Metros Where Falling Mortgage Rates Could Spark the Most Change: New Report from Realtor.com®
Washington D.C.; Denver, CO.; Virginia Beach, Va.; Raleigh, N.C.; and Seattle, Wash.; lead the top 5 metros with the highest share of mortgaged homeowners
AUSTIN, Texas, Sept. 25, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- As mortgage rates drift into the low 6% range following the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, a new Realtor.com® report found that metros with younger, more mobile populations, such as Washington D.C., Denver, CO., Raleigh N.C. and Virginia Beach, Va. stand to benefit the most from consistently lower mortgage rates. According to our analysis, 81% of existing mortgages have a rate of 6% or lower. In other words, as mortgage rates approach the 6% level, we can expect to see more homeowners "unlocked," especially in areas with high mortgage usage.
The report finds that Washington, D.C. (73.6%), Denver (72.9%), Virginia Beach (70.7%) and Raleigh (70.7%) lead the nation with the largest share of mortgaged households, making them the most likely to see buyer demand accelerate as financing conditions improve. By contrast, Miami (44.8%), Buffalo (44.2%) and Pittsburgh (44.2%) rank among the least mortgage-reliant metros, suggesting their housing markets may be slower to respond to falling rates.
"Falling mortgage rates open doors for many would-be buyers and sellers, but where you live determines how much the market shifts in response to the opportunity," said Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com®. "In markets like Denver or Washington, D.C., where most owners are still paying off their mortgages, lower rates are more likely to spark renewed activity. Meanwhile, metros with older populations and more outright owners, like Buffalo or Miami, may see a lower market-level response, even though lower rates are a difference-maker for some individuals in these markets."
Across the 50 largest U.S. metros, the analysis shows wide variation in the role mortgages play. In Washington, D.C., nearly three-quarters of owned homes carry a mortgage, followed closely by Denver and Virginia Beach. These younger, more mobile housing markets are likely to see the fastest reacceleration in demand as borrowing costs decline. On the other end of the spectrum, metros such as Buffalo, Pittsburgh and Miami have the highest share of outright owners, driven by high concentration of older homeowners.
Top 10 Metros with the Highest Share of Mortgaged Households
- Washington, D.C. - 73.6%
- Denver, Co. - 72.9%
- Virginia Beach, Va. - 70.7%
- Raleigh NC - 70.7%
- San Diego Calif. - 70.0%
- Baltimore, M.D. - 69.4%
- Atlanta, GA - 69.2%
- Seattle, Wash. - 69.1%
- Portland, OR - 68.5%
- Richmond, VA - 68.3%
Top 10 Metros with the Highest Share of Outright Owners
- Miami, Fla. - 44.8%
- Buffalo, N.Y. - 44.2%
- Pittsburgh, Pa. - 44.2%
- Detroit, Mich. - 42.3%
- Tampa, Fla. - 42.3%
- Houston, Texas - 42.2%
- Tucson, Az. -41.9%
- San Antonio, Texas - 41.5%
- Birmingham, Ala. - 41.0%
- New York, N.Y. - 40.1%
About 64% of occupied U.S. housing units are owned, and nearly two-thirds of those homeowners have a mortgage. The age profile of homeowners is driving mortgage reliance nationwide. Older households account for the majority of outright owners, 53.9% were aged 65+ in 2024, on par with levels seen in the previous years. Because most people purchase homes earlier in life, rising property values allow them to build equity over time. That equity can be used to refinance, or to sell and downsize, reducing or eliminating the need for new mortgage debt.
At the state level, the divide is just as stark as by metro. D.C. (74.3%), Maryland (70.0%) and Colorado (69.0%), stand out for their high shares of mortgaged households, while West Virginia (55.1%), Mississippi (51.6%) and New Mexico (50.6%) are home to more outright owners. These differences suggest that rate-sensitive demand will surge more strongly in the Northeast and West regions, while parts of the South may remain less reactive.
For buyers, particularly first-time purchasers, easing mortgage rates can unlock affordability and expand choices. For sellers, the outlook depends on geography: those in high-mortgage metros may see faster-moving markets and stronger competition, while sellers in outright-owner markets may find conditions steadier and less volatile.
