Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2021 Results

CINCINNATI, Feb. 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

• Fourth-quarter 2021 net income of $1.470 billion, or $9.04 per share, compared with net income of $1.049 billion, or $6.47 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2020, after recognizing a $1.113 billion fourth-quarter 2021 after-tax increase in the fair value of equity securities still held.
• Full-year 2021 net income of $2.946 billion, or $18.10 per share, compared with $1.216 billion, or $7.49 per share, in 2020.
• $58 million or 22% increase in fourth-quarter 2021 non-GAAP operating income* to $320 million, or $1.97 per share, compared with $262 million, or $1.61 per share, in the fourth quarter of last year.
• $510 million or 96% increase in full-year 2021 non-GAAP operating income to $1.043 billion, or $6.41 per share, up from $533 million, or $3.28 per share, with after-tax property casualty underwriting profit up $483 million.
• $421 million increase in fourth-quarter 2021 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of a $363 million increase in net investment gains and a $55 million increase in after-tax property casualty underwriting profit.
• $81.72 book value per share at December 31, 2021, up $14.68 or 21.9% since year-end 2020.
• 25.7% value creation ratio for full-year 2021, compared with 14.7% for 2020.

Financial Highlights

Insurance Operations Highlights

• 84.2% fourth-quarter 2021 property casualty combined ratio, improved from 87.3% for the fourth quarter of 2020. Full-year 2021 property casualty combined ratio at 88.3%, with net written premiums up 10%.
• 10% growth in fourth-quarter 2021 net written premiums, largely due to price increases and premium growth initiatives.
• $212 million fourth-quarter 2021 property casualty new business written premiums. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2020 contributed $19 million or 9% of total fourth-quarter new business written premiums.
• $9 million of fourth-quarter 2021 life insurance subsidiary net income, down $6 million from the same period in 2020, and 8% growth in fourth-quarter 2021 term life insurance earned premiums.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

• 8% or $14 million increase in fourth-quarter 2021 pretax investment income, including 14% growth for stock portfolio dividends and 4% growth in interest income.
• 15% full-year increase in fair value of total investments at December 31, 2021, including a 28% increase for the stock portfolio and a 6% increase for the bond portfolio.
• $5.053 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at year-end 2021, up 34% from a year ago.

Finishing 2021 Strong
Steven J. Johnston, chairman, president and chief executive officer, commented: "Non-GAAP operating income finished the year strong, increasing 96% to $1.043 billion, compared with year-end 2020. Net income continued its pattern of wide swings as the effects of a robust equity market pushed it to nearly $3 billion at the end of the year, more than double our 2020 result.

"The communities we serve through our insurance business saw a high number of weather-related catastrophes near the end of 2021, including a storm system that left a wide path of destruction across the Midwest in December. While no one likes to witness the pain and destruction these events bring, it is when our field claims representatives shine, delivering support to our policyholders and agents with empathy and warmth.

"When catastrophes strike, we must have the financial strength to respond quickly and fairly. That desire to be ready to serve those who need us led to our multifaceted approach to refine our pricing precision, including increasing loss control reviews, improving pricing segmentation and adding third-party data sources – enhancing financial strength over time. We believe these long-term initiatives are on the right track as our full-year 2021 combined ratio improved 9.8 points to 88.3% compared with year-end 2020.  

"We continued our record of overall favorable reserve development for a 33^rd consecutive year. Net favorable reserve development on prior accident years benefited our fourth-quarter and full-year combined ratios by 6 points and 7 points, respectively.

Recognizing our financial strength, our consistently positive growth and profitability and our strong agency relationships, A.M. Best Co., a leading credit rating agency specializing in the insurance industry, recently affirmed our A+ (Superior) rating. Only the top approximately 12% of insurer groups qualify for Superior ratings from A.M. Best."

Focused, Profitable Growth
"Diversification and a firm belief in our underwriting models and expertise are allowing us to grow with confidence. For the first time, full-year property casualty net written premiums exceeded $6 billion. New and renewal business written through independent agencies grew year over year for each of our property casualty insurance segments. For our life insurance segment, earned premiums rose 3%.

"Our profitable growth is the result of focused execution of our strategic initiatives to enter new product lines and marketing territories and to slowly expand our independent agency force. During the fourth quarter, 2021 net written premiums from our excess and surplus lines operation, launched in 2008, surpassed the $400 million mark. Our initiatives to attract more of our agents' high net worth clients and to grow Cincinnati Re^® continued as planned, both increasing property casualty net written premiums."

Book Value at Record High
"At December 31, our book value again reached a record high, increasing 22% since December 31, 2020, to $81.72. Consolidated cash and total investments reached nearly $26 billion. Our ample capital allows us to execute on our long-term strategies and, at the same time continue to pay dividends to shareholders. Our value creation ratio for 2021, which considers the dividends we pay as well as growth in book value, was 25.7%, ahead of our 10% to 13% average annual target for this measure."

