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Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Second Quarter Results

 

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., Aug. 7 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (Nasdaq: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 of $359.4 million compared to a net loss of $55.2 million for the first quarter of 2009 and a net loss of $198.8 million for the second quarter of 2008. The 2009 second quarter diluted loss per share was $23.91 compared to a diluted loss per share of $3.68 for the 2009 first quarter and $13.36 for the second quarter of 2008.

The net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2009 was $414.6 million compared to a net loss of $348.8 million for the six months ended June 30, 2008. The diluted loss per share was $27.65 for the six months ended June 30, 2009 compared to a diluted loss per share of $23.45 for six months ended June 30, 2008.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "During the second quarter of 2009, we experienced a further decline in the cure rates on loans in default as well as higher severity on settled losses. The cure rate and settled loss severity are two key components in the calculation of the reserves for loans in default and the deterioration of these factors contributed to a significant increase in our loss reserves for the second quarter. In addition to the increase in loss reserves, settled losses increased significantly as more loans from the 2006 and 2007 vintages are now completing the foreclosure process. While the amount of risk going into default declined during the quarter, it was not enough to offset the negative financial impact of the increase in reserves. As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims paying ability."

Total insurance in force declined to $57.5 billion at June 30, 2009, a 4.9% drop from March 31, 2009 and a 13.3% decline from June 30, 2008. Our persistency rates have remained high over the past year reflecting restrictive credit standards in mortgage lending and declining home prices, both of which limit the opportunities for borrowers to refinance existing mortgages. When credit becomes more available and home prices stabilize, however, we expect that our persistency rates and the related premium revenue will be negatively affected.

Total revenues grew to $77.7 million for the second quarter of 2009 from $50.9 million in the first quarter of 2009 and $75.2 million for the second quarter of 2008. Despite a decline in insurance in force during the second quarter of 2009, earned premiums were higher than the first quarter as the combined impact of cash premium refunds and the change in the non-cash accrual for premium refunds was minimal in the second quarter of 2009 compared to a reduction in earned premium of $24.4 million in the first quarter of 2009. Non-cash impairment losses on invested assets in the second quarter of 2009 were negligible while we realized investment gains on the disposition of previously impaired assets of $2.1 million. The net investment gain for the second quarter compares favorably with a net loss of $4.6 million in the first quarter of 2009 and a $3.8 million loss for the second quarter of 2008, primarily the result of impairment charges.

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses were $431.4 million for the second quarter of 2009, a significant increase compared to $101.6 million for the first quarter of 2009 and $292.7 million for the second quarter of 2008. Net settled losses also increased substantially in the second quarter of 2009, totaling $149.9 million compared to $53.9 million in the first quarter of 2009 and $68.3 million in the second quarter of 2008. The increase in net settled losses during the quarter was due to the lifting of various foreclosure moratoriums and the progression of the higher number of defaults from the 2006 and 2007 vintages through the foreclosure process. We expect that settled losses will continue to grow in future quarters, but at a much slower rate than that experienced in the second quarter of 2009. Settled losses were reduced by approximately $13.9 million in the second quarter and $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2009, the result of captive and excess-of-loss reinsurance ceded losses.

In the second quarter of 2009, loss reserves increased by $279.0 million compared to an increase of $39.6 million in the first quarter of 2009 and $218.6 million in the second quarter of 2008. The substantial increase in the second quarter of 2009 was primarily due to increases in both the severity and frequency factors utilized in our reserve methodology. The cure rate on loans three or more months in default dropped to a historic low during the second quarter of 2009 which, along with increasing severity on settled claims, necessitated the increase in the severity and frequency factors. In addition to the factor changes, the growth in loss reserves during the second quarter of 2009 was also due to a 9% increase in reported loans in default. We continue to recognize significant benefits from captive reinsurance programs and stop loss provisions contained in our Modified Pool contracts. For the second quarter of 2009, we recognized benefits of $285.4 million from risk-sharing structures, compared with $97.4 million in the first quarter of 2009 and $52.4 million in the second quarter of 2008.

Expenses were down moderately for the second quarter of 2009 as compared to the first quarter of 2009 and down significantly compared to the second quarter of 2008, primarily due to the recognition of the severance and other exit costs as we transitioned into run-off in the second quarter of 2008. The increase in interest expense in the second quarter of 2009 reflects a $1.2 million accrual for potential interest owed from a recently completed Federal tax examination.

