DENVER, Dec. 15, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Natural gas production in the lower 48 United States averaged 71.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in November, which is down about 0.46 Bcf/d, compared to the October average, according to Platts Bentek, an analytics and forecasting unit of Platts, a leading global provider of energy and commodities information. On a month-over-month basis, November natural gas production was down less than 1% from October.
"U.S. natural gas production volumes in November did not live up to the expectations of the market, as the Northeast pipeline expansions underperformed," said Sami Yahya, Platts Bentek energy analyst. "The Northeast is the primary growth driver of production for the U.S., and the wave of new expansions that were brought online in November did not ramp up as quickly as expected. The Northeast grew only 0.3 Bcf/d out of the approximately 1.5 Bcf/d of new takeaway capacity."
Yahya explained that the combination of weaker demand, near-capacity storage fields, maintenance, and construction delays contributed to the underperformance of the projects. The Northeast is the only major region that saw month-over-month growth. The Southeast/Gulf region on average shed nearly 0.4 Bcf/d this month. While maintenance was a factor in the decline, this sharp dip could be a signal that some producers are intentionally chocking back production due to the depressed pricing environment, Yahya said. The Rockies region lost about 0.2 Bcf/d in volumes from October to November, as Texas and the Midcon region cut roughly 0.1 Bcf/d each.
"Going at the rate it is going now, the Northeast is currently not very effective in offsetting production declines around the country," said Yahya. "However, as winter season comes on full throttle, it may lend the Northeast the needed push to not only reach new highs, but also eliminate the declining status of U.S. gas production. The downside risk is that December typically brings along the freeze offs season, which could introduce further curtailments to production in many areas, inside and outside the Northeast."
The Platts Bentek data analysis suggests 2015 U.S. natural gas production will average approximately 72 Bcf/d, with more growth still expected through the end of the year. Such would mark a year-on-year growth of 3 Bcf/d over 2014.
The Platts Bentek data analysis is based on an extensive sample of near real-time production receipt data from the U.S. lower 48 interstate pipeline system. Platts Bentek production models are highly correlated with and provide an advance glimpse of federal government statistics from the U.S. EIA.
This Platts Bentek U.S. natural gas production data estimate will be published every month covering the previous month's output activity. The dry gas production estimates are not observed data and are based on pipeline receipt nominations and certain state production data.
For more information about natural gas supply and demand fundamentals and Platts Bentek, visit www.bentekenergy.com. For more information about natural gas spot price trends, visit the website at www.platts.com.
Americas: Kathleen Tanzy + 1 917 331 4607, firstname.lastname@example.org
About Platts: Founded in 1909, Platts is a leading global provider of energy, petrochemicals, metals and agriculture information and a premier source of benchmark prices for the physical and futures markets. Platts' news, pricing, analytics, commentary and conferences help customers make better-informed trading and business decisions and help the markets operate with greater transparency and efficiency. Customers in more than 150 countries benefit from Platts' coverage of the biofuels, carbon emissions, coal, electricity, oil, natural gas, metals, nuclear power, petrochemical, shipping and sugar markets. Platts acquired The Steel Index (TSI) in July 2011. A division of McGraw Hill Financial, Platts is based in London with more than 1000 employees in more than 15 offices worldwide. Additional information is available at http://www.platts.com.
About McGraw Hill Financial: McGraw Hill Financial (NYSE: MHFI) is a leading financial intelligence company providing the global capital and commodity markets with independent benchmarks, credit ratings, portfolio and enterprise risk solutions, and analytics. The Company's iconic brands include Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, S&P Capital IQ and SNL, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts, CRISIL and J.D. Power. The Company has approximately 20,000 employees in 31 countries. Additional information is available at www.mhfi.com.