Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

 

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Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

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Summary

The Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast UAE defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies and key news.

Key Findings

- The UAE defense industry is expected to experience growth at a CAGR of 7.07% during 2015-2019.
- The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$70.0billion.
- The average share of defense expenditure to that of GDP remained at 2.8% during review period, and is expected to increase to 3.1% in the forecast period.
- Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be US$48.5 billion cumulatively.
- The key areas of investment are expected to be multi-role aircraft, land-based C4iSR, attack helicopters, armored vehicles, and surveillance equipment.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
- UAE defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry during 2015-2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the spending patterns and modernization patterns of the country
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country
- Porter's Five Force analysis of the UAE defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry and barrier to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's import and export over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the UAE defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives and a brief financial analysis

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the UAE defense industry market trends for the coming five years.
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements which are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period.
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector.
- A deep qualitative analysis of the UAE defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, latest industry contracts etc.


1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. The defense budget of the UAE to record a CAGR of 7.07% over the forecast period
3.1.2. Military modernization initiatives, territorial dispute with Iran, and peace keeping missions to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Defense capital expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 8.71% over the forecast period.
3.2.3. Revenue expenditure to be US$44.4 billion over the forecast period
3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. UAE homeland security is expected to increase at a CAGR of 6.41% over the forecast period
3.3.2. Investment in the protection of infrastructure and cyber security are expected to drive the UAE homeland security market
3.3.3. The UAE faces minimal threat from terrorists
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. The UAE's defense budget expected to register rapid growth over the forecast period
3.4.2. UAE defense expenditure is low compared to the largest defense spenders in the world
3.4.3. UAE allocates moderate percentage of its GDP towards defense expenditure
3.4.4. The UAE faces "low risk" from acts of terrorism
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. C4ISR - land based
3.5.3. Infrastructure
3.5.4. Attack Helicopters:
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Limitations of the domestic defense industry to encourage arms imports
4.1.2. The UAE stood as the world's fourth-largest arms importer over the review period
4.1.3. Over the review period, aircraft accounted for the majority of the UAE's defense imports
4.1.4. US continues to be the major arms supplier to the UAE
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. The UAE has minimal defense exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium to high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: low to medium
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Defense deals are settled through direct negotiation or competitive bidding
6.1.2. Foreign OEMs prefer indirect offsets to meet the obligations associated with defense deals
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs use proxy representatives to enter the market
6.2.2. Defense expositions hosted by the UAE serve as an entry route for foreign OEMs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Complying with the UAE's stringent offset requirements a concern for OEMs
6.3.2. UAE demands technology transfer in defense deals
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.1.1. A diverse range of foreign OEMs dominate the UAE defense sector
7.1.2. Indigenous ship building drives domestic market growth
7.2. Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1. Lockheed Martin - overview
7.2.2. Lockheed Martin - Major Products and Services
7.2.3. Lockheed Martin - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Lockheed Martin - alliances
7.2.5. Lockheed Martin - recent contract wins
7.2.6. BAE Systems Plc. - overview
7.2.7. BAE Systems Plc. - Major Products and Services
7.2.8. BAE Systems Plc. - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. BAE Systems Plc. - alliances
7.2.10. BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins
7.2.11. Raytheon Company - overview
7.2.12. Raytheon Company - Major Products and Services
7.2.13. Raytheon Company - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. Raytheon Company - alliances
7.2.15. Raytheon Company - recent contract wins
7.2.16. Rolls-Royce Plc. - overview
7.2.17. Rolls-Royce Plc. - Major Products and Services
7.2.18. Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Rolls-Royce Plc. - alliances
7.2.20. Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent contract wins
7.2.21. Northrop Grumman Corporation - overview
7.2.22. Northrop Grumman Corporation - Major Products and Services
7.2.23. Northrop Grumman Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24. Northrop Grumman Corporation - alliances
7.2.25. Thales - overview
7.2.26. Thales - Major Products and Services
7.2.27. Thales - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.28. Thales - alliances
7.2.29. Thales - recent contract wins
7.2.30. The Boeing Company - overview
7.2.31. The Boeing Company - Major Products and Services
7.2.32. The Boeing Company - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.33. The Boeing Company - alliances
7.2.34. The Boeing Company - recent contract wins
7.3. Key Public Sector Companies
7.3.1. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - overview
7.3.2. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Major Products and Services
7.3.3. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - alliances
7.3.5. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - recent contract wins
7.3.6. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - financial analysis
7.3.7. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - overview
7.3.8. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - Major Products and Services
7.3.9. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.10. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - overview
7.3.11. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Major Products and Services
7.3.12. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.13. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - alliances
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households (In million)
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.5. Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (US$ Billions)
8.2.6. Consumer Price Index
8.2.7. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.9. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.10. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.11. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.3. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.4. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.5. UAE Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Overall Construction (US$ Million)
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn)
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: UAE Defense Expenditure, 2010-2014
Table 2: UAE Defense Expenditure, 2015-2019
Table 3: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Table 4: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Table 5: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (US$), 2010-2014
Table 6: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (US$), 2015-2019
Table 7: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (in AED terms), 2010-2014
Table 8: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (in AED), 2015-2019
Table 9: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2010-2014
Table 10: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Table 11: UAE Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 12: UAE Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 13: UAE Capital Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Table 14: UAE Capital Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Table 15: UAE Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 16: UAE Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 17: UAE Revenue Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Table 18: UAE Revenue Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Table 19: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Table 20: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Table 21: UAE Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 22: UAE Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 23: UAE Homeland Security Budget (AED Billion), 2010-2014
Table 24: UAE Homeland Security Budget (AED Billion), 2015-2019
Table 25: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Table 26: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 27: UAE - Offset Guidelines and Agreements
Table 28: Key Foreign Players and Operations in the UAE Defense Sector
Table 29: Lockheed Martin - Major Products and Services
Table 30: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 31: Lockheed Martin - recent contract wins
Table 32: BAE Systems Plc. - Major Products and Services
Table 33: BAE Systems Plc. - Alliances
Table 34: BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins
Table 35: Raytheon Company - Major Products and Services
Table 36: Raytheon Company - Alliances
Table 37: Raytheon Company - recent contract wins
Table 38: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Major Products and Services
Table 39: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Alliances
Table 40: Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent contract wins
Table 41: Northrop Grumman Corporation - Major Products and Services
Table 42: Northrop Grumman Corporation - Alliances
Table 43: Thales - Major Products and Services
Table 44: Thales - Alliances
Table 45: Thales - recent contract wins
Table 46: The Boeing Company - Major Products and Services
Table 47: The Boeing Company - Alliances
Table 48: The Boeing Company - recent contract wins
Table 49: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Major Products and Services
Table 50: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Alliances
Table 51: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - recent contract wins
Table 52: Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - Major Products and Services
Table 53: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Major Products and Services
Table 54: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - alliances