Beginning on June 1, 2009, all valid claims under Triad's mortgage guaranty insurance policies are being settled 60% in cash and 40% by the creation of a deferred payment obligation ("DPO") payable to the insured. The DPO will accrue a carrying charge based on the investment yield earned by our investment portfolio. Payments of the carrying charge and the DPO will be subject to our future financial performance and will require the approval of the Director of the Illinois Department of Insurance. Under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, the DPOs and the related accrued interest are recorded as liabilities and are included in the "deferred payment obligation" line on our balance sheet.

We have updated the supplemental information for the 2009 second quarter results related to product differentiation, risk structures, additional portfolio characteristics and performance on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com. The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information - Second Quarter 2009".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a voluntary run-off of its existing in-force book of business. For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.

                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
                       Consolidated Statement of Operations

                                   Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended
                                         June 30,              June 30,
                                       (Unaudited)           (Unaudited)

                                      2009       2008       2009       2008
                                      ----       ----       ----       ----
                               (Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)

      Earned premiums               $64,833    $69,865   $109,191   $141,929
      Net investment income          10,859      9,175     22,051     18,722
      Net realized investment
       gains (losses)                 2,017     (3,799)    (2,548)    (1,096)
      Other income                        2          2          4          4
                                       ----       ----       ----       ----
        Total revenues               77,711     75,243    128,698    159,559

      Losses and loss
       adjustment expenses:
        Net settled claims          149,863     68,263    203,783    108,350
        Change in reserves          278,956    218,568    318,584    393,512
        Loss adjustment expenses      2,549      5,918     10,578     12,146
                                      -----      -----     ------     ------
            Net losses and loss
             adjustment expenses    431,368    292,749    532,945    514,008

      Net change in premium
       deficiency reserve                 -    (15,000)         -          -
      Interest expense                1,895        696      2,589      2,172
      Policy acquisition costs            -          -          -     39,416
      Other operating
       expenses - net                 8,680     27,238     18,091     41,344
                                      -----     ------     ------     ------
      Loss before
       income taxes                (364,232)  (230,440)  (424,927)  (437,381)

      Income tax benefit             (4,813)   (31,629)   (10,334)   (88,556)
                                     ------    -------    -------    -------

      Net loss                    $(359,419) $(198,811) $(414,593) $(348,825)
                                  =========  =========  =========  =========

      Diluted loss per share        $(23.91)   $(13.36)   $(27.65)   $(23.45)

      Diluted weighted
       average common and
       common stock equivalents
       outstanding (in thousands)    15,031     14,879     14,995     14,874



                                   Triad Guaranty Inc.
                               Consolidated Balance Sheet

                                       (Unaudited)                (Unaudited)
                                         June 30,     December 31,  June 30,
                                           2009          2008         2008
                                           ----          ----         ----
                               (Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
    Assets:
      Invested assets:
         Fixed maturities, available
          for sale, at market            $847,809      $854,186     $843,951
         Equity securities, available
          for sale, at market                  31           583        1,749
         Short-term investments             3,800        40,653       23,322
                                            -----        ------       ------
                                          851,640       895,422      869,022

      Cash and cash equivalents            31,600        39,940       19,669
      Prepaid federal income tax               15            15       63,183
      Reinsurance recoverable             234,248       150,848       55,316
      Other assets                         57,635        44,309       56,608
                                           ------        ------       ------
           Total assets                $1,175,138    $1,130,534   $1,063,798
                                       ==========    ==========   ==========

    Liabilities:
      Losses and loss adjustment
       expenses                        $1,591,207    $1,187,840     $817,262
      Unearned premiums                    14,890        15,863       18,360
      Deferred income tax                       -             -       30,386
      Long-term debt                       34,535        34,529       34,527
      Deferred payment obligation          27,020             -            -
      Other liabilities                    37,175        28,968       22,354
                                           ------        ------       ------
          Total liabilities             1,704,827     1,267,200      922,889

    Stockholders' equity:
      Retained earnings (accumulated
       deficit)                          (670,102)     (255,509)      26,793
      Accumulated other
       comprehensive income                27,262         6,063        2,585
      Other equity accounts               113,151       112,780      111,531
                                          -------       -------      -------
         Total stockholders' equity
          (deficit in assets)            (529,689)     (136,666)     140,909
                                         --------      --------      -------
    Total liabilities and
     stockholders' equity              $1,175,138    $1,130,534   $1,063,798
                                       ==========    ==========   ==========

