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Trulia: Inventory Drops Again, But Demand For Starter Homes Also Falling In Many Markets

Inventory continues to drop for all homebuyers, but there are signs demand is waning for the few starter homes out there.

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News provided by

Trulia

Jun 21, 2016, 08:30 ET

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SAN FRANCISCO, June 21, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Trulia, a leading destination for homebuyers and renters, today released its latest quarterly edition of the Trulia® Inventory and Price Watch. This quarter's report offers buyers and sellers deeper insight into the change in supply and affordability of homes over the past year, within three different segments: starter homes, trade-up homes, and premium homes. Based on the for-sale homes listed on Trulia, this report calculates housing inventory within each segment nationally and in the 100 largest U.S. metros, from April 1, 2015 to April 1, 2016. For the full report and methodology, see here.

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Trulia's Inventory and Price Watch: All Homes Becoming Less Affordable
Trulia's Inventory and Price Watch: All Homes Becoming Less Affordable

Starter and Trade-Up Home Inventory Show Double Digit Dips, while Premium Inventory Remains Flat The spring house-hunting season brought very little relief for homebuyers, as the national inventory of all homes has dropped by about 6% over the past year. The number of starter and trade-up homes on the market nationwide has dropped by 12.3% and 11.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, decreased inventory continues to take a toll on the affordability of all home segments. Buyers will need to set aside between 0.5% and 1.3% more of their income towards a home purchase than they did last year. However, starter affordability has been hit the hardest, and as a result, starter homebuyers need to dedicate 1.3% more of their monthly income to buy a starter home.

2016 Q2 National Inventory Monitor

Housing Segment

2016 Q2 Inventory

Change, 2015 Q2 - 2016 Q2

Median
List Price

Share

Inventory

% of Income Needed to Buy Median Price Home in Segment

% Change in Median List Price

Percentage Point Change in Share

% Change in Inventory

Additional Share of Income Needed to Buy a Home in Segment (Percentage Point Change)

Starter

$157,072

23.9%

244,080

37.5%

6.4%

-1.7 pts

-12.3%

+1.3 pts

Trade-Up

$275,262

24.8%

253,192

25.0%

5.9%

-1.5 pts

-11.5%

+0.8 pts

Premium

$585,334

51.3%

523,655

13.7%

7.9%

+3.1 pts

-0.2%

+0.5 pts

Note: National numbers based on 100 largest U.S. metro areas. Share is the percent of for-sale homes that fall into each segment, which is defined separately for each metro. Median price for each segment is the stock-weighted average of the median price of each segment in each metro. Some point change estimates may be slightly different than stated values because our differing procedure occurs before rounding.

Big Drops in Inventory Not Necessarily Affecting Home Affordability
In places like Portland, Ore., Dallas, and Colorado Springs, Colo., large decreases in starter home inventory has led to double-digit increases in starter home prices. However, demand may be waning for the few starter homes that are on the market. In 20 of the 74 metros where starter inventory has dropped, starter home prices have also fallen over the past year, which suggests there are fewer buyers looking for such homes.

Starter Home Unaffordability Spreading Beyond California
In the last edition of Trulia's Inventory and Price Watch, nine of the 10 metros experiencing the largest drop in starter home affordability over the past four years were located in California. Over the past year, starter homebuyers in the Mountain West, Pacific Northwest, and Gulf Coast of Florida are also beginning to feel the pinch. While a California city – Oakland – still tops the list, starter homebuyers need to spend 8.1% more of their income to buy a home this year in Denver, 6.1% and 5.2% more in Seattle and Portland, Ore., and 5.5% and 4.8% more in Cape Coral, Fla., and Sarasota, Fla, respectively.

Markets with Largest Decrease in Starter Home Affordability

 

U.S. Metro


% of Starter-Home

Additional Share of Income

Median Starter

Buyer Income Needed

Needed to Buy Median Price

Home List Price,

to Afford Median Price

Starter Home in 2016 Q2 vs. 2015 Q2

2016 Q2

Starter Home, 2016 Q2

(Percentage Point Change)

Oakland, CA

$399,498

73.9%

+8.3% pts

Denver, CO

$225,900

42.1%

+8.1% pts

San Jose, CA

$601,000

88.9%

+7.2% pts

Sacramento, CA

$224,667

56.0%

+6.3% pts

Seattle, WA

$271,633

51.6%

+6.1% pts

San Francisco, CA

$734,167

113.6%

+6.0% pts

Los Angeles, CA

$333,967

89.4%

+5.6% pts

Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL

$124,583

31.7%

+5.5% pts

Portland, OR

$216,117

52.1%

+5.2% pts

North Port-Sarasota-
Bradenton, FL

$139,300

35.9%

+4.8% pts

NOTE: Among the 100 largest U.S. metro areas. % change in starter home affordability is the additional
share of income needed to purchase the median priced home compared to 2012 Q1.

QUOTES FROM TRULIA'S CHIEF ECONOMIST RALPH MCLAUGHLIN:

  • "While falling inventory continues to make it difficult for buyers to find homes, those looking to buy their first home will face less competition than last year in many markets."
  • "While California still reigns as the most expensive place to buy a starter home, affordability problems in the Pacific Northwest and Gulf Coast of Florida are starting to mimic those in the Golden State."

2016 RELEASE SCHEDULE

Report

Release Date

Q3 (July – September) 2016

Wednesday, September, 21, 2016

Q4 (October – December) 2016

Tuesday, December, 13, 2016

About Trulia
Trulia® is a vibrant home shopping marketplace, focused on giving homebuyers, sellers, and renters the information they need to make better decisions. On mobile and the Web, Trulia provides house hunters with insights and unique information about properties, neighborhoods, and real estate agents. Additionally, Trulia offers data and information about schools, crimes, commute times, and the real estate market.

Launched in 2005, Trulia is based in San Francisco and is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG).

Trulia is a registered trademark of Trulia, LLC.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Cecilia Xia
[email protected] 
415-400-7222

Photo - http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20160620/381435-INFO
Logo - http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20160115/322861LOGO

SOURCE Trulia

Related Links

http://www.trulia.com

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