Reportlinker Adds Satellite Ultra Broadband

Jun 21, 2010, 14:57 ET from Reportlinker

NEW YORK, June 21 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:

Satellite Ultra Broadband

http://www.reportlinker.com/p0205809/Satellite-Ultra-Broadband.html

This report examines the most recent developments in the US, Asia & Europe, analyzes the positioning of satellite-based solutions compared to other alternative technologies, starting with 3.5G and LTE, & assesses the opportunities tied to their deployment as fixed access solutions for residential users in EU & North Africa. And finally, the report takes a look at the status of the race to roll out ultra broadband solutions & the role that satellite can play.

Key questions

  • What plans have European countries adopted to reduce the digital divide?
  • Is satellite part of the solutions included in these plans?
  • Does satellite have a part to play in the current race to deploy ultra broadband?
  • What assets does satellite have compared to LTE?
  • What is the potential market

1. Executive Summary .............. 10

1.1. Is satellite a competitive solution for reducing the digital divide? ............ 11

1.2. Efforts being devoted currently less to the digital divide than to the drive to roll out

ultra-broadband ............. 11

1.3. How should satellite position itself with respect to terrestrial technologies: as

complement or competitor? ......... 12

1.4. Broadband satellite market expected to grow by 45% annually between now and

2014 12

2. Introduction ............ 14

3. Methodology ........... 15

4. The race to install ultra-broadband running parallel to efforts to reduce the digital

divide ....... 17

4.1. In the United States ...... 17

4.2. In Asia ............ 18

4.3. In Europe ....... 19

4.4. The situation in the UK . 22

4.5. The situation in France . 23

5. Switch to superfast broadband spurred by the rise of the digital home ... 26

5.1. Digitized content and devices… .. 26

5.2. Which leads to increased demand for bandwidth ...... 27

6. Can satellite be a key technology for providing end-user access? ........... 28

6.1. Features of two-way access ........ 28

6.1.1. How it works ... 28

6.1.2. Technical specificities tied to use of the Ka band ....... 31

6.1.3. Economic advantages of using the Ka band 31

6.1.4. Increasingly competitive commercial offers . 32

6.1.5. Latency not a major obstacle ........ 33

6.2. A technology that's back in the news .......... 36

6.2.1. In North America ............ 36

WildBlue Communications ............ 36

Hughes Communications .............. 39

ViaSat ............ 42

Telesat ........... 45

6.2.2. In Asia ............ 47

IPSTAR .......... 47

6.2.3. In Europe ....... 51

Avanti Broadband .......... 51

Eutelsat Tooway and the satellite KA-SAT .. 54

SES Astra Astra2Connect ............. 57

7. Competition from terrestrial technologies ....... 60

7.1. Wireline technologies still dominate but wireless broadband making swift

progress ......... 60

7.1.1. Massive dominance of wireline systems: xDSL and cable modem .......... 60

7.1.2. Market development ...... 64

7.1.3. Smartphones giving a real boost to the success of wireless cellular network technologies ... 67

7.1.4. Alternative wireless technologies: Wi-Fi and WiMAX . 68

7.1.5. Market development ...... 71

7.2. Outlook for new generation ultra high-speed technologies ...... 83

7.2.1. Fibre to the home ........... 83

7.2.2. Market development ...... 87

7.2.3. The future of mobile solutions and 4G ......... 89

8. Satellite struggling to compete .......... 95

8.1. Technological competitiveness .... 95

8.2. An efficient solution for reducing the digital divide ..... 97

8.3. Local authorities play a decisive role in the choice of solutions ............ 102

8.3.1. Growing success of subscriber connection point solutions in broadband dead zones......... 102

8.3.2. NRA-ZO, satellite, WiMAX, 3G: who's going to win? 105

8.3.3. FTTH coverage limits could revive interest in satellite ............. 112