    Stockholders' equity (deficit in
     assets) per share:                   $(34.81)       $(9.01)       $9.32

    Common shares outstanding          15,215,378    15,161,259   15,117,733



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                     Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow

                                                     Six Months Ended
                                                          June 30,
                                                        (Unaudited)
                                                    2009          2008
                                                    ----          ----
                                                  (Dollars in Thousands)

    OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net loss                                     $(414,593)    $(348,825)
    Adjustments to reconcile net loss to
     net cash provided by operating activities:
      Increase in loss and unearned premium
       reserves                                    402,394       457,890
      Increase in amounts due to/from
       reinsurer                                   (84,004)      (56,026)
      Net realized investment losses                 2,548         1,096
      Policy acquisition costs deferred                  -        (3,173)
      Amortization of policy acquisition costs           -        39,416
      Decrease in deferred income taxes            (11,415)      (88,554)
      Redemption of Tax and Loss Bonds                   -        52,824
      Increase in deferred payment obligation       27,020             -
      Other operating activities                     6,410        23,565
                                                     -----        ------
    Net cash (used in) provided by
     operating activities                          (71,640)       78,213
                                                   -------        ------

    INVESTING ACTIVITIES
      Purchases of investment securities          (128,623)     (584,572)
      Sales and maturities of investment
       securities                                  155,188       450,706
      Decrease in short-term investments            36,769        31,655
      Other investing activities                       (34)       (1,080)
                                                    ------       -------
    Net cash provided by (used in) investing
     activities                                     63,300      (103,291)
                                                    ------      --------

    FINANCING ACTIVITIES
      Repayments on credit facility                      -       (80,000)
                                                    ------       -------
    Net cash used in financing activities                -       (80,000)
                                                    ------       -------

    Foreign currency translation adjustment              -           (64)
                                                    ------       -------

    Net decrease in cash                            (8,340)     (105,142)
    Cash at beginning of period                     39,940       124,811
                                                    ------       -------
    Cash at end of period                          $31,600       $19,669
                                                   =======       =======


                                Triad Guaranty Inc.
                   Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                    (Unaudited)

                               Jun 30, Mar 31, Dec 31, Sep 30, Jun 30, Mar 31,
                                2009    2009    2008    2008    2008    2008

                              (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in
     force:
       - Flow business        $35,969 $37,881 $39,370 $40,451 $41,645 $42,086
       - Structured bulk
        transactions            3,579   3,780   3,902   4,065   4,248   4,374
                                -----   -----   -----   -----   -----   -----
           Total Primary
            insurance in
            force              39,548  41,662  43,272  44,516  45,894  46,459
    Modified Pool
     insurance in force        17,965  18,825  19,312  19,823  20,439  21,187
                               ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
           Total insurance
            in force          $57,513 $60,487 $62,584 $64,339 $66,333 $67,646
                              ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary              232,828 243,548 252,368 259,556 267,689 272,289
       - Modified Pool         87,522  90,553  92,687  95,089  97,960 101,723
                               ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------
           Total number of
            insured loans     320,350 334,101 345,055 354,645 365,649 374,012
                              ======= ======= ======= ======= ======= =======

    Primary net risk in
     force:
      - Flow business          $8,165  $8,634  $8,972  $9,234  $9,524  $9,671
      - Structured bulk
       business                 1,193   1,256   1,298   1,358   1,425   1,470
                                -----   -----   -----   -----   -----   -----
           Total Primary net
            risk in force      $9,359  $9,890 $10,270 $10,592 $10,949 $11,141
                               ======  ====== ======= ======= ======= =======

    Modified Pool risk in
     force net of stop loss      $746    $812    $837    $853    $875    $903
      Deductibles on modified
       pool risk                  $55     $72     $88     $95    $103    $108

    Primary flow insurance in
     force subject to
     captive reinsurance
     arrangements                56.0%   55.3%   55.1%   57.6%   57.9%   58.8%

    Primary annual
     persistency rate            85.6%   86.9%   86.6%   85.8%   85.1%   83.3%


                                         Dec 31,   Sep 30,   Jun 30,
                                          2007      2007      2007
                                          ----      ----      ----
                              (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force
    ------------------