Metro Areas Where Mortgages Are Most Common
Metro |
% of Owner-Occupied Mortgage |
% of Owner-Occupied |
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area |
73.6 % |
26.4 % |
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO Metro Area |
72.9 % |
27.1 % |
Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC Metro Area |
70.7 % |
29.3 % |
Raleigh-Cary, NC Metro Area |
70.7 % |
29.3 % |
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA Metro Area |
70.0 % |
30.0 % |
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area |
69.4 % |
30.6 % |
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA Metro Area |
69.2 % |
30.8 % |
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA Metro Area |
69.1 % |
30.9 % |
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area |
68.5 % |
31.5 % |
Richmond, VA Metro Area |
68.3 % |
31.7 % |
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA Metro Area |
68.1 % |
31.9 % |
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI Metro Area |
67.7 % |
32.3 % |
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC Metro Area |
67.7 % |
32.3 % |
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA Metro Area |
67.6 % |
32.4 % |
Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN Metro Area |
67.6 % |
32.4 % |
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV Metro Area |
67.2 % |
32.8 % |
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA Metro Area |
67.0 % |
33.0 % |
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metro Area |
66.9 % |
33.1 % |
Columbus, OH Metro Area |
66.5 % |
33.5 % |
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX Metro Area |
66.2 % |
33.8 % |
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metro Area |
66.1 % |
33.9 % |
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA Metro Area |
65.5 % |
34.5 % |
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA Metro Area |
65.4 % |
34.6 % |
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area |
65.2 % |
34.8 % |
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN Metro Area |
65.2 % |
34.8 % |
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Metro Area |
64.6 % |
35.4 % |
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Metro Area |
64.5 % |
35.5 % |
Kansas City, MO-KS Metro Area |
64.1 % |
35.9 % |
Jacksonville, FL Metro Area |
63.8 % |
36.2 % |
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL Metro Area |
63.6 % |
36.4 % |
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN Metro Area |
63.2 % |
36.8 % |
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT Metro Area |
63.1 % |
36.9 % |
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD Metro Area |
62.9 % |
37.1 % |
St. Louis, MO-IL Metro Area |
62.1 % |
37.9 % |
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area |
62.0 % |
38.0 % |
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area |
61.7 % |
38.3 % |
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN Metro Area |
61.7 % |
38.3 % |
Oklahoma City, OK Metro Area |
60.6 % |
39.4 % |
Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI Metro Area |
60.3 % |
39.7 % |
Cleveland, OH Metro Area |
60.3 % |
39.7 % |
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ Metro Area |
59.9 % |
40.1 % |
Birmingham, AL Metro Area |
59.0 % |
41.0 % |
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX Metro Area |
58.5 % |
41.5 % |
Tucson, AZ Metro Area |
58.1 % |
41.9 % |
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX Metro Area |
57.8 % |
42.2 % |
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area |
57.7 % |
42.3 % |
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI Metro Area |
57.7 % |
42.3 % |
Pittsburgh, PA Metro Area |
55.8 % |
44.2 % |
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area |
55.8 % |
44.2 % |
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL Metro Area |
55.2 % |
44.8 % |
Data source: 2024 ACS 1-Year Estimates |
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States Where Mortgages Are Most Common
State |
% of Owner-Occupied Homes With a |
% of Owner-Occupied Homes Without a |
District of Columbia |
74.3 % |
25.7 % |
Maryland |
70.0 % |
30.0 % |
Colorado |
69.0 % |
31.0 % |
Utah |
68.0 % |
32.0 % |
California |
66.1 % |
33.9 % |
Virginia |
65.8 % |
34.2 % |
Rhode Island |
65.6 % |
34.4 % |
Massachusetts |
65.5 % |
34.5 % |
Nevada |
65.3 % |
34.7 % |
Washington |
65.1 % |
34.9 % |
Oregon |
63.4 % |
36.6 % |
New Jersey |
62.9 % |
37.1 % |
Connecticut |
62.9 % |
37.1 % |
Delaware |
62.8 % |
37.2 % |
Georgia |
62.7 % |
37.3 % |
Minnesota |
62.6 % |
37.4 % |
Indiana |
62.5 % |
37.5 % |
Hawaii |
60.7 % |
39.3 % |
New Hampshire |
60.6 % |
39.4 % |
Arizona |
60.6 % |
39.4 % |
North Carolina |
60.5 % |
39.5 % |
Idaho |
60.4 % |
39.6 % |
Alaska |
60.4 % |
39.6 % |
Wisconsin |
60.0 % |
40.0 % |
Ohio |
59.7 % |
40.3 % |
Illinois |
59.7 % |
40.3 % |
Missouri |
58.8 % |
41.2 % |
Iowa |
58.1 % |
41.9 % |
Vermont |
57.8 % |
42.2 % |
Nebraska |
57.8 % |
42.2 % |
South Carolina |
57.0 % |
43.0 % |
Kansas |
57.0 % |
43.0 % |
New York |
56.8 % |
43.2 % |
Pennsylvania |
56.7 % |
43.3 % |
Tennessee |
56.5 % |
43.5 % |
Michigan |
56.5 % |
43.5 % |
Florida |
55.8 % |
44.2 % |
Texas |
55.5 % |
44.5 % |
Maine |
55.5 % |
44.5 % |
Kentucky |
54.7 % |
45.3 % |
South Dakota |
54.6 % |
45.4 % |
Montana |
54.1 % |
45.9 % |
Oklahoma |
53.9 % |
46.1 % |
Alabama |
53.5 % |
46.5 % |
Wyoming |
52.9 % |
47.1 % |
Arkansas |
52.4 % |
47.6 % |
Louisiana |
51.8 % |
48.2 % |
North Dakota |
51.3 % |
48.7 % |
New Mexico |
49.4 % |
50.6 % |
Mississippi |
48.4 % |
51.6 % |
West Virginia |
44.9 % |
55.1 % |
Data source: 2024 ACS 1-Year Estimates |
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Regions Where Mortgages Are Most Common
Region |
% of Owner-Occupied |
% of Owner-Occupied |
West |
64.3 % |
35.7 % |
Northeast |
59.5 % |
40.5 % |
Midwest |
59.3 % |
40.7 % |
South |
57.5 % |
42.5 % |
Nation |
59.7 % |
40.3 % |
Data source: 2024 ACS 1-Year Estimates |
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Methodology
The shares of outright homeowners and homeowners with mortgages are calculated using ACS 1-Year Estimates at the metro, state, regional, and national levels, based on owner-occupied housing units.
About Realtor.com®
Realtor.com® pioneered online real estate and has been at the forefront for over 25 years, connecting buyers, sellers, and renters with trusted insights, professional guidance and powerful tools to help them find their perfect home. Recognized as the No. 1 site trusted by real estate professionals, Realtor.com® is a valued partner, delivering consumer connections and a robust suite of marketing tools to support business growth. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc.
Media contact: Mallory Micetich, [email protected]
SOURCE Realtor.com
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