Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

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Jun 25, 2014, 10:27 ET

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Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

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Summary

The Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast German defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

- The German defense industry is expected to experience growth at a CAGR of 0.39% during 2015-2019.
- The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$222.5 billion.
- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 22.7% over the forecast period, against an average share of 22.9% during 2010-2014.
- Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to remain stable at US$7.8 billion.
- The key areas of investment are expected to be C4iSR, force management, multi-role aircraft, and transport aircraft

Synopsis

This report offers a detailed analysis of the German defense industry, with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
- German defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the German defense industry during 2015-2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the spending patterns and modernization patterns of the country
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
- Porter's Five Force analysis of the German defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the German defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the German defense industry market trends for the coming five years.
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements which are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period.
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector.
- A deep qualitative analysis of the German defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, latest industry contracts etc.

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Germany's defense expenditure expected to be at a CAGR of 0.39% over the forecast period
3.1.2. Maintenance of the armed forces and peacekeeping operations to drive defense spending over the forecast period
3.1.3. German defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Germany to allocate a higher share toward revenue expenditure over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure to increase at a CAGR of 0.26% over the forecast period
3.2.3. Revenue expenditure set to increase over the forecast period
3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. German homeland security budget expected to remain stable over the forecast period
3.3.2. Counter terrorism and cyber security to drive homeland security spending
3.3.3. Germany falls under "some risk" of terrorism category
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Germany defense budget expected to increase marginally over the forecast period
3.4.2. Germany's defense expenditure is low compared to the largest defense spenders in the world
3.4.3. Germany allocates lower share of GDP for defense compared to US and European countries
3.4.4. Germany faces some threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. C4ISR
3.5.2. Force Management
3.5.3. Multi-role aircraft
3.5.4. Transport Aircraft
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Germany witnesses declining import trends due to a developing domestic industry
4.1.2. Germany sourced majority of its arms imports from the US
4.1.3. Air Defense Systems and Missiles dominate military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Arms exports to recover during the forecast period
4.2.2. US and Greece are the biggest arms importers of Germany
4.2.3. Ships and armored vehicles are the main exported defense products
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: low
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Investment policy promotes 100% FDI in the defense industry
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign defense OEMs form large conglomerates to enter the market
6.2.2. Foreign OEMs establish subsidiaries or form JVs to enter the industry
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Defense procurements expected to be affected by European debt crisis
6.3.2. Modernization of military through downsizing existing systems and personnel
6.3.3. German arms exports to large defense markets outside EU are minimal
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign OEMs have strong collaborations with domestic defense firms
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Heckler andKoch: overview
7.2.2. Heckler andKoch: products and services
7.2.3. Heckler and Koch: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Heckler and Koch: recent contract wins
7.2.5. MAN Truck and Bus AG: overview
7.2.6. MAN Truck and Bus AG: products and services
7.2.7. MAN Truck and Bus AG: recent announcement and strategic initiatives
7.2.8. MAN Truck and Bus AG: alliances
7.2.9. MAN Truck and Bus AG: recent contract wins
7.2.10. Airbus Helicopters: overview
7.2.11. Airbus Helicopters: products and services
7.2.12. Airbus Helicopters: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.13. Airbus Helicopters: alliances
7.2.14. Airbus Helicopters: recent contract wins
7.2.15. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: overview
7.2.16. ESG Elektroniksystem- und Logistik: products and services
7.2.17. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.18. ESG Elektroniksystem- und Logistik: alliances
7.2.19. ESG Elektroniksystem- und Logistik: recent contract wins
7.2.20. Diehl Stiftung: overview
7.2.21. Diehl Stiftung: products and services
7.2.22. Diehl Stiftung: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.23. Diehl Stiftung: alliances
7.2.24. Diehl Stiftung: recent contract wins
7.2.25. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: overview
7.2.26. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: products and services
7.2.27. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.28. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: alliances
7.2.29. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.30. Thales Deutschland: overview
