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      Redfin: Homebuyers Have Significantly More Purchasing Power in 2020, But Must Contend with Low Inventory and Coronavirus Concerns

      A buyer who could afford a $457,000 home in March 2019 could afford a $508,000 home today

      In Dallas and Portland, Oregon the share of homes affordable for a $2,500 monthly payment increased, while Phoenix and Las Vegas have fewer affordable homes even with lower rates

      Redfin Logo (PRNewsfoto/Redfin)

      News provided by

      Redfin

      Mar 12, 2020, 08:00 ET

      Share this article

      Share this article


      SEATTLE, March 12, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: RDFN) —  A dramatic drop in mortgage interest rates, driven by coronavirus fears, has given homebuyers a big boost in purchasing power in recent weeks, according to an analysis from Redfin, (www.redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

      At a mortgage interest rate of 3.2%, a homebuyer with a $2,500 monthly mortgage budget could afford a home that is $51,250 more than in March of 2019 when rates were 4.4%. Put another way, a buyer who could accord a $457,000 home in March of last year could afford a $508,000 home today.

      "Potential homebuyers now have an extra incentive to buy a home despite all of the economic uncertainty from the coronavirus," said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. "And, many current homeowners now have the option to refinance their mortgages and gain some extra spending cash each month. Low interest rates won't help with direct impacts of the coronavirus on the economy like declines in tourism and service sector spending, but they will mitigate impacts to housing."

      The boost in purchasing power comes at a welcome time for homebuyers who have been facing major inventory crunches and intense bidding wars in many markets. In January, the housing supply fell 11% year over year, and there were fewer homes for sale than any time since January 2013.

      Despite there being fewer homes for sale in most markets, the share of homes for sale that were affordable on a $2,500 monthly payment nationally increased 1.9 percentage points from 68.6% between March 4 and March 10, 2019 to 70.5% between March 2 and 8, 2020.

      The markets where homebuyers are experiencing the biggest boost in the share of affordable inventory compared to a year ago were Dallas (+6.2 points), Portland, OR (+5.2 points), and Richmond, VA (+4.3 points).

      "I just had a buyer who was at the top of his budget lock in a 2.99% mortgage rate and he is ecstatic at how much more flexibility his finances will have thanks to the interest rate drop," said Portland Redfin agent Meme Loggins. "Another one of my buyers was looking at condos just a few weeks ago because he didn't think he could afford a single family home, but thanks to the low rates he can now. Homebuyers in every price range are excited, even those looking at homes priced well over $1 million. Unfortunately we are still facing competition on every offer, which leads us to drop contingencies and offer above list price. With the inventory crunch, these low rates are definitely adding to the frenzy."

      Despite the drop in mortgage rates expanding the range of homes that buyers can afford, the share of affordable inventory on a $2,500 payment fell 3.6 points in Phoenix, 3.4 points in Las Vegas and 1 point in Orlando from a year ago.

      Metro-level data is available in the table below and the complete report and methodology are available at https://www.redfin.com/blog/mortgage-rates-drop-on-coronavirus-fears.

