July Construction Rises 6 Percent

NEW YORK, Aug. 22, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- New construction starts in July climbed 6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $588.8 billion, according to McGraw Hill Construction, a division of McGraw Hill Financial.  Nonresidential building continued to advance, supported by yet another robust month for manufacturing plant projects as well as improvement for commercial building.  The nonbuilding construction sector (public works and electric utilities) also advanced, helped by the start of a very large mass transit rail project.  At the same time, residential building was unchanged from its pace in June.  For the first seven months of 2014, total construction starts on an unadjusted basis were reported at $311.6 billion, a 4% gain compared to the same period a year ago.

The July statistics raised the Dodge Index to 125 (2000=100), up from a revised 118 for June, and marking the highest level for the Dodge Index so far in 2014.  "The construction expansion this year is getting more of a contribution from nonresidential building," stated Robert A. Murray, chief economist and vice president for McGraw Hill Construction.  "Manufacturing plant construction is seeing the start of numerous chemical and energy-related projects, consistent with the nation's growing energy sector.  Commercial building is maintaining its upward momentum from low levels, while institutional building with its up-and-down pattern appears to be stabilizing after a lengthy decline.  With residential building being limited so far in 2014 by the sluggish single family market, the further growth for nonresidential building has been needed to keep the construction expansion going.  As for public works, this year's pullback has stayed moderate, helped in part by the ongoing strength for mass transit work.  The recent passage of a $10.8 billion 'patch' by Congress to shore up the Highway Trust Fund through May 2015 should also help to keep this year's public works downturn from getting much more severe."

Nonresidential building in July increased 7% to $229.0 billion (annual rate), showing further growth on top of the 12% increase reported in June.  The manufacturing plant category jumped 44%, reflecting the start of still more chemical and energy-related facilities, including these projects in Texas – a $3.0 billion petrochemical plant in Baytown and a $1.7 billion ethylene plant in Freeport.  Other large manufacturing projects entered as July starts included a $450 million semiconductor facility in Hillsboro OR and a $370 million ore processing plant in Corpus Christi TX.  The commercial building group in July rose 11%, resuming its upward trend after retreating in June.  Hotel construction in July climbed 29%, helped by groundbreaking for a $190 million hotel/time share tower in Honolulu HI and $114 million for the hotel portion of a $300 million mixed-use building in Los Angeles CA.  Store construction improved 12%, aided by the start of a $49 million mall addition in Denver CO.  Office construction grew 8%, supported by the start of $252 million for the office portion of a $420 million mixed-use building in Minneapolis MN and $170 million for the office portion of a $225 mixed-use building in Dallas TX.  Warehouse construction was the one commercial project type not able to report a July gain, as it slipped 13%.

The institutional building group as a whole dropped 14% in July, retreating after growing 12% during the previous two months.  Healthcare facilities fell 34% from its heightened June amount, which featured the start of a $900 million hospital campus in San Francisco CA.  In contrast, educational building in July advanced 11%, supported by groundbreaking for such projects as a $130 million addition and renovation to a high school in Winchester MA, a $94 million new high school in Centerton AR, and an $86 million new high school in Laramie WY.  Through the first seven months of 2014, the dollar amount of new high school construction projects for the nation was up 10%, contributing to a 7% year-to-date gain for the overall educational building category.  The July pattern for the smaller institutional project types was mixed.  Transportation terminal construction grew 39%, lifted by the start of a $55 million renovation of an intermodal facility in Springfield MA, and church construction increased 19% from the previous month's weak amount.  On the negative side, the public buildings category retreated 12% while amusement-related construction dropped a more substantial 45% after a strong June that included the start of a $375 million arena in Las Vegas NV.  Despite its steep decline, amusement-related construction did include the July start of a $129 million casino in Jamul CA.

Residential building, at $223.4 billion (annual rate) in July, held basically even with its June pace.  Single family housing slipped 3%, reflecting this performance by major region – the West, down 10%; the Northeast and South Central, each down 3%; the Midwest, unchanged, and the South Atlantic, up 1%.  Since the end of 2013, single family housing has been essentially flat, placing the strong upward movement that was reported during 2012 and most of 2013 on hold.  Murray indicated, "One explanation for the sluggish single family market is that investor demand has waned, and first-time homebuyers have been unable to fill the gap, given continued tight bank lending standards.  On a positive note, the most recent survey of bank lending officers conducted by the Federal Reserve shows that 18% of the respondents had eased lending standards on residential mortgages during the second quarter, which along with continued low mortgage rates may help housing demand and construction to strengthen in the latter half of this year."  Multifamily housing in July increased 8%, maintaining the moderate upward trend that's been present during 2014.  Large multifamily projects that supported the July increase included a $350 million multifamily tower in Queens NY, a $260 million condominium tower in Honolulu HI, and $160 million for the multifamily portion of the $300 million mixed-use building in Los Angeles CA.  Through the first seven months of 2014, the top five metropolitan areas ranked by the dollar amount of new multifamily starts were the following – New York NY, Washington DC, Los Angeles CA, Miami FL, and Boston MA.

Nonbuilding construction in July climbed 14% to $136.4 billion (annual rate).  While most of the public works categories showed decreased activity during July, miscellaneous public works (which includes site work, mass transit, and pipelines) soared 103%.  The lift came mostly from the $1.2 billion related to the start of Phase 2 of the Dulles Corridor MetroRail project in Herndon VA.  In general, mass transit rail work has stayed strong during 2014, registering a 61% year-to-date gain for the nation as a whole.  Highways and bridges moved in the downward direction during July, sliding 11% and 21%, respectively.  The environmental public works categories showed a moderate loss of momentum in July, with river/harbor development and water supply systems each down 7%, while sewer construction fell 9%.  The electric utility and gas plant category in July jumped 55%, as part of its occasional departure from the downward trend reported over the past year.  Large projects in July that boosted the electric utility and gas plant total included a $1.5 billion natural gas liquid fractionator facility in Texas and $500 million for electrical system upgrades to the East Side Access Tunnel project in New York NY.

The 4% gain for total construction starts on an unadjusted basis during the first seven months of 2014 was the result of a varied performance by the three main construction sectors.  Nonresidential building during the January-July period advanced 13%, due to this behavior – commercial building, up 5%; manufacturing building, up 149%; and institutional building, down 1%.  Residential building grew 5% year-to-date, with single family housing up 2% and multifamily housing up 17%.  Nonbuilding construction registered a 10% year-to-date decline, with public works down 10% and electric utilities down 8%.

By geography, total construction starts in the first seven months of 2014 revealed gains in two regions – the South Central, up 18%; and the Northeast, up 5%.  The West was unchanged from the same period a year ago, while declines were posted by the Midwest, down 1%; and the South Atlantic, down 3%.

July 2014 Construction Starts

JULY 2014 CONSTRUCTION STARTS

MONTHLY SUMMARY OF CONSTRUCTION STARTS
Prepared by McGraw Hill Construction Research & Analytics

THE DODGE INDEX
(Year 2000=100, Seasonally Adjusted)

July 2014….…125
June 2014.......118

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