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Eight Straight: New-Vehicle Prices Mark Another Record High in November 2021, According to Kelley Blue Book

- A larger mix of SUVs and pickups helped drive up prices in November; car mix dropped from nearly 30% in 2018 to under 22% in 2021, among the lowest levels ever.

- Incentives fell to a record low, averaging only 4.1% of average transaction price.

- Mitsubishi, Acura, Jeep and VW delivered the largest year-over-year price gains, all up more than 20% in November.

Kelley Blue Book Logo. (PRNewsFoto/Kelley Blue Book)

News provided by

Kelley Blue Book

Dec 10, 2021, 06:01 ET

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IRVINE, Calif., Dec. 10, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- New-vehicle prices increased further into record territory in November, including a modest increase from the month prior. According to new data released today by Kelley Blue Book, average transaction prices (ATPs) are sharply elevated from last year, up more than 13% from November 2020. New-vehicle inventory levels remain tight, and with sufficient consumer demand, dealers have been able to hold prices at or above the manufacturer's suggested retail price (MSRP). In recent research from Cox Automotive, nearly 70% of franchised dealers indicated their new-vehicle prices are higher than pre-pandemic levels.

While prices were elevated last month, sales were slow, with sales volume at the lowest level of the year. November was the sixth straight month of volume declines. In fact, at 1,020,355 units, November's sales hit the lowest level since April 2020, when the global pandemic first shut down the economy.

"High prices and limited choices likely are keeping many car buyers on the sidelines," said Kayla Reynolds, analyst for Cox Automotive. "It's still a seller's market, and we don't expect things to change anytime soon. However, with high prices being the norm right now for both new and used vehicles, that means trade-in values are very favorable and can help soften the blow for consumers as they purchase their next vehicle."  

Luxury vehicle sales, which normally increase in November and December, comprised 17.4% of total sales in November and helped to drive ATPs higher. For comparison, luxury sales made up only 15.9% of the market six months ago in May, and five years ago in November 2016, luxury sales accounted for only 14.4% of the U.S. market. In November 2021, the average luxury buyer paid $61,455 for a new vehicle, a record-setting sum nearly $1,000 more than sticker price. In comparison, one year ago luxury vehicles were selling for more than $3,000 under MSRP.

The average price paid for a new non-luxury vehicle last month was $43,144, also a record high and more than $900 over sticker. For each of the last six months, the average price paid by consumers was above the MSRP.

Even the most affordable segments registered big year-over-year gains, according to the Kelley Blue Book analysis. Subcompact car transaction prices in November were up 17% year-over-year, while compact car prices were up 16%. On the other end of the affordability spectrum, full-size SUVs showed the smallest year-over-year gains, up only 4.8% year-over-year, with average transaction prices climbing above $73,000.

One reason overall new-vehicle transaction prices remain elevated is because more affordable sedans are taking a smaller share of the market. In November 2021, cars ($41,026 ATP) on average were more affordable than new SUVs ($45,201 ATP), trucks ($54,462 ATP), or vans ($46,523 ATP). Cars also had higher incentives at 4.7%, expressed as a percentage of ATP. Overall, industry incentives fell to a record low, averaging only 4.1%. In addition, market share for cars reached among the lowest levels ever, plummeting to 21.7%. In comparison, in November 2020 cars commanded 24.5% share, and in November 2018 car share was nearly 30%. As fewer cars are sold, trucks and SUVs dominate the market driving ATPs to track higher.

