Mobile Experts Predicts a Grim Outlook for Macro Base Stations

CAMPBELL, Calif., Feb. 3, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Mobile Experts released a new report today which outlines a general decline in the market for high-power mobile infrastructure.  The new report, Macro Base Stations and Transceivers, is the sixth annual report in the forecast series in which Mobile Experts provides deep detailed analysis of the architecture of macro infrastructure. The forecast has been refined to a high level of accuracy, with deep-dive details on frequency bands, power levels, air interface formats, multimode operation, and regional deployment trends.

Mobile Experts achieves a high level of accuracy in its market forecasts, using its time-consuming and comprehensive Top-Down and Bottom-Up research approach.  The Top-Down process involves interviews with more than 30 mobile operators, while the Bottom-Up process includes data collection from 19 semiconductor and component vendors to quantify the forecast by band, by power level, etc.

Principal Analyst Joe Madden explained, "The macro base station market hit its peak in 2014, and we can now see the inevitable decline in overall market potential. With 2G and 3G, there was a surge in deployment as operators spent billions of dollars on their major deployments, followed by a four-year decline. In LTE, the networks with the strongest ARPU potential have already been deployed in multiple bands, so ongoing deployment depends on operators with weaker ARPU."

"As we break down the base station market, we are seeing a shift in the approach to Centralized RAN (CRAN) architectures, at new frequency bands in some cases. We are also tracking shifts in power levels and in OEM market share, as the demographics for base station deployment shifts away from developed countries into less developed markets. There are new opportunities for companies that recognize the trends and put the right equipment together for the next market phase."

This report includes 46 charts and diagrams to illustrate both technical and financial analysis in many different ways.  Subscribers to Mobile Experts research also receive strategic analysis on a quarterly basis (our Expert INSIGHT series), which illustrate the high-level trends in capital spending toward small cells, as well as strategic M&A analysis. Recent Expert INSIGHT topics include strategic analysis of the Nokia/ALU merger, market predictions based on traffic density data, and the impact of IoT on the macro market.

The complete forecast includes a detailed Excel model, including:

• Base Station deployment numbers for 2014-2020;
• Base Station Transceiver shipments by air interface;
• Base Station deployment by urban/suburban/rural density level;
• Remote Radio Head (RRH) shipments;
• Transceiver Shipments by frequency band;
• Transceiver Shipments by MIMO mode, including 2x2, 4x2, 4x4, and 8x8;
• Analysis of Spectrum Refarming for LTE and its impact;
• Regional forecasts for transceiver deployment;
• Transceiver Shipments by power level; and
• OEM market shares, based on radio shipments instead of revenue share.

About Mobile Experts LLC:
Mobile Experts provides insightful market analysis for the mobile infrastructure and mobile handset markets. Our analysts are true Experts, who remain focused on topics where each analyst has 20 years of experience or more. Research topics center on technology introduction for radio frequency (RF) and communications innovation.   Recent publications focus on Small Cells,  Semiconductors for Small Cells, Macro Base Station Transceivers, Semiconductors for RRH,  Active Antenna Systems, Backhaul for Small Cells, DAS, Virtualized RAN, and Carrier Wi-Fi.

Contact:
Rachel Madden
Mobile Experts LLC
Email
+1 (408) 540-7284       
www.mobile-experts.net

SOURCE Mobile Experts

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