Number of Homes for Sale Drop at Fastest Pace in Four Years

An increase in the number of single-family home rentals has taken away a chunk of sellable inventory, according to the May Zillow Real Estate Market Reports

- The number of for-sale homes hitting the market is dropping at its fastest pace in almost four years, with about 9 percent fewer homes on the market than a year ago.

- The number of single-family home rentals has increased by 6.2 million since 2005, one of the reasons why inventory remains low.

- U.S. home values rose 7.4 percent over the past year to a Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) of $199,200. Home values in Seattle and Dallas are appreciating the fastest.

- Rents rose 0.7 percent over the past year to a Zillow Rent Index (ZRI) of $1,416 per month. Rents in Seattle and Sacramento, Calif. are rising the most.

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Zillow

Jun 22, 2017, 08:00 ET

SEATTLE, June 22, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- The number of for-sale homes hitting the market is dropping at its fastest pace in almost four years, according to the May Zillow® Real Estate Market Reports^ⁱ. The typical home stayed on the market for just 77 days, the fewest days on Zillowⁱⁱ ever reported.

Across the country, home shoppers will have 9 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago, which is the greatest drop in inventory since August 2013 when inventory was down more than 10 percent.

Columbus, Ohio, San Jose, Calif. and Minneapolis reported the greatest annual declines in the number of homes for sale, with about 30 percent fewer homes for sale in each market. In San Diego, there are 26 percent fewer homes on the market than a year ago, and 22 percent fewer in Seattle. Both San Diego and Seattle have high buyer demand and home value growth of over 6 percent.

When the housing market crashed, many Americans went from owning single-family homes to renting them -- between 2005 and 2016, the number of owner-occupied single-family homes fell by 680,000, while the number of renter-occupied single-family homes increased by 6.2 millionⁱⁱⁱ.

This increase in the number of single-family home rentals is one of the reasons why inventory remains low. The amount of new construction coming available hasn't been enough to offset the subtraction of more single-family homes being converted to rentals. Rental homes are put for sale less frequently, which creates more options for renters, but fewer for buyers.

"Inventory has been falling for years with supply no longer meeting demand, and there are multiple reasons for the worsening situation," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. "On the demand side, simple demographic change is contributing to incredibly high demand as millennials reach their prime home-buying years and begin to enter the market in droves. This is coupled with relatively low levels of new home construction on the supply side insufficient to keep pace with demand, and what is built is largely priced beyond the reach of many of the first-time and entry-level home buyers in the market. Thousands of single-family homes that were once bought and sold every few years prior to the recession have now been converted into rental properties by investors, trading hands much less frequently and further contributing to inventory shortages. And finally, in some still hard-hit markets, negative equity is likely keeping many homeowners of lower-end homes from listing their home for sale because they can't afford to profitably do so. There is no silver bullet that will clear the market of all of these issues, and buyers frustrated by the status quo will likely have to remain patient and be ready to pounce once that perfect home does become available."

The median home value across the country is $199,200, up 7.4 percent since this time last year. Seattle, Dallas and Tampa, Fla. reported the highest year-over-year home value appreciation among the 35 largest U.S. metros. In Seattle, home values rose almost 13 percent to a median value of $440,100. Home values in Dallas and Tampa are up about 11 percent since this time last year.

Median rent across the nation rose 0.7 percent since last May, to a median payment of $1,416 per month. Seattle, Sacramento, Calif. and Los Angeles reported the greatest year-over-year rent appreciation among the 35 largest U.S. metros. Rents in Seattle are up almost 6 percent to a Zillow Rent Index^{^iv} (ZRI) of $2,127. Median rent in Sacramento is up 4.5 percent, while Los Angeles median rent are up 4 percent.

Mortgage rates^{^v} on Zillow ended the month of May at 3.73 percent, the lowest level of the month. Mortgage rates hit a high of 3.90 percent less than two weeks into May^{^vi}. Zillow's real-time mortgage rates are based on thousands of custom mortgage quotes submitted daily to anonymous borrowers on the Zillow Mortgages site and reflect the most recent changes in the market.