7.2.31. Thales Deutschland: products and services
7.2.32. Thales Deutschland: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.33. Thales Deutschland: alliances
7.2.34. Thales Deutschland: recent contract wins
7.2.35. Airbus Group: overview
7.2.36. Airbus Group: products and services
7.2.37. Airbus Group: recent announcement and strategic initiatives
7.2.38. Airbus Group: alliances
7.2.39. Airbus Group: recent contract wins
7.2.40. Airbus Group: financial analysis
7.2.41. MBDA: overview
7.2.42. MBDA: products and services
7.2.43. MBDA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.44. MBDA: alliances
7.2.45. MBDA: recent contract wins
7.2.46. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: overview
7.2.47. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: products and services
7.2.48. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.49. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: recent contract wins
7.2.50. Rheinmetall: overview
7.2.51. Rheinmetall: products and services
7.2.52. Rheinmetall: recent announcement and strategic initiatives
7.2.53. Rheinmetall: alliances
7.2.54. Rheinmetall: recent contract wins
7.2.55. Rheinmetall: financial analysis
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Population - Rural
8.1.2. Population - Urban
8.1.3. Population - Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
8.2.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.2.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.2.10. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a percentage of GDP
8.2.12. Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.13. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.14. Central Government Debt
8.2.15. Central Government Debt as a percentage of GDP
8.2.16. Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.17. Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.18. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19. Services Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20. Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21. Services trade surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22. Net Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.23. Net FDI as a percentage of GDP
8.2.24. International reserves, including Gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved reserves of Natural Gas
8.3.8. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved reserves
8.3.10. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Rail lines, total network
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.4.3. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and development expenditure
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: German Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 2: German Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2015-2019
Table 3: German Defense Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Table 4: German Defense Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Table 5: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth (US$), 2010-2014
Table 6: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth (US$), 2015-2019
Table 7: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (EUR), 2010-2014
Table 8: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (EUR), 2015-2019
Table 9: German Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Table 10: German Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Table 11: German Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 12: German Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 13: German Capital Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Table 14: German Capital Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Table 15: German Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 16: German Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 17: German Revenue Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Table 18: German Revenue Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Table 19: German Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Table 20: German Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Table 21: German Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2010-2014
Table 22: German Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 23: German Homeland Security Budget (EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Table 24: German Homeland Security Budget (EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Table 25: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Table 26: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 27: Key Foreign Players and Operations in the German Defense Industry
Table 28:Heckler andKoch - Product focus
Table 29:Heckler and Koch - Recent Contract Wins
Table 30:MAN Truck and Bus AG - Product focus
Table 31:MAN Truck and Bus AG - Alliances
Table 32:MAN Truck and Bus AG - Alliances
Table 33:Airbus Helicopters- Product focus
Table 34:Airbus Helicopters - Alliances
Table 35:Airbus Helicopters - Recent Contract Wins
Table 36:ESG Elektroniksystem- und Logistik - Product focus
Table 37:ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik - Alliances
Table 38:ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik - Recent Contract Wins
Table 39:Diehl Stiftung - Product focus
Table 40:Diehl Stiftung- Alliances
Table 41:Diehl Stiftung- Recent Contract Wins
Table 42:ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Product focus
Table 43:ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Alliances
Table 44:ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 45:Thales Deutschland - Product focus
Table 46:Thales Deutschland - Alliances
Table 47:Thales Deutschland - Recent Contract Wins
Table 48:Airbus Group- Product focus
Table 49: Airbus Group- Alliances
Table 50:Airbus Group- Recent Contract Wins
Table 51:MBDA - Product focus
Table 52:MBDA - Alliances
Table 53:MBDA - Recent Contract Wins
Table 54:Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug - Product focus
Table 55:Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug - Recent Contract Wins
Table 56:Rheinmetall - Product focus
Table 57:Rheinmetall - Alliances
Table 58:Rheinmetall - Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