List of Figures

Figure 1:UAE Defense Expenditure, 2010-2014
Figure 2: UAE Defense Expenditure, 2015-2019
Figure 3: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 4: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 5: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (US$), 2010-2014
Figure 6: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (US$), 2015-2019
Figure 7: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (in AED terms), 2010-2014
Figure 8: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP (in AED), 2015-2019
Figure 9:UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2010-2014
Figure 10: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Figure 11: UAE Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 12: UAE Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 13: UAE Capital Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 14: UAE Capital Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 15: UAE Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 16: UAE Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 17: UAE Revenue Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 18: UAE Revenue Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 19: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014
Figure 20: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019
Figure 21: UAE Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Figure 22: UAE Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 23: UAE Homeland Security Budget (AED Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 24: UAE Homeland Security Budget (AED Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 25: SDI Terrorism Heat Map
Figure 26: SDI Terrorism Heat Index, 2014
Figure 27: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Figure 28: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 29: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 30: UAE's Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Billion), 2014-2024
Figure 31: UAE Land-based C4ISR Market Size (US$ Billion), 2014-2024
Figure 32: UAE Infrastructure Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 33: UAE's Attack Helicopters Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 34: UAE Defense imports TIV value (US$ Million), 2009-2013
Figure 35: UAE Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009-2013 (TIV values)
Figure 36: UAE Defense Imports by Region (%), 2009-2013
Figure 37: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 38: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Revenue Trend Analysis (AED Million), 2009-2013
Figure 39: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Operating Profit (AED Million), 2009-2013
Figure 40: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Net Profit Trend Analysis (AED Million), 2009-2013
Figure 41: UAE Rural Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 42: UAE Urban Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 43: UAE Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 44: UAE GDP Per Capita, 2010-2019
Figure 45: UAE GDP, Current Prices (In US$ Billions), 2010-2019
Figure 46: UAE Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ Billion), 2002- 2011
Figure 47: UAE Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ Billion), 2002- 2011
Figure 48: UAE Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2004-2012
Figure 49: UAE Consumer Price Index, 2010-2019
Figure 50: Local Currency Unit per US$ - Exchange Rate , 2010-2019
Figure 51: Local Currency Unit per Euro, 2010-2019
Figure 52: UAE Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 53: UAE Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 54: UAE's International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 55: UAE Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 56: UAE Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 57: UAE's Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 58: UAE's Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 59: UAE's Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 60: UAE's Overall Construction (US$ Million), 2007-2016
Figure 61: UAE's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 62: UAE Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 63: UAE's Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 64: UAE's Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2003-2012

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Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

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