8.4. Digital terrestrial TV/broadband via satellite combo: a clear development path .. 113

8.4.1. The TNTSat offer can be combined with the Astra2Connect marketed by SES Astra ......... 114

8.4.2. With a little tweak, Eutelsat follows suit ..... 116

9. Market segmentation criteria ............ 117

9.1. Socioeconomic criteria 117

9.1.1. PC penetration rate ...... 117

9.1.2. GDP per capita ............ 118

9.1.3. Rural/urban population density ... 119

9.2. Criteria affecting terrestrial broadband and ultra-broadband rollouts .... 120

9.2.1. DSL network coverage 120

9.2.2. FTTx network coverage .............. 123

9.2.3. 3G network coverage ... 125

9.2.4. Broadband penetration 127

9.2.5. Internet access speeds 129

9.2.6. Internet access prices .. 130

9.3. Criteria affecting the development of satellite TV .... 133

9.3.1. Satellite dish equipment levels ... 133

9.3.2. Satellite pay-TV penetration levels ............ 134

9.4. Main challenges and uncertainties ........... 137

9.4.1. Tied to the development of wireline networks ........... 137

9.4.2. Tied to the development of wireless networks .......... 138

9.4.3. Tied to the TV market structure .. 138

9.4.4. Tied to public authority involvement .......... 139

9.5. Forecasts for satellite subscribers and associated transponders, 2010-2014 ..... 139

10.What technological outlook for broadband via satellite? ........... 141

10.1. The future is no longer in the Ka band, but rather in Q and V 141

10.2. Glossary ....... 143

Tables and figures

Table 1: A selection of national broadband programmes in Europe .... 10

Table 2: A selection of national programmes in Europe ....... 21

Table 3: The three types of area defined for FTTH/B rollouts in France ............. 24

Table 4: Target scenarios for covering the French population with ultra high-speed access ........... 25

Table 5: Network digitization .... 26

Table 6: Digital home drivers ... 26

Table 7: Comparison of a selection of offers available in France: 2004 vs. 2010 .............. 32

Table 8: Geographical breakdown of the 45 Gbps bandwidth allocation, at the end of 2009 ........... 47

Table 9: Performances du satellite Hylas One ....... 52

Table 10: Avanti business model at the end of 2008 .............. 53

Table 11: Future range of speeds supplied by the Tooway offer, based on the KA-SAT .... 56

Table 12: Range of speeds offered by Nordnet ....... 58

Table 13: Features of xDSL technologies . 61

Table 14: Cable modem standards ........... 63

Table 15: Features of cable technologies . 63

Table 16: Features of 3G technologies ..... 67

Table 17: Performances of 802.11 standards .......... 68

Table 18: Features of Wi-Fi technologies . 69

Table 19: Fixed WiMAX performance ....... 70

Table 20: Features of WiMAX technologies ............. 70

Table 21: Mobile Internet offers in a selection countries at the end of 2009 ......... 72

Table 22: Prices charged by mobile operators in the UK, end of 2009 .. 72

Table 23: A selection of current/planned WiMAX service rollouts in Europe and North Africa (at the end of

2009) .......... 79

Table 24: Population covered by WiMAX networks at the end of 2009 . 82

Table 25: Main properties of EPON and GPON configurations ............. 84

Table 26: The different FTTH/B network configurations, based on Ethernet technology ..... 85

Table 27: Features of FTTH technologies . 87

Table 28: Significant FTTH/B rollouts in Europe as of year-end 2009 ... 88

Table 29: Properties of 4G technologies ... 90

Table 30: Timeline for freeing up the 2500-2690 MHz band in France .. 92

Table 31: Data rates achieved with LTE in the 2.6 GHz band (2x20 MHz, MIMO 2x2) ....... 93

Table 32: Data rates achieved with LTE in the 800 MHz band (2x10MHZ, MIMO 2X2) ...... 93

Table 33: Strengths and weaknesses of today's predominant Internet access technologies ............. 96

Table 34: Estimated number of households not covered by fixed broadband networks at the end of 2008.... 100