• 10% growth for both fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 property casualty net written premiums, reflecting premium growth initiatives, price increases and a higher level of insured exposures. Contributions to growth from Cincinnati Re^® were 1% for the fourth quarter and 3% for full-year 2021.
• 15% and 12% increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 new business premiums written by agencies, compared with a year ago. The full-year increase included a $50 million increase in standard market property casualty production from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2020.
• 214 new agency appointments in full-year 2021, including 59 that market only our personal lines products.
• 3.1 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement, including a decrease of 1.1 points for losses from catastrophes.
• 9.8 percentage-point improvement in full-year 2021 combined ratio, compared with 2020, including a decrease of 4.1 points for losses from catastrophes.
• 6.0 and 7.0 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $97 million and $428 million, compared with 2.8 points or $40 million for fourth-quarter 2020 and 2.3 points or $131 million of favorable development for full-year 2020.
• 1.0 percentage-point improvement, to 56.0%, for the full-year 2021 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 1.5 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
• 0.5 percentage-point decrease in the full-year 2021 underwriting expense ratio, primarily due to ongoing expense management efforts and premium growth outpacing growth in other expenses.

• 10% and 8% growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 commercial lines net written premiums, including price increases, growth initiatives and a higher level of insured exposures. Fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 commercial lines average renewal pricing increased in the mid-single-digit percent range, with the fourth-quarter increase higher than third-quarter 2021.
• 19% or $22 million increase in fourth-quarter 2021 new business written premiums, as we continue to carefully underwrite each policy in a highly competitive market.
• 11% or $56 million increase in full-year 2021 new business written by agencies, including $41 million from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2020.
• 4.0 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2021 combined ratio improvement, including a decrease of 0.4 points for losses from catastrophes.
• 14.5 percentage-point improvement in the full-year 2021 combined ratio, including a decrease of 7.0 points for losses from catastrophes.
• 8.1 and 9.6 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $77 million and $353 million, compared with 4.2 points or $36 million for fourth-quarter 2020 and 2.7 points or $95 million of favorable development for full-year 2020.
• 1.4 percentage-point improvement, to 57.8%, for the full-year 2021 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 2.2 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.

• 8% and 6% growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 personal lines net written premiums, largely due to higher renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases. Full-year 2021 net written premiums from our agencies' high net worth clients grew 28%, to $663 million.
• 11% and 16% increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 new business premiums written by agencies, compared with a year ago, largely reflecting expanded use of pricing precision tools.
• 1.3 percentage-point improvement in the fourth-quarter 2021 combined ratio, despite an increase of 1.2 points from losses from catastrophes.
• 3.1 percentage-point improvement in the full-year 2021 combined ratio, including a decrease for losses from catastrophes of 1.7 points.
• 3.8 and 3.3 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $15 million and $50 million, compared with unfavorable prior reserve development of 2.6 points or $10 million for fourth-quarter 2020 and favorable development of 1.3 points or $18 million for full-year 2020.
• 1.3 percentage-point increase, to 53.4%, for the full-year 2021 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 0.6 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.

• 17% and 22% growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, including fourth-quarter 2021 renewal price increases averaging near the low end of the high-single-digit percent range.
• Less than 1% decrease in fourth-quarter 2021 new business written premiums with full-year 2021 increasing 13%, reflecting a highly competitive market with fewer opportunities to write policies with annual premiums of $10,000 or more at pricing levels we believe are adequate and offsetting our additional marketing efforts.
• 83.2% fourth-quarter 2021 combined ratio that matched strong operating performance for the year-ago period.
• 0.5 percentage-point improvement in the full-year 2021 combined ratio, as lower ratios for underwriting expenses and catastrophe losses offset higher current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes.
• 1.5 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2021 unfavorable reserve development on prior accident years of $1 million, compared with a benefit from favorable reserve development of 1.4 points or $1 million for fourth-quarter 2020.
• 1.9 percentage-point full-year 2021 unfavorable prior accident year reserve development of $7 million, compared with 2.3 points or $7 million of unfavorable development for full-year 2020.
• 2.6 percentage-point increase, to 60.3%, for the full-year 2021 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 1.6 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.

• $9 million or 3% increase in full-year 2021 earned premiums, including a 7% increase for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. Universal life insurance earned premiums can vary, including from changes in interest rate or other actuarial assumptions, and decreased 11% in 2021.
• $12 million or 38% increase in full-year 2021 life insurance subsidiary net income, largely reflecting investment losses resulting from impairments of fixed-maturity securities during the first quarter of 2020, partially offset by less favorable mortality experience in 2021 due largely to higher pandemic-related death claims.
• $25 million or 2% full-year 2021 decrease to $1.392 billion in GAAP shareholders' equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company, primarily from a decrease in unrealized investment gains partially offset by net income.

• $14 million or 8% rise in fourth-quarter 2021 pretax investment income, including 14% growth in equity portfolio dividends and 4% growth in interest income.
• $1.373 billion fourth-quarter and $2.175 billion full-year 2021 pretax total investment gains, summarized on the table below. Changes in unrealized gains or losses reported in other comprehensive income, in addition to investment gains and losses reported in net income, are useful for evaluating total investment performance over time and are major components of changes in book value and the value creation ratio.