Figure 1: German Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2010-2014
Figure 2: German Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 3: German Defense Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 4: German Defense Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 5: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures as a Percentage of GDP Growth (US$), 2010-2014
Figure 6: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth (US$), 2015-2019
Figure 7: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (EUR), 2010-2014
Figure 8: German GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (EUR), 2015-2019
Figure 9:German Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Figure 10: German Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Figure 11: German Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Figure 12: German Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 13: German Capital Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 14: German Capital Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 15: German Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Figure 16: German Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 17: German Revenue Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 18: German Revenue Expenditure (in EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 19: German per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Figure 20: German per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Figure 21: German Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2010-2014
Figure 22: German Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 23: German Homeland Security Budget (EUR Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 24: German Homeland Security Budget (EUR Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 25: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 26: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 27: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Figure 28: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 29: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 30: C4ISR Market Size (US$ Billion), 2014-2024
Figure 31: Force Management Market Size (US$ Million), 2014 - 2024
Figure 32: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2014 - 2024
Figure 33: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2014 - 2024
Figure 34: German Defense Import Trend, 2009-2013(TIV values)
Figure 35: German Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009-2013
Figure 36: German Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009-2013
Figure 37: German Defense exports by Value (%), 2009 - 2013
Figure 38: German Defense exports by Country (%), 2009 - 2013
Figure 39: German Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009-2013
Figure 40: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 41: Airbus Group - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 42: Airbus Group - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2009-2013
Figure 43: Airbus Group - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2009-2013
Figure 44: Rheinmetall - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 45: Rheinmetall - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2009-2013
Figure 46: Rheinmetall - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2009-2013
Figure 47: Germany Population - Rural (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 48: Germany Population - Urban (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 49: Germany Population - Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 50: Germany GDP per capita, 2010-2019
Figure 51: Germany Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Billion), 2010-2019
Figure 52: Germany Exports of goods and services (current US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 53: Germany Imports of goods and services (current US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 54: Germany gross national disposable income (US$ Billion), 2001- 2010
Figure 55: Germany Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2003-2011
Figure 56: Germany Consumer Price Index, 2010-2019
Figure 57: Germany Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 58: Germany LCU per US$, 2010-2019
Figure 59: Germany Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 60: Germany Market Capitalization of listed companies as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 61: Germany Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Billion), 2003-2011
Figure 62: Germany Government cash Surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP,2002-2011
Figure 63: Germany Central Government Debt (LCU Billion), 2003-2011
Figure 64: Germany Central Government Debt as a percentage of GDP, 2003-2011
Figure 65: Germany Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 66: Germany Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP,2002-2011
Figure 67: Germany Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 68: Germany Services Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 69: Germany Services Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 70: Germany Services trade surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 71: Germany Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 72: Germany Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 73: Germany International reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 74: Germany Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion KWH), 2002-2011
Figure 75: Germany Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion KWH), 2003-2012
Figure 76: Germany Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion KWH), 2003-2012
Figure 77: Germany Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 78: Germany Total Electricity Exports (Billion KWH), 2002-2011
Figure 79: Germany Total Electricity Imports (Billion KWH), 2002-2011
Figure 80: Germany Proved reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic feet), 2004-2013
Figure 81: Germany Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 82: Germany Crude Oil Proved reserves(Billion Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 83: Germany Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kw), 2002-2011
Figure 84: Germany Rail lines (total route-Km), 2003-2011
Figure 85: Germany Air transport, freight (Million ton-Km), 2002-2011
Figure 86: Germany Overall Construction (US$ Billion), 2007-2016
Figure 87: Germany Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 88: Germany Research and Development (thousands LCU), 2001-2009
Figure 89: Germany Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 90: Germany People Employed in RandD (Number of researchers per million people), 2003-2012
Figure 91: Germany Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012