    Primary insurance in force:
       - Flow business                  $41,840   $40,610   $38,590
       - Structured bulk
        transactions                      4,525     4,700     4,133
                                          -----     -----     -----
           Total Primary insurance
            in force                     46,365    45,310    42,724
    Modified Pool insurance in force     21,863    22,737    23,649
                                         ------    ------    ------
           Total insurance in force     $68,228   $68,047   $66,373
                                        =======   =======   =======

    Number of insured loans:
       - Primary                        273,798   269,681   258,163
       - Modified Pool                  105,109   109,133   113,725
                                        -------   -------   -------
           Total number of insured
            loans                       378,907   378,814   371,888
                                        =======   =======   =======

    Primary net risk in force:
      - Flow business                    $9,642    $9,350    $8,866
      - Structured bulk business          1,525     1,583     1,373
                                          -----     -----     -----
           Total Primary net risk
            in force                    $11,166   $10,933   $10,239
                                        =======   =======   =======

    Modified Pool risk in
     force net of stop loss                $913      $922      $935
      Deductibles on modified
       pool risk                           $112      $115      $117

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                          59.0%     58.0%     56.8%

    Primary annual persistency rate        81.4%     79.1%     77.7%



                                  Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                                      (Unaudited)

                         Jun 30,  Mar 31,    Dec 31, Sep 30, Jun 30,  Mar 31,
                          2009     2009       2008    2008    2008     2008
                          ----     ----       ----    ----    ----     ----
                            (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and Claim Information
    -----------------------------------

    Total Primary
     delinquent loans    31,338    28,646     24,241  19,441  16,075   13,322
      - Flow business    26,599    24,292     20,644  16,456  13,710   11,576
      - Bulk business     4,739     4,354      3,597   2,985   2,365    1,746

    Total Modified
     Pool delinquent
     loans               21,270    19,686     16,045  12,664  10,526    8,594

    Total Primary
     delinquency rate     13.46%    11.76%      9.61%   7.49%   6.01%    4.89%

    Modified Pool
     delinquency rate     24.30%    21.74%     17.31%  13.32%  10.75%    8.45%

    Primary average
     settled severity
     ($ thousands)        $64.8     $53.9      $58.4   $51.3   $52.4    $42.6
      - Flow business     $63.0     $50.2      $54.2   $49.4   $49.3    $41.4
      - Bulk business     $78.7     $88.8      $93.6   $77.5   $90.8    $68.3

    Primary direct
     settled claims
     ($ thousands)     $114,947   $56,276    $64,647 $48,766 $48,187  $29,235
      - Flow business   $99,119   $47,397    $53,698 $43,727 $41,921  $27,117
      - Bulk business   $15,828    $8,879    $10,950  $5,040  $6,266   $2,119

    Modified Pool
     average settled
     severity
     ($ thousands)        $59.0     $59.0      $63.4   $71.7   $55.6    $65.0

    Modified Pool
     direct settled
     claims
     ($ thousands)      $48,826    $7,735     $4,943 $10,755 $20,192  $10,852

    Gross Case
     Reserves as
     percent of risk
     in default (2)        53.5%     40.0%      42.0%   45.4%   45.0%    40.5%


    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP     665.4%    229.0%     357.3%  352.1%  419.0%   307.0%
    Expense ratio - GAAP   13.6%     21.2%      17.7%   13.6%   39.4%    25.5%
                           ----      ----       ----    ----    ----     ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP 679.0%    250.2%     375.0%  365.7%  458.4%   332.5%
                          =====     =====      =====   =====   =====    =====

    Risk-to-capital
     ratio               56.3:1(4) 27.0:1(4) 125.2:1  39.7:1  42.7:1   27.7:1



                                     Dec 31,  Sep 30,      Jun 30,
                                      2007     2007         2007
                                      ----     ----         ----
                           (Dollars in millions unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and Claim Information
    -----------------------------------

    Total Primary
     delinquent loans               10,419     7,541        5,940
      - Flow business                9,166     6,807        5,504
      - Bulk business                1,253       734          436

    Total Modified
     Pool delinquent loans           6,402     4,826        3,913

    Total Primary
     delinquency rate                 3.81%     2.80%        2.30%

    Modified Pool
     delinquency rate                 6.09%     4.42%        3.44%

    Primary average
     settled severity
     ($ thousands)                   $41.6     $36.9        $30.9
      - Flow business                $40.9     $36.9        $30.9
      - Bulk business                $63.9     $35.9        $30.1