• $25.805 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at December 31, 2021, up 15% from $22.442 billion at year-end 2020.
• $13.022 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2021, with an average rating of A3/A. Fair value increased $114 million or 1% during the fourth quarter of 2021.
• $11.315 billion equity portfolio was 45.9% of total investments, including $7.194 billion in appreciated value before taxes at December 31, 2021. Fourth-quarter 2021 increase in fair value of $1.428 billion or 14%.
• $8.23 fourth-quarter 2021 increase in book value per share, including an addition of $1.99 from net income before investment gains and $6.58 from investment portfolio net investment gains or changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities, and $0.29 for other items and $0.63 from dividends declared to shareholders.
• Value creation ratio of 25.7% for full-year 2021, including 9.7% from net income before investment gains, which includes underwriting and investment income, 15.3% from investment portfolio net investment gains or changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities, including positive 16.8% from our stock portfolio and negative 1.5% from our bond portfolio, in addition to positive 0.7% from other items.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit cinfin.com/investors.

About Cincinnati Financial
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers primarily business, home and auto insurance through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life insurance, fixed annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit cinfin.com.

Safe Harbor Statement
This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 34.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

• Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic that could affect results for reasons such as:
• Securities market disruption or volatility and related effects such as decreased economic activity and continued supply chain disruptions that affect our investment portfolio and book value
• An unusually high level of claims in our insurance or reinsurance operations that increase litigation-related expenses
• An unusually high level of insurance losses, including risk of legislation or court decisions extending business interruption insurance in commercial property coverage forms to cover claims for pure economic loss related to the COVID-19 pandemic
• Decreased premium revenue and cash flow from disruption to our distribution channel of independent agents, consumer self-isolation, travel limitations, business restrictions and decreased economic activity
• Inability of our workforce, agencies or vendors to perform necessary business functions
• Ongoing developments concerning business interruption insurance claims and litigation related to the COVID-19 pandemic that affect our estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses or our ability to reasonably estimate such losses, such as:
• The continuing duration of the pandemic and governmental actions to limit the spread of the virus that may produce additional economic losses
• The number of policyholders that will ultimately submit claims or file lawsuits
• The lack of submitted proofs of loss for allegedly covered claims
• Judicial rulings in similar litigation involving other companies in the insurance industry
• Differences in state laws and developing case law
• Litigation trends, including varying legal theories advanced by policyholders
• Whether and to what degree any class of policyholders may be certified
• The inherent unpredictability of litigation
• Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns (whether as a result of global climate change or otherwise), environmental events, terrorism incidents, civil unrest or other causes
• Increased frequency and/or severity of claims or development of claims that are unforeseen at the time of policy issuance, due to inflationary trends or other causes
• Inadequate estimates or assumptions, or reliance on third-party data used for critical accounting estimates
• Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting our equity portfolio and book value
• Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit our ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
• Domestic and global events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
• Significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
• Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
• Significant rise in losses from surety or director and officer policies written for financial institutions or other insured entities
• Our inability to manage Cincinnati Global or other subsidiaries to produce related business opportunities and growth prospects for our ongoing operations
• Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
• Ineffective information technology systems or discontinuing to develop and implement improvements in technology may impact our success and profitability
• Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyberattacks, that could negatively affect our or our agents' ability to conduct business; disrupt our relationships with agents, policyholders and others; cause reputational damage, mitigation expenses and data loss and expose us to liability under federal and state laws
• Difficulties with our operations and technology that may negatively impact our ability to conduct business, including cloud-based data information storage, data security, cyberattacks, remote working capabilities, and/or outsourcing relationships and third-party operations and data security
• Disruption of the insurance market caused by technology innovations such as driverless cars that could decrease consumer demand for insurance products
• Delays, inadequate data developed internally or from third parties, or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods, including telematics and other usage-based insurance methods, or technology projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
• Intense competition, and the impact of innovation, technological change and changing customer preferences on the insurance industry and the markets in which we operate, could harm our ability to maintain or increase our ability to maintain or increase our business volumes and profitability
• Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies could alter our competitive advantages
• Inability to obtain adequate ceded reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance coverage purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
• Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
• Inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends consistent with current or past levels
• Events or conditions that could weaken or harm our relationships with our independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on our opportunities for growth, such as:
• Downgrades of our financial strength ratings
• Concerns that doing business with us is too difficult
• Perceptions that our level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
• Inability or unwillingness to nimbly develop and introduce coverage product updates and innovations that our competitors offer and consumers expect to find in the marketplace
• Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
• Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
• Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
• Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
• Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance–related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
• Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
• Increase our other expenses
• Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
• Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
• Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
• Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings, including effects of social inflation on the size of litigation awards
• Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce our future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
• Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
• Our inability, or the inability of our independent agents, to attract and retain personnel in a competitive labor market, impacting the customer experience and altering our competitive advantages
• Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location or work effectively in a remote environment

Further, our insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, global, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. We also are subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for our common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

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