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EnerSys, Briggs & Stratton, United Rentals, Calpine and Avis Budget Group highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day

Zacks Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com. (PRNewsFoto/Zacks Investment Research) (PRNewsFoto/ZACKS INVESTMENT RESEARCH)

News provided by

Zacks Investment Research, Inc.

Jul 14, 2014, 09:30 ET

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CHICAGO, July 14, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Zacks Equity Research highlights EnerSys (NYSE:ENS-Free Report) as the Bull of the Day and Briggs & Stratton (NYSE:BGG-Free Report) as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis onUnited Rentals Inc. (NYSE:URI-Free Report), Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN-Free Report) and Avis Budget Group Inc. (Nasdaq:CAR-Free Report).

Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:

Bull of the Day:

EnerSys (NYSE:ENS-Free Report) has powered through the last several quarters producing 11 straight beats of the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Today, ENS is a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and it is the Bull of the Day.

Aggressive growth investors appreciate beats. They love them on the bottom line, but they really want to see them on top too. ENS has recorded six straight quarters where the company beat on top and bottom.

Another key metric that aggressive growth investors look for is larger and larger beats of the bottom line. ENS has that too. Over the last three quarts, the positive earnings surprise has increased from 3.5% to 3.9% to 7.3%.

EnerSys makes industrial batteries and backup power systems and power related equipment and accessories. EnerSys was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Reading, Pennsylvania.

ENS reported a strong 1Q14 beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.10 by eight cents. The company reported revenues of $665M when the street was calling for $657M in the quarter. The $8M top line beat translated into a 1.2% revenue surprise.

The stock moved higher by 2.5% in the session following the earnings announcement.

Bear of the Day:

Briggs & Stratton (NYSE:BGG-Free Report) was written up as the Bear of the Day back on May 16. At that time, the company was coming off a $0.06 miss of the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but since then there has been a new development. BGG is still a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) and it is the Bear of the Day.

On Thursday, July 10, the company issued guidance that was below Wall Street expectations. The consensus revenue estimate was $511M, but management said that $495 is more likely.

As a result of the lower revenue guidance, estimates have moved a little lower, and that should keep this stock a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) for at least a few more weeks.

The company noted that beginning in the 2016 lawn & garden season, it will narrow its assortment of lower-priced Snapper consumer lawn and garden equipment and consolidate its products manufacturing facilities in order to further reduce costs.

The company will close its McDonough, Georgia location and will take restructuring charges of $30M - $37M including non-cash write-downs of ~$15M to $20M.

Despite the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), the valuation on this stock is rather attractive. The stock trades mostly in line with the industry average, but just a hair below most metrics. The forward earnings multiple of 15x is just below the 17x industry average. The price to book of 1.4x is also below the 2x industry average.

Additional content:

Favorite Sectors of Q2 & Their Hot Stocks

The U.S. equity benchmarks have performed remarkably well this year, hitting multiple highs on several occasions and trumping all difficulties related to lofty valuations, slowdowns in China and Europe, a standoff between Russia and the West as well as geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and Iraq.

This has spread confidence in economic recovery headed into the second half of the year and is driving up bullishness on the Q2 earnings season that has already kicked off. Total earnings growth is expected to accelerate nearly four times to 3% from the previous quarter's anemic growth pace. Revenues will likely grow 1% on modestly higher net margins.

Though most of the sectors are likely to post stronger earnings compared to the previous quarter, three sectors would see double-digit growth rates. It would be a good idea to zero in on the stocks of these sectors, which are not only poised to beat earnings estimates but are also expected to lead higher in the days to come.

How to Pick Stocks?

Betting on these sector stocks seem to be a winning strategy for investors, as earnings beat will definitely draw investors' confidence and propel the stock price higher. It could be easily done by our proprietary methodology that selects stocks with a combination of a favorable Zacks Rank – Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) – and a positive Earnings ESP.

Earnings ESP is our proprietary methodology for identifying stocks that have the maximum chance to surprise with their upcoming earnings announcements. It shows the percentage difference between the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Our research shows that for stocks with this combination, the chance of positive earnings surprise is as high as 70%.

Below, we have highlighted three sectors and one stock from each that will likely deliver an earnings beat when their earnings are released in the coming weeks.

Construction

The construction sector will likely be the major contributor to earnings this season. It is expected to report an 11.4% earnings growth year over year on 4% revenue increase.

This is because the housing market seems to be nicely improving from the hard-hit freezing temperatures, higher mortgage rates, rising home prices and a shortage of properties for sale. New home sales climbed 18.6% to a six-year high in May while existing home sales rose 6.1% to an eight-month high, suggesting encouraging construction activity in the coming months.

A top pick in this sector is United Rentals Inc. (NYSE:URI-Free Report), which carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has an earnings ESP of 4.86%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the second quarter 2014 is $1.44, up 28.47% from the year-ago quarter. The company delivered positive earnings surprises in the last four quarters, with an average beat of 13.07%.

Based in Stamford, CT, United Rentals is one of the leading U.S. equipment rental companies. It offers equipment for rent to construction and industrial companies, manufacturers, utilities, municipalities, homeowners, government entities and other customers.

United Rentals is scheduled to report its results after the closing bell on Jul 16.

Utilities

This sector will continue to benefit from an ever-expanding population and improving economic activity that will boost demand for utility supplies like water, gas and electricity. Further, lower interest rates and flights to safety are blessing for the utilities. These attributes will likely lead to the sector's earnings growth of 11.3% for the second quarter on 0.5% revenue growth.

One hot pick in this sector is Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN-Free Report), which carries a Zacks Rank #3 and has an earnings ESP of 120%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the second quarter 2014 is 5 cents, a whopping increase from a loss of 8 cents recorded in the year-ago quarter. The company delivered positive earnings surprises in the two of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 48.11%.

Based in Houston, TX, Calpine is a major U.S. power company that owns, leases and operates low-carbon, natural gas-fired and renewable geothermal power plants. The company generates electricity in a reliable and environmentally responsible manner for customers and communities it serves using advanced technologies.

The company is slated to release its earnings before the opening bell on Aug 1.

Business Services

This sector is likely to post Q2 earnings growth of 10.4% on 7.9% increase in revenues. The accelerating job market buoyed by solid hiring is propelling the sector's growth. Notably, the economy created 288,000 jobs in June, the strongest growth since the technology boom in late 1990. The trend of healthy hiring looks more sustainable than it was in the recent past, increasing the appeal for the business service stocks.  

The best pick in this sector is Avis Budget Group Inc. (Nasdaq:CAR-Free Report), which carries Zacks Rank #1 and has an earnings ESP of 3.23%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the second quarter is 62 cents, up 24% year over year. The company delivered positive earnings surprises over the last four quarters, with an average beat of 30.79%.

Based in in Parsippany, NJ, Avis Budget Group is a leading provider of vehicle rental services. It provides car and truck rentals, car sharing and ancillary services to businesses and consumers worldwide.

The company is expected to report on Aug 5.

Get today's Zacks #1 Stock of the Day with your free subscription to Profit from the Pros newsletter:

About the Bull and Bear of the Day

Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6 months.

About the Analyst Blog

Updated throughout every trading day, the Analyst Blog provides analysis from Zacks Equity Research about the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.

About Zacks Equity Research

Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.

Continuous analyst coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.

Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter provides highlights of the latest analysis from Zacks Equity Research. Click here to subscribe to this free newsletter today.

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Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978. The later formation of the Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock picking system; continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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