    Primary direct
     settled claims
     ($ thousands)                 $27,012   $23,058      $16,687
      - Flow business              $25,798   $22,090      $15,965
      - Bulk business               $1,214      $968         $722

    Modified Pool
     average settled
     severity
     ($ thousands)                   $57.9     $41.3        $26.6

    Modified Pool
     direct settled
     claims ($ thousands)           $9,328    $5,413       $1,386

    Gross Case
     Reserves as
     percent of risk in
     default (2)                      36.6%     32.1%        26.9%

    Financial Information (3)
    -------------------------

    Loss ratio - GAAP                262.1%    148.2%        60.1%
    Expense ratio - GAAP              20.8%     22.4%        21.9%
                                      ----      ----         ----
    Combined ratio - GAAP            282.9%    170.6%        82.0%
                                     =====     =====         ====

    Risk-to-capital ratio           20.5:1    17.8:1       16.0:1


    (1) We record reserves in our financial statements for defaults on
    contracts where the incurred losses have exceeded the amount of the
    deductible.
    (2) Reflects gross case reserves, which excludes IBNR and ceded reserves,
    as a percent of risk in default for total primary delinquent loans and
    total modified pool delinquent loans.
    (3) The Loss & Expense Ratios do not reflect any impact from establishment
    of Premium Deficiency Reserve.
    (4) Reflects the impact of the Corrective Order issued by the Illinois
    Director of Insurance effective March 31, 2009.



                                   TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                      Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                       (unaudited)

                   Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
                                    (Dollars in thousands)
                                    ----------------------
                  Jun 30,   Mar 31,   Dec 31,    Sep 30,    Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                   2009      2009       2008       2008       2008       2008
                   ----      ----       ----       ----       ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned
       premiums  $64,833   $44,358    $49,840    $65,654    $69,865    $72,065
      Net
       investment
       income     10,859    11,192     10,509     10,349      9,175      9,547
      Realized
       investment
       gains
       (losses)    2,017    (4,565)   (18,944)    (6,519)    (3,799)     2,703
      Other
       income
       (loss)          2         2          2          2          2          2
                  ------    ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
        Total
         revenues 77,711    50,987     41,407     69,486     75,243     84,317
                  ------    ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
    Losses and
     expenses:
       Net
        settled
        claims   149,863    53,920     69,372     59,357     68,263     40,471
       Change in
        reserves 278,956    39,628    106,080    165,958    218,568    174,561
       Loss
        adjustment
        expenses   2,549     8,029      2,647      5,879      5,918      6,227
                   -----     -----      -----      -----      -----      -----
      Net losses
       and LAE   431,368   101,577    178,099    231,194    292,749    221,259
      Change in
       premium
       deficiency
       reserve         -         -          -          -    (15,000)    15,000
      Interest
       expense     1,895       694        694        691        696      1,476
      Amortization
       of DAC          -         -          -          -          -     39,416
      Other
       operating
       expenses    8,680     9,411      8,639      8,726     27,238     14,106
                   -----     -----      -----      -----     ------     ------
       Total
        losses
        and
        expenses 441,943   111,682    187,432    240,611    305,683    291,257
                 -------   -------    -------    -------    -------    -------
    Income (loss)
     before
     income
     taxes     (364,232)  (60,695)  (146,025)  (171,125)  (230,440)  (206,940)
      Income
       taxes
       (benefit) (4,813)   (5,521)   (23,818)   (11,030)   (31,629)   (56,926)
                 ------    ------    -------    -------    -------    -------
    Net income
     (loss)   $(359,419) $(55,174) $(122,207) $(160,095) $(198,811) $(150,014)
               =========  ========  =========  =========  =========  =========



