Africa LNG Market Outlook - New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020
NEW YORK, July 4, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:
Africa LNG Market Outlook – New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020
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Report Description
"Africa LNG Market Outlook- New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020" from LNGReports is a comprehensive report on current and future Africa LNG business environment. It identifies all possible opportunities of contracting and investing in African markets. The report provides all major trends and drivers driving the industry growth to 2020. It forecasts country wise LNG capacity, LNG exports and natural gas production to 2020. In addition to monthly trade volumes from January to December 2010, it also provides annual LNG trade data from 2000 to 2020 by country.
Monthly LNG price data is provided for Algeria, Nigeria, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea and Libya for 2010. The report also analyzes the trade pattern and the typical contracting terms followed in sale purchase agreements with supporting data. Key LNG strategies of 6 leading players in Africa are detailed. Further, the report also provides capacity addition details through new terminals and expansions. Current status of all the planned terminals in Africa is detailed along with all the latest developments in Africa LNG industry.
Research Highlights
- African nations earn a sales revenue of $17.6 billion through LNG exports in 2010
- African total LNG sales stood at 42.66 mtpa, with Europe importing more than 68% of it.
- October witnessed the largest LNG exports from Africa, while the annual average LNG price stood at $8.04/MMBtu
- All the African nations will increase their liquefaction capacities over the next decade, resulting in capacity growth of 76.4 mtpa between 2010 and 2020
- Over 25% of African LNG production is traded in spot and short term markets
- Africa will have surplus natural gas production of 135.3 Bcm in 2020, adequate enough to meet all the LNG export contracts
- Nigeria, with a total LNG production of 59.43 mtpa, will remain the largest LNG producer in Africa
- South Africa and Kenya plan construction of LNG import plants
- As a part of its mid term strategy, Sonatrach plans to strengthen its foothold in pacific basin markets
- Most African nations preferring construction of medium sized liquefaction trains
- Around 70% of LNG contracts are signed on Delivery- on Ex-Ship basis
- 33.4 mtpa of capacity to be added through expansion of existing LNG terminals
Scope
- Key growth, expansion, investment, contracting, exporting and pricing trends in Africa over the next decade are identified
- All major investment and contracting areas in Africa are identified and the pros and cons of these investments are also detailed
- Monthly LNG export quantities by exporting country to importing country, January 2010 to December 2010
- Monthly LNG export prices by exporting country to importer, January 2010 to December 2010
- Amount of spare capacity available in each of the African LNG markets is provided through out for 2010 to 2020
- Long and medium term sale purchase agreements, contract patterns, terms, all contract details including duration, volume, importing company, shipping type
- Country and regional LNG capacity forecast- 2000 to 2020 for countries- Nigeria, Algeria, Angola, Libya, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, South Africa and Kenya
- Country wise actual LNG exports forecast, 2000- 2020 along with, key drivers and trends of growth in all LNG markets- Angola, Algeria, Libya, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea and Nigeria
- Mid term and long term LNG strategies opted by each company and their country wise LNG operations are provided for six companies including- Sonatrach, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, ENI SpA, BG Group Plc and Petroliam Nasional Berhard
- Africa LNG capacity additions through new terminal constructions and existing terminal expansions are provided.
