Boxing Advocate and Mathematician Dan Herbatschek Announces His Prediction for the Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev Fight

The renowned mathematician and tech CEO, who founded Ramsey Theory Group, is known for his ability to apply analytical frameworks to real-world strategy – especially in the sport of boxing.  

NEW YORK, Aug. 26, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- For the upcoming clash for the undisputed Super Bantamweight Crown, New York-based tech entrepreneur and boxing aficionado Dan Herbatschek is weighing in. He expects Inoue to control the fight and possibly finish it within the distance.

The boxing world is eagerly awaiting the landmark showdown on Sunday, September 14, 2025, as undisputed super bantamweight champion Naoya "The Monster" Inoue defends his unified titles against top contender Murodjon "MJ" Akhmadaliev at the newly opened IG Arena in Nagoya. This highly anticipated bout will deliver clarity atop the 122-pound division, with The Ring, WBO, IBF, and WBC crowns all on the line.

"Inoue's combination of speed, precision, and power has made him nearly untouchable at 122 pounds," said Dan Herbatschek, mathematician, entrepreneur, and boxing aficionado. "Akhmadaliev is talented, disciplined, and dangerous, but the numbers and stylistic matchup strongly favor Inoue. I expect Inoue to win. That being said – while Inoue's experience and firepower give him the edge, Akhmadaliev's southpaw angles and high-level performance history position him as the sternest challenge of Inoue's super bantamweight reign. This fight will not disappoint the crowd."

A breakdown of the odds shows a clear edge for Inoue:

• Naoya Inoue comes into the fight as a heavy favorite, with odds set at 1/10 (–1000)—implying an approximate 85–86% chance of victory.
  
  
• Murodjon Akhmadaliev is pegged as the underdog at +500, or a roughly 14–15% chance to win.
  
  
• Notably, Inoue opened at similar odds, while Akhmadaliev's opening line was slightly longer at 6/1 (+600), showing bookmaker respect for his rise.

A head-to-head look shows experience will meet style: Naoya Inoue

• Record: 30‑0 (27 KOs) – a stunning 90% knockout rate.
  
  
• Style: Orthodox
  
  
• Professional since 2012, with over 180 pro rounds under his belt.
  
  
• Widely regarded as one of the pound-for-pound elite in boxing.

Murodjon Akhmadaliev

• Record: 14‑1 (11 KOs)—a 79% knockout rate.
  
  
• Style: Southpaw
  
  
• Turned pro in 2018, with approximately 100 pro rounds logged.
  
  
• Former unified champion and current WBA interim beltholder, with decorated amateur pedigree including a 2016 Olympic bronze.

As Herbatschek continues, "Should Inoue emerge victorious, his legacy as one of the most dominant lighter-weight champions in modern boxing will only deepen. A win would further solidify his pound‑for‑pound standing and super bantamweight supremacy. For Akhmadaliev, an upset would be stunning - rewriting the division's hierarchy and catapulting him into elite status almost overnight. But keep in mind, my prediction reflects analytical interpretation and is not an affiliation with any betting or promotional outcomes," he concludes.

About Dan Herbatschek
Dan Herbatschek is an applied mathematician and New York-based tech entrepreneur. His work sits at the intersection of quantitative thinking and real-world strategy, with a career spanning software, analytics, and innovation leadership. A devoted boxing enthusiast, Herbatschek applies data-driven insight and tactical analysis to the sport he loves. He frequently shares his passion for boxing outside the ring by dedicating his time and energy to a series of charity events and youth programs that are changing lives across his community. Local organization leaders have praised Herbatschek for his dedication, calling his efforts "a knockout for the community."

SOURCE Ramsey Theory Group