at:
www.segalco.com/publications/surveysandstudies/2008trendsurvey.pdf
The Segal Company (www.segalco.com) is an independent, US-based firm of
benefit, compensation and human resources consultants. Clients include
corporations, non-profit organizations, professional service firms, state
and local governments and joint boards of trustees administering pension
and health and welfare plans under the Taft-Hartley Act.
Contact:
Mary L. Feldman
(212) 251-5029
mfeldman@segalco.com
SOURCE The 2008 Segal Health Plan Cost Trend Survey













