Battleground survey finds independent voters cite handling of economy as top issue to guide Biden VP choice

Independents Rank Elizabeth Warren Most Effective on Economy by More Than 3-to-1

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Data for Progress

Jul 17, 2020, 09:59 ET

NEW YORK, July 17, 2020 /PRNewswire/ --  A new survey of Independent voters in battleground states finds that unaffiliated voters want Joe Biden to prioritize the economy in choosing a Vice President nominee.

The survey of 538 Independent voters living in twelve battleground states, including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, was fielded by Data for Progress and YouGov Blue. It included topics gauging voters' views on what kind of capabilities and experience they hope Joe Biden keeps in mind in selecting a nominee for Vice President.

"Battleground state Independents want Biden to prioritize picking a Vice President who is effective on the economy," says John Ray, Senior Political Analyst of YouGov, which conducted the poll for Data for Progress. "The vast majority of Independents rank effectiveness on the economy as very important for Biden to consider when making his choice. It is the number one issue they say is very important in his choice, followed by effectiveness on the pandemic."

The survey finds that Independents in battleground states rank Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) as the VP candidate who would most effectively handle the top issue of the economy. They rank Senator Warren as most effective on the economy by three to one over the next nearest choice. Independent voters rank Senator Warren as the VP candidate who would most effectively handle the coronavirus by two to one.

"Of all the potential choices, Senator Warren has earned the confidence of more Independents as effective on the economy and coronavirus," says Sean McElwee, co-founder and Executive Director of Data for Progress. "At a moment when the ability to manage this crisis is so important, Independents trust Senator Warren to be most effective in helping President Biden on the economy and coronavirus."

Senator Warren is also rated five to one as most effective on helping Americans who are being exploited by Wall Street (at 25 percent, with the next nearest candidate at 5 percent).

The poll found that more battleground state Independents, including Independents currently uncommitted to Biden or Trump, rate Senator Warren as the most effective President on day one if called to serve. Joe Biden has noted that readiness to serve as President on day one is critical to his choice for Vice President.

HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE SURVEY INCLUDE:

  • Independent voters (by a 57-20 margin) and uncommitted Independent voters (by a 65-12 margin) prefer Biden select a Vice President based on who would help him govern effectively rather than who would help him with turnout or persuasion.
  • Independent voters and uncommitted Independents voters' top issue for Biden to keep in mind when making a Vice President selection is the economy, with 60 and 67 percent of these voters calling that issue "very important," followed by the coronavirus pandemic (55 and 62 percent "very important" respectively) and access to healthcare (53 and 57 percent "very important" respectively).
  • Elizabeth Warren is overwhelmingly rated by Independents and uncommitted Independents as the most effective on the economy (22 percent and 14 percent) and coronavirus (13 percent and 10 percent)—their top two issues—at up to more than three times more than the next most preferred potential VP nominee.
  • Warren is also rated five to one as most effective on helping Americans who are being exploited by Wall Street (at 25 percent, with the next nearest candidate at 5 percent).
  • Elizabeth Warren is particularly popular on the economy and effectiveness among Independent and uncommitted voters who report they are considering voting for Biden but are not enthusiastic about doing so, with fully 34 percent of "dissatisfied Biden voters" selecting Warren as the strongest on the economy.

READ THE FULL BLOG: dataforprogress.org/memos/battleground-poll-results-of-independents

About Data for Progress

Data for Progress is a trusted public opinion research organization and multidisciplinary group of experts using state-of-the-art techniques in data science to support progressive activists and causes. We provide voter file analysis, digital communications, polling, policy development and message guidance.

About YouGov Blue

YouGov Blue is a division of YouGov serving Democratic and progressive clients. Leveraging YouGov's panels, methodology,  and technology infrastructure, we are pioneering novel capabilities and strategies. YouGov Blue's online survey tools, polling experience, and digital environment allow us to provide a unique suite of products to help our clients achieve their goals. We work with think tanks, interest groups, unions, candidates, and analytics and polling firms to help them gain insights from online surveys. We provide services for all stages of the survey research process, including questionnaire design, sampling design, survey fielding, weighting, reporting, and analysis. We are matched to the major voter files and have expertise in using voter files to enhance survey analysis. Our team combines both academic and political experience to ensure that our practice is grounded in both methodological rigor and the needs of our clients.

SOURCE Data for Progress