Onex Busan Financial Report: Bank of Japan’s Battle to Cap Bond Yields

TORONTO, July 19, 2017 /PRNewswire/ --

Onex Busan Financial have commented that the Bank of Japan and the bond market are poised to battle for control over yields for the 10-year government bond benchmark as the Bank of Japan resolves to curtail rises in long-term debt yields in the market.

Investors are cognizant that rising bond yields globally could ripple across Japan's Government Bond market pitting the Bank of Japan against market forces it has minimal control over.

The Central Bank committed last Friday to a program of unlimited open market purchases of Japanese government bonds in order to defend its recent policy implementation of holding the 10 year benchmark at 0.0 percent, deploying one of the most powerful monetary policy tools the Bank has in its arsenal. BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda's decision has subsequently weakened speculation that the central bank might raise its intervention point incrementally from 0.11 percent to 0.2 percent.

According to analysts at Onex Busan Financial such an increase would likely constitute an inflection point that would revive investor interest in Japan's ailing banking sector. Elliot Stevens, Head of Mergers & Acquisitions at Onex Busan Financial, said of the cap that it "makes a bearish outlook on the bank stock a compelling narrative."

The BoJ have committed to buying ¥80tn of sovereign debt by year end, a commitment that has been questioned internationally. This runs contrary to its monetary policy, which is more prevalent in other developed economies. The US Federal Reserve is beginning to raise interest rates and the ECB have signaled that tapering of their expansive bond-buying program is imminent.

To this point, however, it is important to understand prevailing macroeconomic conditions in Japan show marked differences to their European or US counterparts. "Persistently low inflation and wage increase resistance in the Japanese market make movements towards monetary policy normalization an impossibility," according to Namgung Kwan, Derivative Analyst at Onex Busan Financial.

Political instability in Japan is also working to exacerbate this problem. The sustainability of the BoJ's aggressive monetary policy stance is largely dependent on Abe and Kuroda, who have experienced sudden declines in their support, putting into question the longevity of their terms in office and by extension the policies they have enacted.

About Onex Busan Financial 

Onex Busan Financial is a comprehensive wealth management company, providing integrated wealth management solutions.

Onex Busan Financial is a well-established, independent wealth manager with a long history of success in meeting the needs of our clients. With offerings that cover multiple jurisdictions around the world, we administer and manage assets of more than US$6 billion on behalf of more than 5,000 clients.

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SOURCE Onex Busan Financial