Table 35: Local authorities' WiMAX rollout strategies ........... 106

Table 36: Status of WiMAX rollouts in France at the end of 2008 ....... 107

Table 37: Examples of FTTH rollouts initiated by local authorities ...... 111

Table 38: The TNTSat offer ..... 114

Table 39: List of the main satellite pay-TV services in Europe in 2010 136

***

Figure 1: Changing user behaviour forcing a need for higher speed solutions .... 11

Figure 2: Forecast growth of residential subscribers to a two-way high-speed access solution via satellite,

2010-2014 .. 13

Figure 3: List of countries examined in this report ... 14

Figure 4: Location of bad lines in the UK . 22

Figure 5: Broadband eligibility (ADSL and fibre) ..... 23

Ultra-broadband via satellite in Europe & North Africa

www.idate-research.com (C) IDATE 2010 8

Figure 6: CAPEX needed to cover the entire French population with FTTH ........ 25

Figure 7: Change in usage enabled by higher speeds ........... 27

Figure 8: The "pioneer" digital home and associated bandwidth ........... 27

Figure 9: How two-way Internet access via satellite works .... 29

Figure 10: Hughes's global footprint ........... 30

Figure 11: Example of beam coverage with frequency reuse .. 31

Figure 12: Estimated cost of bandwidth for Ka-band systems (launched satellite) 32

Figure 13: Change in the price of a broadband satellite reception terminal ........... 33

Figure 14: Main uses of the Internet ........... 33

Figure 15: Main uses of the Internet in French households ..... 34

Figure 16: Rate of adoption of different Internet applications, by age group .......... 35

Figure 17: Growth of the WildBlue subscriber base .. 36

Figure 18: Breakdown of WildBlue subscribers by population density .... 36

Figure 19: Impact of WildBlue on Ka-band terminal shipments in the United States ............ 37

Figure 20: Residential Internet access services marketed by WildBlue .. 38

Figure 21: Growth of HughesNet subscribers ........... 39

Figure 22: The new service architecture with the SpaceWay 3 satellite . 39

Figure 23: The Spaceway transmission system ........ 40

Figure 24: Residential Internet access services marketed by Hughes .... 41

Figure 25: Viasat-1 coverage ...... 42

Figure 26: ViaSat-1 development roadmap 43

Figure 27: Estimation of the ViaSat-1's capacity, in Gbps, compared to other Ka, Ku and C-band satellites in

North America ........... 43

Figure 28: Improvements brought by Viasat-1 .......... 44

Figure 29: Growth of the installed base of Ka-band terminals in Canada .............. 46

Figure 30: The Thaicom 4/IPStar satellite's coverage .............. 47

Figure 31: IPSTAR service footprint as of mid-2009 . 48

Figure 32: Geographical distribution of IPSTAR subscribers in Australia .............. 49

Figure 33: Growth of IPSTAR terminal sales ............ 49

Figure 34: Breakdown by sector of IPSTAR terminal shipments, at the end of 2009 ............ 50

Figure 35: Current coverage of the Avanti service on Intelsat IS-903 ..... 51

Figure 36: Footprint of the service provided by Avanti ............. 53

Figure 37: Tooway Ka and Ku-band coverage and access rates ............ 54

Figure 38: Tooway offers distributed by Sat2Way in France, as of January 2010 . 55

Figure 39: Footprint of the Eutelsat Ka-Sat satellite .. 56

Figure 40: The Sat3Play system architecture ........... 57

Figure 41: Triple play via Astra2Connect ... 57

Figure 42: SES Global's market view ......... 58

Figure 43: Combined high-speed access/TV reception via satellite ........ 59

Figure 44: DSL variants, according to downstream bitrate ...... 61

Figure 45: Theoretical performance of ADSL2+, VDSL and VDSL2 ....... 62

Figure 46: DOCSIS 3.0 rollout status in Europe ........ 64

Figure 47: European broadband market structure by access technology, Q4 2009 ............. 65

Figure 48: North African broadband market structure by access technology, Q4 2009 ........ 66

Figure 49: Change in the monthly price of a basic DSL service .............. 66

Figure 50: Number of sites for covering the population with HSxPA and Mobile WiMAX ..... 70