                                      Dec 31,     Sep 30,    Jun 30,
                                       2007        2007       2007
                                       ----        ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums                $73,130     $72,090    $69,732
      Net investment income            9,544       8,370      7,673
      Realized
       investment gains (losses)         (29)         85     (3,867)
      Other income (loss)                  2           2          2
                                     -------     -------     ------
        Total revenues                82,647      80,547     73,540
                                      ------      ------     ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net settled claims           36,341      28,471     18,073
         Change in reserves          150,687      76,612     23,052
         Loss adjustment expenses      4,624       1,730        768
                                     -------     -------     ------
      Net losses and LAE             191,652     106,813     41,893
      Change in premium
       deficiency reserve                  -           -          -
      Interest expense                 1,828       1,161        694
      Amortization of DAC              4,637       4,567      4,670
      Other operating expenses        10,895      11,686     10,716
                                      ------      ------     ------
        Total losses
         and expenses                209,012     124,227     57,973
                                     -------     -------     ------
    Income (loss) before
     income taxes                   (126,365)    (43,680)    15,567
      Income taxes (benefit)         (51,406)    (11,831)     3,541
                                     -------     -------      -----
    Net income (loss)               $(74,959)   $(31,849)   $12,026
                                    ========    ========    =======



                               Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of
                                    (Dollars in thousands)
                                    ----------------------
                Jun 30,    Mar 31,    Dec 31,    Sep 30,    Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                 2009       2009       2008       2008       2008       2008
                 ----       ----       ----       ----       ----       ----
    Assets
      Invested
       assets  $851,640   $918,531   $895,422   $890,720   $869,022   $760,073
      Cash       31,600     21,394     39,940     47,818     19,669     80,544
      Real
       estate
       acquired     526        526        713      3,661      6,202      8,993
      Deferred
       policy
       acquisition
       costs          -          -          -          -          -          -
      Prepaid
       federal
       income tax    15         15         15         15     63,184    115,598
      Reinsurance
       recover-
       able     234,248    182,589    150,848    111,827     55,316     93,244
      Other
       assets    57,109     52,307     43,596     47,915     50,405     52,572
                 ------     ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
        Total
         asse-
         ts  $1,175,138 $1,175,362 $1,130,534 $1,101,956 $1,063,798 $1,111,024
             ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ==========


    Liabilities
     and stockholders'
     equity
      Liabilities:
       Losses
        and loss
        adjust-
        ment
        expen-
        ses  $1,591,207 $1,262,746 $1,187,840 $1,042,053   $817,262   $547,766
       Premium
        deficiency
        reserve       -          -          -          -          -     96,073
       Deferred
        income
        taxes         -          -          -     22,889     30,386     61,522
       Borrowing
        under
        credit
        facility      -          -          -          -          -          -
       Long
        term
        debt     34,535     34,532     34,529     34,527     34,527     34,522
       Accrued
        expenses
        and
        other
        liabil-
        ities    79,085     59,477     44,831     30,887     40,714     32,699
                 ------     ------     ------     ------     ------     ------
      Total
       liabil-
       ities  1,704,827  1,356,755  1,267,200  1,130,356    922,889    772,582
      Total
       stock-
       holders'
       equity
       (deficit
       in
       assets) (529,689)  (181,393)  (136,666)   (28,400)   140,909    338,442
               --------   --------   --------    -------    -------    -------
      Total
       liabilities
       and
       stock-
       holders'
       equi-
       ty    $1,175,138 $1,175,362 $1,130,534 $1,101,956 $1,063,798 $1,111,024
             ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ==========



                                         Dec 31,    Sep 30,  Jun 30,
                                          2007       2007     2007
                                          ----       ----     ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                  $784,539   $794,373 $674,199
      Cash                              124,811     30,617   26,711
      Real estate acquired               10,860     12,566    7,923
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs                 36,243     35,574   35,157
      Prepaid federal income tax        116,008    168,817  170,076
      Reinsurance recoverable             5,815          2        1
      Other assets                       54,577     54,724   46,210
                                         ------     ------   ------
      Total assets                   $1,132,853 $1,096,673 $960,277
                                     ========== ========== ========


    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
       Losses and loss
        adjustment expenses            $359,939   $200,455 $122,061
       Premium deficiency reserve             -          -        -
       Deferred income taxes            123,297    170,477  177,888
       Borrowing under
        credit facility                  80,000     80,000        -
       Long term debt                    34,519     34,517   34,514
       Accrued expenses
        and other liabilities            36,247     39,754   31,191
                                         ------     ------   ------
      Total liabilities                 634,002    525,203  365,654
      Total stockholders' equity
      (deficit in assets)               498,851    571,470  594,623
                                        -------    -------  -------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity          $1,132,853 $1,096,673 $960,277
                                     ========== ========== ========

SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.

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