- For all existing and planned terminals, details including location, operator, ownership, capacity, start up, capex and technology are provided
- Current status (construction/FID/contracts/other) of all planned liquefaction and regasification terminals in Africa is provided
- All latest developments in each of the African LNG markets over the past two years are analyzed and their impact on African LNG companies is detailed
Reasons to Purchase
The report enables you to
• Understand the key drivers of Africa LNG market growth along with all major trends
• Identify the opportunities of investing in the region and contracting with the LNG exporters
• Get complete understanding of current and future market of gas & LNG in the post recession economic conditions
• Frame your contracts through details of existing contracts and information on of available LNG capacity
• Formulate best pricing strategies using the monthly price information of all African LNG exporters
• Compare your strategies with the leading LNG companies' mid term and long term strategies
• Frame best liquefaction technologies through technology information of existing and planned terminals
• Estimate African LNG supply stability through forecasts of capacity, exports and gas production to 2020
Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 4
1.1 List of Tables 8
1.2 List of Figures 10
2 Executive Summary 11
2.1 Marketed natural gas production in Africa to increase by more than 40% between 2010 and 2020 11
2.1.1 Role of LNG in Africa Natural Gas Industry Growth 11
2.1.2 Africa Marketed Natural Gas Production Forecast, Bcm, 2000- 2020 12
2.2 Driven by growth in Nigeria and Algeria, Africa liquefaction capacity to increase by 76.4 mtpa between 2010 and 2020 13
2.2.1 Africa Planned LNG Export Capacity Additions, 2010- 2020 13
2.2.2 Role of Nigeria in Africa LNG Capacity Growth 14
2.3 LNG Exports from Africa to triple in the next decade 15
2.4 Africa LNG export price stands lower than global Average, enabling it to be the preferred contract destination for importers 16
2.4.1 Global Average LNG Export Prices by Region, $/MMBtu, 2010 16
2.4.2 Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Country, $/MMBtu, 2010 17
2.5 African countries to increasingly target Asian markets 18
2.5.1 Key Drivers 18
2.5.2 Africa LNG Export Quantity by Region, 2000 to 2010 19
2.6 Nigeria to remain the leading LNG producer in Africa 20
2.7 South Africa and Kenya Plan to Start Up Regasification Terminals 20
2.8 Five new liquefaction and two new regasification terminals to start up by 2020 21
2.9 Africa's first offshore LNG terminal to commence operations in 2011 23
3 New Opportunities and drivers for financing and investing in Africa LNG markets 24
3.1 African nations generate $17.6 billion revenue through LNG exports in 2010 24
3.1.1 Africa LNG Export Revenues by Country 24
3.2 More than 40% of Africa liquefaction capacity will be available for contracts in 2020 24
3.3 Successful NOC-IOC Partnerships turn Africa LNG industry to the preferred investment hub in global oil and gas industry 26
3.4 Strong LNG demand in Asia Pacific markets encouraging African LNG exporters 26
3.5 Industrial and Power demand driving the African regasification industry 28
3.6 Significant stranded offshore reserves fuelling the FLNG growth 28
3.7 Nigeria government's anti-flaring move driving the country's aggressive capacity expansion 29
4 Africa Natural Gas and LNG Supply- Demand Outlook to 2020 30
4.1 African natural gas supply- demand balance to stand at 135.3 Bcm in 2020 30
4.2 Countries in Africa find LNG as an important mode of revenue generation 33
4.3 Africa LNG Production to exceed 130 mtpa in 2020 33
4.4 Nigeria to supply more than half of the region's production by 2020 35
5 Forecast of Africa LNG Capacity by Country to 2020 38
5.1 Africa LNG capacity to increase by 76.4 mtpa over the next decade 38
5.2 Angola to foray into global LNG market in 2012 to commercialize its natural gas resources 40
5.3 Commencement of Gassi Touil LNG and expansion of Skikda LNG to boost Algeria LNG trade volume 41
5.4 SEGAS plans to double the capacity of its Damietta LNG terminal in 2011 42
5.5 Bioko Island LNG Terminal in Equatorial Guinea to witness more than double its capacity in 2016 43
5.6 Marsa El-Brega LNG plant in Libya to upgrade its liquefaction train capacity 43
5.7 Flaring reduction policies in Nigeria driving the LNG market growth in the country 44
5.8 African nations continue to invest in construction of medium sized liquefaction trains 46
5.9 Increasing demand from Power sector encourages South Africa to construct new LNG terminal 47
5.10 Mott MacDonald has been awarded the contract to provide consultancy services for Kenya LNG 48
6 Africa Monthly LNG Trade Quantities by Country 49
6.1 Africa Actual LNG exports to increase to around 160 Bcm by 2020 49
6.1.1 Africa LNG Export Forecast by Country - 2000 to 2020 49
6.2 Shifting global LNG trade patterns- Implications for the Africa 50
6.3 Europe continues to be the leading importer of Africa LNG 52
6.3.1 Low Transportation Costs 52
6.3.2 Africa LNG Sales and Revenue by Importing Regions, 2010 52
6.4 Africa exported the largest volume of LNG in December and March 2010 53
6.4.1 Country wise monthly LNG exports from Africa, January 2010 to December 2010 53
6.5 Spain, France and Turkey Imported Largest Volumes of LNG from Africa 54
6.5.1 Countries importing LNG from Africa 54
6.5.2 Africa LNG Exports by Importing Country, 2010 55
