The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea Declines

Sep 13, 2011, 21:00 ET from The Conference Board

NEW YORK, Sept. 13, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea declined 0.2 percent in July to 121.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.5 percent decline in June, and a 0.5 percent increase in May.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Korea, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.1 percent in July to 115.7 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in June and a 0.3 percent increase in May.

The Conference Board LEI for Korea has been on an essentially flat trend this year, and its six-month growth rate has slowed from the beginning of this year. Meanwhile, The Conference Board CEI for Korea continued to increase through July, but its growth rate has also moderated in recent months. The current behavior of the composite indexes and their components suggest that economic expansion should continue in the coming months, albeit at a more moderate pace.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea

The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Korea include:

Stock Prices
Value of Machinery Orders
Letter of Credit Arrivals
Index of Shipments to Inventories
Export FOB
Yield of Government Public Bonds
Private Construction Orders

For more information including full press release and technical notes: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=6

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes


2011

6-month


May

Jun

Jul

Jan to Jul






Leading Economic index (LEI)

122.7

122.1 r

121.8


   Percent Change

0.5

-0.5 r

-0.2

0.1

   Diffusion

71.4

21.4 r

35.7

42.9






Coincident Economic Index (CEI)

115.4 p

115.6 p

115.7 p


   Percent Change

0.3 p

0.2 p

0.1 p

0.7 p

   Diffusion

87.5

75.0

50.0

50.0






n.a. Not available     p Preliminary     r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

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SOURCE The Conference Board



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