Figure 51: Growth of mobile Internet use in the United States, 2008-2009 ........... 73

Figure 52: Percentage of broadband customers who are mobile broadband customers, June 2008 .. 73

Figure 53: Rate of increase of mobile Internet users in the past six months, by age group .. 74

Figure 54: Growth of the number of daily visitors in the United States for a selection of mobile applications,

2008-2009 .. 74

Figure 55: Use of mobile Internet applications in France, in 2009 .......... 75

Figure 56: Locations where the mobile Internet is accessed most in France, in 2008 .......... 75

Figure 57: Comparative application use by iPhone and smartphone users versus standard mobile handset

users, in 2008 ............ 76

Figure 58: Growth of the global mobile handset market, 2007-2013 ...... 76

Figure 59: Mobile subscriber growth, 2007-2014 ...... 77

Figure 60: Mobile IP traffic forecasts up to 2013 ....... 78

Figure 61: Mobile IP traffic as a percentage of total IP traffic in 2009 and 2013 .... 78

Figure 62: Status of WiMAX network rollouts worldwide at the end of 2009 .......... 79

Figure 63: Future WiMAX subscriber base 82

Figure 64: The different possible FTTH/B network configurations .......... 83

Figure 65: The different components of an FTTH/B architecture ............ 85

Figure 66: Diagram of a ring configuration . 86

Figure 67: 3GLTE deployment around the world (starting in 2010-2011) .............. 89

Figure 68: Roadmap from GSM to 3GLTE . 90

Figure 69: The future of mobile technologies ............ 94

Figure 70: Comparison of current technologies ........ 95

Figure 71: Satellite's positioning for supplying broadband access services in rural areas .... 97

Figure 72: Strategy for reducing the digital divide and targets . 98

Figure 73: Coverage provided by Winds (Kizuna) ..... 98

Figure 74: Subscriber distance from the ADSL connection point .......... 102

Figure 75: The "NRA-ZO" solution ........... 103

Figure 76: Scope of local authority involvement following the regulatory amendments made in 2004 ............. 110

Figure 77: Cost of an FTTH connection, according to Alcatel-Lucent ... 112

Figure 78: Cost of an FTTH connection, according to British regulator, Ofcom ... 112

Figure 79: Map of the switch to digital terrestrial broadcasting in France ............ 113

Figure 80: Equipment needed to receive the TNTSat service 115

Figure 81: DTT/broadband satellite combo ............. 116

Figure 82: PC penetration rates in 2007 .. 118

Figure 83: GDP per capita in 2009 ........... 119

Figure 84: Population density in Europe . 120

Figure 85: Population density in North Africa .......... 120

Figure 86: Total DSL network coverage at the end of 2008 ... 121

Figure 87: DSL coverage of urban and suburban areas at the end of 2008 ........ 122

Figure 88: DSL coverage of rural areas at the end of 2008 ... 123

Figure 89: Growth of homes passed for FTTx in Europe since mid-2005 ............ 124

Figure 90: FTTx network coverage at the end of 2008 .......... 125

Figure 91: Total 3G network coverage at the end of 2008 ..... 126

Figure 92: Rural 3G coverage at the end of 2008 ... 127

Figure 93: Broadband penetration as of Q3 2008 ... 128

Figure 94: End-user DSL bitrates in Europe and North Africa at the end of 2008 .............. 129

Figure 95: End-user cable data rates in Europe and North Africa at the end of 2008 ......... 130

Figure 96: Average price of a broadband offer (DSL & Cable) at the end of June 2009 (EUR) –

4 Mbps downlink ...... 131

Figure 97: Average price of a broadband offer (DSL & Cable) at the end of June 2009 (EUR) – 10 Mbps

downlink ... 132

Figure 98: Percentage of households equipped with a satellite reception antenna at the end of 2009 ............ 134

Figure 99 : DTH subscriber base at the end of 2009 .............. 135

Figure 100: Forecast growth of residential subscribers to a two-way satellite broadband solution, 2010-2014 . 140

Figure 101: Terabit satellite being developed by the ESA ....... 141

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