Election Forensics Expert Finds Vote Manipulation Concerns in Pennsylvania

LAS VEGAS, June 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- A leading expert in election forensics, Dr. Walter Mebane, Jr. of the University of Michigan, has found statistical evidence of vote manipulation in the 2024 U.S. election. His working report analyzing the 2024 Pennsylvania election results corroborates the findings of Election Truth Alliance's (ETA), a non-partisan nonprofit that recently shared an analysis of election results in three counties in Pennsylvania. 

Dr. Mebane states in his Pennsylvania analysis that it is possible that "the election was decided or nearly decided by malevolent distortions of electors' intentions". Mebane is recognized internationally as a leading authority on election fraud detection, and his analysis of Pennsylvania employed his independent "eforensics" model.  This model has been validated in professional scientific publications and has been used to evaluate the integrity of elections in countries such as Venezuela, Turkey, and Kenya.

Mebane's analysis examines 7,040,360 votes across 67 Pennsylvania counties. The eforensics model estimates that between 25,000 and 225,440 votes in the Presidential race were possibly fraudulent. The range is due to Dr. Mebane applying several different forensic models in completing his evaluation.

The ETA recently conducted an independent analysis of election results from three Pennsylvania counties: Philadelphia County, Allegheny County (which contains Pittsburgh), and Erie County. Their analysis identifiedpatterns consistent with vote manipulation in all three counties, particularly in election day voting result data.

Working with Pennsylvania residents, the ETA has submitted ballot inspection requests in several counties across the state. The organization has also requested a meeting with the Pennsylvania Secretary of the Commonwealth, Al Schmidt, in their continued pursuit of a hand audits of paper voting records from the 2024 U.S. General election.

"Statistics, no matter how accurate, cannot provide definitive proof of voting fraud or election manipulation," said Nathan Taylor, Executive Director of the ETA.  "Actual proof can only be found by comparing paper ballot audits to electronic voting records. However, statistical information from eforensics and other data analysis approaches can, and should, be used to identify precincts and counties where election fraud is most likely to have occurred."

The Election Truth Alliance is a non-profit, non-partisan organization that supports election analysis, informed discussion, and peaceful action to identify and highlight potential election manipulation, interference, and irregularities.

Dr. Mebane's full report on 2024 Pennsylvania election results is available at: https://websites.umich.edu/~wmebane/PA2024.pdf

ETA's summary of Dr. Mebane's findings is available at: https://electiontruthalliance.org/mebane-pa-working-paper

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SOURCE Election Truth Alliance