Manufacturer**

November
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

October
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

November
2020
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

Percent
Change
October
2021 to
November
2021*

Percent
Change
November
2020 to
November
2021




BMW

$61,624

$61,802

$58,072

-0.3%

6.1%


Daimler

$73,721

$74,765

$62,733

-1.4%

17.5%


Ford Motor Company

$50,531

$51,117

$46,793

-1.1%

8.0%


Geeley Auto Group

$56,888

$56,131

$50,120

1.3%

13.5%


General Motors

$53,432

$54,430

$45,829

-1.8%

16.6%


Honda Motor Company

$35,801

$35,408

$30,776

1.1%

16.3%


Hyundai Motor Group

$35,799

$34,804

$29,844

2.9%

20.0%


Mazda Motor Corporation

$33,735

$34,722

$30,243

-2.8%

11.5%


Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi
Alliance

$33,998

$34,652

$30,339

-1.9%

12.1%


Rivian

$78,762

$78,883


-0.2%



Stellantis

$52,475

$51,253

$44,781

2.4%

17.2%


Subaru Corporation

$35,443

$34,737

$32,056

2.0%

10.6%


Tata Motors

$86,121

$87,823

$81,086

-1.9%

6.2%


Tesla Motors

$55,516

$54,567

$52,852

1.7%

5.0%


Toyota Motor Corporation

$39,959

$41,633

$36,311

-4.0%

10.0%


Volkswagen Group

$48,174

$47,645

$46,589

1.1%

3.4%


Industry

$46,329

$46,026

$40,937

0.7%

13.2%


*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives

**Manufacturers included has been updated










Make

November
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

October
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

November
2020
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

Percent
Change
October 2021
to November
2021*

Percent
Change
November
2020 to
November
2021







Acura

$50,433

$49,883

$40,170

1.1%

25.5%



Alfa Romeo

$49,867

$48,621

$44,988

2.6%

10.8%



Audi

$60,470

$60,315

$55,713

0.3%

8.5%



BMW

$63,480

$64,094

$60,208

-1.0%

5.4%



Buick

$40,082

$38,120

$35,006

5.1%

14.5%



Cadillac

$70,989

$81,084

$61,427

-12.5%

15.6%



Chevrolet

$50,554

$51,394

$42,217

-1.6%

19.7%



Chrysler

$46,658

$45,502

$40,182

2.5%

16.1%



Dodge

$46,128

$44,932

$39,270

2.7%

17.5%



Fiat

$26,543

$17,624

$28,700

50.6%

-7.5%



Ford

$49,971

$50,569

$46,047

-1.2%

8.5%



Genesis

$59,189

$59,801

$50,539

-1.0%

17.1%



GMC

$62,839

$63,562

$55,486

-1.1%

13.3%



Honda

$33,989

$33,736

$29,544

0.8%

15.0%



Hyundai

$34,466

$33,450

$29,295

3.0%

17.7%



Infiniti

$58,357

$59,055

$50,165

-1.2%

16.3%



Jaguar

$69,360

$74,953

$60,495

-7.5%

14.7%



Jeep

$49,751

$49,566

$39,945

0.4%

24.5%



Kia

$34,521

$33,736

$30,072

2.3%

14.8%



Land Rover

$87,085

$88,940

$83,490

-2.1%

4.3%



Lexus

$54,183

$53,837

$50,403

0.6%

7.5%



Lincoln

$63,694

$62,037

$59,295

2.7%

7.4%



Mazda

$33,735

$34,722

$30,243

-2.8%

11.5%



Mercedes-Benz

$73,721

$74,765

$62,733

-1.4%

17.5%



Mini

$36,308

$35,434

$33,409

2.5%

8.7%



Mitsubishi

$29,504

$28,233

$23,058

4.5%

28.0%



Nissan

$33,258

$34,101

$29,225

-2.5%

13.8%



Porsche

$96,557

$101,071

$102,088

-4.5%

-5.4%



Ram

$58,565

$56,791

$53,215

3.1%

10.1%



Subaru

$35,443

$34,737

$32,056

2.0%

10.6%



Tesla

$55,516

$54,567

$52,852

1.7%

5.0%



Toyota

$37,951

$39,406

$34,088

-3.7%

11.3%



Volkswagen

$35,613

$36,251

$29,218

-1.8%

21.9%



Volvo

$56,707

$55,737

$50,120

1.7%

13.1%



Industry

$46,329

$46,026

$40,937

0.7%

13.2%



*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives

Segment 

November
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

October
2021
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

November
2020
Transaction
Price (Avg.)*