       Share of Homes for Sale Affordable on a $2,500 Monthly Payment

      Metro Area

      Total Homes for Sale, March 4-10, 2019

      Total Homes for Sale, March 2-8, 2020

      Share of Homes Affordable on a $2,500 Payment, 2019

      Share of Homes Affordable on a $2,500 Payment, 2020

      Change in Share of Homes Affordable, 2019 to 2020

      Dallas, TX

      18,195

      15,597

      69.6%

      75.8%

      6.2 pts

      Portland, OR

      6,335

      4,835

      49.9%

      55.1%

      5.2 pts

      Richmond, VA

      3,244

      2,515

      76.6%

      80.9%

      4.3 pts

      Milwaukee, WI

      4,397

      4,276

      80.6%

      84.8%

      4.2 pts

      San Diego, CA

      7,576

      4,889

      19.7%

      23.7%

      4.0 pts

      Nashville, TN

      11,083

      9,983

      72.4%

      76.1%

      3.7 pts

      Minneapolis, MN

      8,838

      8,214

      69.6%

      73.2%

      3.6 pts

      New York, NY

      35,344

      33,128

      26.2%

      29.7%

      3.5 pts

      Columbus, OH

      5,563

      5,206

      82.0%

      85.4%

      3.4 pts

      Seattle, WA

      6,125

      3,841

      23.1%

      26.2%

      3.1 pts

      Raleigh, NC

      6,742

      5,921

      74.9%

      78.1%

      3.1 pts

      Louisville, KY

      3,057

      2,756

      84.0%

      86.8%

      2.9 pts

      Chicago, IL

      27,981

      24,325

      71.6%

      74.4%

      2.8 pts

      Denver, CO

      7,206

      5,498

      44.8%

      47.7%

      2.8 pts

      Charlotte, NC

      11,513

      10,019

      77.2%

      80.0%

      2.8 pts

      Miami, FL

      20,443

      16,650

      55.7%

      58.4%

      2.7 pts

      Birmingham, AL

      4,751

      3,991

      84.3%

      87.0%

      2.7 pts

      Houston, TX

      28,013

      26,255

      77.5%

      80.0%

      2.5 pts

      Jacksonville, FL

      8,891

      7,259

      79.2%

      81.7%

      2.5 pts

      Austin, TX

      7,426

      5,684

      69.1%

      71.4%

      2.3 pts

      Hartford, CT

      4,882

      4,558

      86.6%

      88.8%

      2.2 pts

      Providence, RI

      5,296

      4,433

      73.7%

      75.9%

      2.2 pts

      Riverside, CA

      18,185

      13,082

      62.7%

      64.8%

      2.2 pts

      Atlanta, GA

      26,234

      22,649

      76.5%

      78.6%

      2.1 pts

      San Jose, CA

      2,325

      1,595

      2.3%

      4.3%

      2.0 pts

      Kansas City, MO

      6,870

      4,918

      80.7%

      82.7%

      2.0 pts

      Baltimore, MD

      10,200

      8,640

      75.4%

      77.2%

      1.8 pts

      Sacramento, CA

      5,060

      4,008

      49.8%

      51.5%

      1.7 pts

      New Orleans, LA

      4,264

      4,036

      79.9%

      81.5%

      1.6 pts

      San Antonio, TX

      9,638

      8,671

      84.7%

      86.2%

      1.6 pts

      Boston, MA

      7,884

      7,504

      34.0%

      35.5%

      1.5 pts

      Virginia Beach, VA

      6,871

      5,201

      85.3%

      86.7%

      1.4 pts

      Detroit, MI

      5,016

      4,707

      92.1%

      93.3%

      1.2 pts

      Oklahoma City, OK

      4,948

      4,286

      86.0%

      87.2%

      1.2 pts

      St. Louis, MO

      8,799

      7,167

      87.7%

      88.8%

      1.0 pts

      Indianapolis, IN

      5,361

      4,125

      83.2%

      84.1%

      0.9 pts

      Buffalo, NY

      1,986

      1,585

      90.2%

      91.0%

      0.9 pts

      Cincinnati, OH

      7,873

      6,506

      85.8%

      86.1%

      0.4 pts

      Memphis, TN

      2,950

      2,447

      86.2%

      86.4%

      0.2 pts

      Pittsburgh, PA

      8,374

      7,802

      88.0%

      87.8%

      -0.2 pts

      San Francisco, CA

      1,686

      1,667

      1.8%

      1.6%

      -0.3 pts

      Tampa, FL

      16,616

      11,845

      80.5%

      80.2%

      -0.3 pts

      Cleveland, OH

      7,960

      5,883

      89.7%

      89.2%

      -0.4 pts

      Philadelphia, PA

      7,033

      6,231

      81.4%

      80.8%

      -0.6 pts

      Los Angeles, CA

      19,772

      13,949

      19.9%

      19.3%

      -0.6 pts

      Salt Lake City, UT

      3,621

      1,511

      63.4%

      62.6%

      -0.8 pts

      Washington, D.C.

      13,321

      11,059

      55.5%

      54.5%

      -0.9 pts

      Orlando, FL

      11,562

      8,634

      79.7%

      78.7%

      -1.0 pts

      Las Vegas, NV

      12,057

      8,143

      80.8%

      77.4%

      -3.4 pts

      Phoenix, AZ

      24,664

      15,339

      71.5%

      67.8%

      -3.6 pts

      National

      883,656

      738,139

      68.6%

      70.5%

      1.9 pts

      About Redfin
      Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 90 major metro areas across the U.S. and Canada. The company has helped customers buy or sell homes worth more than $115 billion.

      For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email [email protected]. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

      SOURCE Redfin

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