The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia Decreased

Aug 24, 2015, 20:00 ET from The Conference Board

NEW YORK, Aug. 24, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia declined 0.2 percent in June to 104.5 (2010 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in May, and a 0.3 percent decline in April.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Australia, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.2 percent in June to 108.5 (2010 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in May, and no change in April.

The Conference Board LEI for Australia decreased modestly in June but the strengths among its components remain more widespread than the weaknesses. The six-month growth rate of the LEI, while better compared to six months ago, has slowed in recent months. Meanwhile, the CEI for Australia continues to increase, and its six-month growth rate has remained relatively steady over the same time span. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that the current economic expansion should continue in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Australia include:

Yield Spread, 10 year minus Policy Rate
Share Prices, All Ordinaries
Money Supply, M3
Rural Goods Exports
Sales to Inventory Ratio
Gross Operating Surplus, Private Non-Financial Corporations
Building Approvals

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=7

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes


2015


6-month


Apr


May


Jun


Dec to Jun










Leading Economic Index

104.5

p

104.7

p

104.5

p



  Percent Change

-0.3

p

0.2

p

-0.2

p

0.9


  Diffusion

57.1


71.4


57.1


85.7











Coincident Economic Index

108.1

p

108.3

p

108.5

p



  Percent Change

0.0

p

0.2

p

0.2

p

1.1


  Diffusion

75.0


75.0


87.5


100.0











n.a.  Not available     p  Preliminary     r  Revised






Indexes equal 100 in 2010









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SOURCE The Conference Board



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