Percent
Change
October
2021 to
November
2021*

Percent
Change
November
2020 to
November
2021




Compact Car

$25,650

$25,236

$22,178

1.6%

15.7%


Compact SUV/Crossover

$33,392

$34,099

$30,478

-2.1%

9.6%


Electric Vehicle

$56,437

$55,625

$53,117

1.5%

6.2%


Entry-level Luxury Car

$51,367

$50,834

$45,001

1.0%

14.1%


Full-size Car

$42,804

$42,501

$39,436

0.7%

8.5%


Full-size Pickup Truck

$58,985

$58,269

$54,366

1.2%

8.5%


Full-size SUV/Crossover

$72,003

$69,948

$68,678

2.9%

4.8%


High Performance Car

$108,784

$98,690

$100,836

10.2%

7.9%


High-end Luxury Car

$120,480

$119,865

$101,645

0.5%

18.5%


Hybrid/Alternative Energy
Car

$33,390

$33,261

$28,680

0.4%

16.4%


Luxury Car

$74,290

$75,706

$65,525

-1.9%

13.4%


Luxury Compact
SUV/Crossover

$52,329

$50,357

$47,557

3.9%

10.0%


Luxury Full-size
SUV/Crossover

$101,114

$101,540

$95,414

-0.4%

6.0%


Luxury Mid-size
SUV/Crossover

$67,636

$67,737

$64,391

-0.1%

5.0%


Luxury Subcompact
SUV/Crossover

$44,584

$44,207

$40,238

0.9%

10.8%


Mid-size Car

$31,713

$31,591

$27,541

0.4%

15.1%


Mid-size Pickup Truck

$41,417

$41,759

$37,956

-0.8%

9.1%


Mid-size SUV/Crossover

$45,696

$45,826

$41,673

-0.3%

9.7%


Minivan

$45,916

$45,242

$39,279

1.5%

16.9%


Small/Mid-size Pickup
Truck

$29,421

$30,148


-2.4%



Sports Car

$46,454

$44,986

$42,617

3.3%

9.0%


Subcompact Car

$21,954

$21,084

$18,811

4.1%

16.7%


Subcompact
SUV/Crossover

$29,661

$29,291

$25,720

1.3%

15.3%


Van

$47,100

$49,177

$43,407

-4.2%

8.5%


Industry

$46,329

$46,026

$40,937

0.7%

13.2%


*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives










For more information and news from Kelley Blue Book's KBB.com, visit www.kbb.com/media/, follow us on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/company/kelley-blue-book/, Twitter at www.twitter.com/kelleybluebook (or @kelleybluebook), like our page on Facebook at www.facebook.com/kbb  and follow us on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/kbb_com/ (or @kbb_com).

About Kelley Blue Book (www.kbb.com)
Founded in 1926, Kelley Blue Book, The Trusted Resource®, is the vehicle valuation and information source trusted and relied upon by both consumers and the automotive industry. Each week the company provides market-reflective values on its top-rated website KBB.com, including its famous Blue Book® Trade-In Values and Kelley Blue Book® Price Advisor tool, which provides a range for what consumers can reasonably expect to pay for a vehicle in their area. Car owners looking to sell immediately can also get a redeemable, transaction-ready offer with Kelley Blue BookSM Instant Cash Offer. The company also provides vehicle pricing and values through various products and services available to car dealers, auto manufacturers, finance and insurance companies, and governmental agencies. Kelley Blue Book is a Cox Automotive brand.

About Cox Automotive
Cox Automotive Inc. makes buying, selling, owning and using vehicles easier for everyone. The global company's more than 27,000 team members and family of brands, including Autotrader®, Dealer.com®, Dealertrack®, Dickinson Fleet Services, Kelley Blue Book®, Manheim®, NextGear Capital®, VinSolutions®, vAuto® and Xtime®, are passionate about helping millions of car shoppers, 40,000 auto dealer clients across five continents and many others throughout the automotive industry thrive for generations to come. Cox Automotive is a subsidiary of Cox Enterprises Inc., a privately-owned, Atlanta-based company with annual revenues of nearly $20 billion. www.coxautoinc.com

SOURCE Kelley Blue Book

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