6.6 Around 46% of African LNG revenue came from Spain and France 56
6.7 Africa Annual LNG Export Forecasts by Exporting Country, 2000- 2020 57
6.8 Algeria Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 58
6.9 Libya Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 58
6.10 Egypt Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 60
6.11 Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 61
6.12 Nigeria Monthly LNG Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 62
7 Africa Monthly LNG Prices by Country 63
7.1 Africa Average LNG Export Price Peaked in November for 2010 63
7.1.1 Africa LNG Export Prices by Month, 2010 63
7.2 Strong Spot and Short Term Trade Enable Highest LNG Prices for Equatorial Guinea 64
7.3 Renewed Demand in Asia Pacific Boost African LNG Prices 66
7.3.1 Africa Average LNG Prices by Exporting and Destination Countries, 2010 66
7.4 Algeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 67
7.5 Libya Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 67
7.6 Egypt Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 68
7.7 Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 70
7.8 Nigeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 71
8 Africa LNG Master Selling Purchase Agreements 72
8.1 More than 25% of African LNG is traded in Short Term and Spot Markets 72
8.1.1 Africa LNG Exports- Short Vs Long Term Exports, 2010 72
8.1.2 Africa Spot LNG Exports by Country, 2010 72
8.2 Over 70% of LNG contract agreements are Delivery on Ex- Ship (DES) based 73
8.3 Nigeria, Algeria and Egypt have largest spare capacities from Africa 74
8.4 Over 40% of African LNG capacity will be free for contracting in 2020 75
8.5 Africa LNG Balances by Country, 2000- 2020 77
8.6 Africa LNG Long and Medium term Contracts, 2000- 2020 78
9 Africa LNG Competitive Landscape and Business Strategies 81
9.1 Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010 81
9.2 Africa LNG Export Capacity by Company, 2000- 2020 83
9.3 Sonatrach LNG strategies and operations 84
9.3.1 Sonatrach LNG Strategies 84
9.3.2 Sonatrach LNG Operations by Country 85
9.3.3 Sonatrach net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 86
9.3.4 Sonatrach net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015 86
9.4 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG strategies and operations 87
9.4.1 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG Strategies 87
9.4.2 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG Operations by Country 88
9.4.3 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 88
9.5 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG strategies and operations 89
9.5.1 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG Strategies 89
9.5.2 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG Operations by Country 89
9.5.3 Royal Dutch Shell Plc net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 91
9.5.4 Royal Dutch Shell Plc net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015 91
9.6 ENI S.p.A LNG strategies and operations 92
9.6.1 ENI SpA LNG Strategies 92
9.6.2 ENI SpA LNG Operations by Country 92
9.6.3 ENI SpA net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 93
9.6.4 ENI SpA net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015 94
9.7 BG Group Plc LNG strategies and operations 95
9.7.1 BG Group Plc LNG Strategies 95
9.7.2 BG Group Plc LNG Operations by Country 95
9.7.3 BG Group Plc net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 96
9.7.4 BG Group Plc net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015 97
9.8 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG strategies and operations 98
9.8.1 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG Strategies 98
9.8.2 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG Operations by Country 98
9.8.3 Petroliam Nasional Berhard net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015 100
9.8.4 Petroliam Nasional Berhard net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015 100
10 Africa LNG Capacity Additions by 2020 101
10.1 LNG Capacity Additions through Commencement of New Terminals 101
10.2 Key LNG Terminal Expansions 101
10.3 Africa LNG Terminal Details- Location, Operator, Ownership, Construction, Technology, Capacity and Infrastructure Information 102
11 Updates on Planned LNG Terminals in Africa 106
11.1 LNG Terminal Capital Investment Details 106
11.2 Nigeria Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status 107
11.3 Algeria Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status 108
11.4 Angola Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status 108
11.5 South Africa Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status 108
11.6 Kenya Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status 109
12 Africa LNG Developments, 2010- 2011 110
13 Appendix 151
13.1 Abbreviations 151
13.2 LNG Conversions 151
13.3 Sources and Methodology 152
13.4 About LNGReports 153
13.5 Disclaimer 153
List of Tables
Table 1: Africa LNG Export Quantities by Region, mtpa, 2000- 2010 19
Table 2: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2020 20
Table 3: Africa LNG Export Revenues by Country, $billion, 2000- 2010 24
Table 4: NOC- IOC Partnerships in African LNG Terminals 26
Table 5: Nigeria- LNG Terminal wise Capacity Additions, mtpa, 2011-2020 29
Table 6: Africa Natural Gas Production, Demand and Supply-Demand Balance, Bcm, 2000- 2020 32
Table 7: Africa Actual LNG Production by Country, Bcm, 2000- 2020 34