Metropolitan Area	Zillow Home Value Index^vii (ZHVI)	Year- over-Year ZHVI Change	Zillow Rent Index (ZRI)	Year- over-Year ZRI Change	Year-over- Year Inventory Change	% Change in Single-Family Home Rentals Since 2000
United States	$ 199,200	7.4%	$ 1,416	0.7%	-9.4%	46.6%
New York, NY	$ 419,000	8.7%	$ 2,374	-1.9%	-16.6%	0.4%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA	$ 606,500	5.8%	$ 2,667	4.1%	-12.4%	19.5%
Chicago, IL	$ 210,200	6.3%	$ 1,631	-1.0%	-11.4%	83.6%
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX	$ 209,200	11.2%	$ 1,580	2.9%	8.3%	66.1%
Philadelphia, PA	$ 218,300	5.0%	$ 1,563	-0.9%	-14.5%	39.5%
Houston, TX	$ 175,800	2.7%	$ 1,541	-2.7%	9.1%	59.1%
Washington, DC	$ 383,200	3.4%	$ 2,120	-0.1%	-18.7%	38.1%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL	$ 251,700	8.2%	$ 1,848	-1.8%	1.3%	76.8%
Atlanta, GA	$ 178,700	7.8%	$ 1,343	2.8%	-8.1%	159.1%
Boston, MA	$ 425,500	7.6%	$ 2,361	3.2%	-21.2%	27.3%
San Francisco, CA	$ 851,900	5.3%	$ 3,362	-0.4%	-20.1%	32.5%
Detroit, MI	$ 140,900	10.5%	$ 1,165	-1.4%	-18.7%	49.0%
Riverside, CA	$ 326,800	6.6%	$ 1,780	3.0%	-17.8%	84.5%
Phoenix, AZ	$ 235,100	6.4%	$ 1,315	1.9%	-7.8%	186.5%
Seattle, WA	$ 440,100	12.7%	$ 2,127	5.7%	-22.2%	45.0%
Minneapolis-St Paul, MN	$ 247,100	8.9%	$ 1,584	3.1%	-28.7%	178.0%
San Diego, CA	$ 543,400	6.5%	$ 2,467	2.6%	-25.5%	43.3%
St. Louis, MO	$ 148,700	4.5%	$ 1,141	0.0%	-14.2%	66.9%
Tampa, FL	$ 184,900	10.5%	$ 1,353	2.1%	-17.6%	109.5%
Baltimore, MD	$ 260,400	3.6%	$ 1,721	-0.7%	-19.0%	16.3%
Denver, CO	$ 368,200	9.2%	$ 2,001	0.1%	2.5%	77.0%
Pittsburgh, PA	$ 136,900	5.0%	$ 1,067	-5.2%	-9.3%	26.7%
Portland, OR	$ 363,800	6.7%	$ 1,816	3.5%	2.8%	43.8%
Charlotte, NC	$ 173,200	7.8%	$ 1,257	1.0%	-17.4%	101.1%
Sacramento, CA	$ 366,500	8.6%	$ 1,735	4.5%	-14.1%	49.6%
San Antonio, TX	$ 160,400	5.7%	$ 1,329	1.0%	-0.9%	38.8%
Orlando, FL	$ 205,700	9.8%	$ 1,402	2.7%	-14.3%	100.8%
Cincinnati, OH	$ 151,600	6.3%	$ 1,254	1.0%	-20.2%	68.3%
Cleveland, OH	$ 134,000	5.2%	$ 1,150	0.7%	4.0%	52.8%
Kansas City, MO	$ 158,200	6.6%	$ 1,263	1.7%	8.2%	81.2%
Las Vegas, NV	$ 222,900	10.2%	$ 1,248	0.8%	19.2%	259.0%
Columbus, OH	$ 161,900	4.6%	$ 1,300	0.9%	-30.1%	76.3%
Indianapolis, IN	$ 137,700	5.1%	$ 1,188	-0.3%	-22.1%	70.0%
San Jose, CA	$ 1,007,400	4.9%	$ 3,465	-1.2%	-29.2%	24.9%
Austin, TX	$ 271,000	7.5%	$ 1,693	-1.1%	23.9%	65.5%

About Zillow

Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. Dr. Gudell and her team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z and ZG), and headquartered in Seattle.

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ⁱ The Zillow Real Estate Market Reports are a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The reports are compiled by Zillow Real Estate Research. For more information, visit www.zillow.com/research/. The data in Zillow's Real Estate Market Reports are aggregated from public sources by a number of data providers for 928 metropolitan and micropolitan areas dating back to 1996. Mortgage and home loan data are typically recorded in each county and publicly available through a county recorder's office. All current monthly data at the national, state, metro, city, ZIP code and neighborhood level can be accessed at www.zillow.com/local-info/ and www.zillow.com/research/data.
ⁱⁱ Days on Zillow is the median days on market of homes sold within a given month, including foreclosure re-sales. The latest data is for one month prior to the current ZHVI. The most current month for ZHVI data is May, so the most current month for Days on Zillow is April.
ⁱⁱⁱ According to Zillow Research here.
^iv The Zillow Rent Index (ZRI) is the median Rent Zestimate® (estimated monthly rental price) for a given geographic area on a given day, and includes the value of all single-family residences, condominiums, cooperatives and apartments in Zillow's database, regardless of whether they are currently listed for rent. It is expressed in dollars.
^v Rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage.
^vi Month high occurred on May 11^th.
^vii The Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) is the median estimated home value for a given geographic area on a given day and includes the value of all single-family residences, condominiums and cooperatives, regardless of whether they sold within a given period. It is expressed in dollars, and seasonally adjusted.