Table 8: Africa LNG Liquefaction Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020 39
Table 9: Africa Average Liquefaction Train Size, mtpa, 2010 and 2020 46
Table 10: Africa Actual LNG Exports by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020 49
Table 11: Africa LNG Sales and Revenue by Region, 2010 52
Table 12: Africa Monthly LNG Exports by Country, January 2010- December 2010 53
Table 13: Africa LNG Exports by Importing Country, 2010 55
Table 14: Africa LNG Revenues by Importing Country, 2010 56
Table 15: Africa Actual LNG Export Forecasts by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020 57
Table 16: Algeria Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 58
Table 17: Libya Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 59
Table 18: Egypt Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 60
Table 19: Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 61
Table 20: Nigeria Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 62
Table 21: Africa Monthly Average LNG Export Prices, $/MMBtu, January 2010 to December 2010 63
Table 22: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting Country, $/MMBtu, 2010 65
Table 23: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting and Importing Markets, $/MMBtu, 2010 66
Table 24: Algeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 67
Table 25: Libya Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 68
Table 26: Egypt Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 69
Table 27: Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 70
Table 28: Nigeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010 71
Table 29: Africa LNG Contracted and Available LNG Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020 77
Table 30: Africa LNG- Long and Medium Term Sale Purchase Agreements 79
Table 31: Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010 82
Table 32: Africa- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity by Company, mtpa, 2000- 2020 83
Table 33: Sonatrach- Existing and Planned LNG Operations, 2010 85
Table 34: Sonatrach- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 86
Table 35: Sonatrach- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015 86
Table 36: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation- Existing and Planned LNG Operations, 2010 88
Table 37: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 88
Table 38: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Existing and Planned LNG Operations 90
Table 39: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 91
Table 40: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015 91
Table 41: ENI SpA Existing and Planned LNG Operations 93
Table 42: ENI SpA- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 94
Table 43: ENI SpA- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015 94
Table 44: BG Group Plc- Existing and Planned LNG Operations 96
Table 45: BG Group Plc- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 97
Table 46: BG Group Plc- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015 97
Table 47: Petroliam Nasional Berhard- Existing and Planned LNG Operations 99
Table 48: Petroleum Nasional Berhard- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015 100
Table 49: Petroleum Nasional Berhard- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015 100
Table 50: Africa LNG Capacity Additions through Commencement of New Terminals, 2011- 2020 101
Table 51: Africa LNG Capacity Additions through Existing Terminal Expansions, 2011- 2020 101
Table 52: Africa LNG Terminal Details- Location, Operator, Ownership, Construction, Technology, Capacity and Infrastructure 103
Table 53: Africa LNG Terminals- Capital Investment Details 106
List of Figures
Figure 1: Africa- Historical and Forecasted Marketed Natural Gas Production, 2000-2020 13
Figure 2: Africa LNG Capacity Addition by Country, 2010-2020 14
Figure 3: Africa LNG Exports Growth, mtpa, 2010-2020 15
Figure 4: Global Average LNG Export Prices by Region, $/MMBtu, 2010 16
Figure 5: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Country, $/MMBtu, 2010 17
Figure 6: Africa LNG Exports by Region, 2010 18
Figure 7: Africa LNG Exports by Region, 2010 19
Figure 8: Africa Available LNG Capacity for Contracting, 2010 and 2020 25
Figure 9: Africa Available LNG Capacity for Contracting, 2010 and 2020 31
Figure 10: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2010 35
Figure 11: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2015 36
Figure 12: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2020 37
Figure 13: Africa LNG Liquefaction Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020 40
Figure 14: Africa Actual LNG Exports by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020 50
Figure 15: Global LNG Trade- Spot vs Long Term, 2010 51
Figure 16: Africa Monthly LNG Exports, January 2010- December 2010 54
Figure 17: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting Country, $/MMBtu, 2010 64
Figure 18: Africa LNG Exports- Spot Vs Long Term Exports, 2010 72
Figure 19: Africa Spot LNG Exports by Country, 2010 73
Figure 20: Africa LNG Contracted and Available LNG Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2020 76
Figure 21: Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010 82
Companies Mentioned
Sonatrach, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, ENI SpA, BG Group Plc and Petroliam Nasional Berhard
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