I Owe U: Student Debt Total Reaches $1.5 trillion, Nearly Doubles U.S. Housing Market

The average student loan borrower owes more than the typical down payment for a home; Millennial debt totals $498 billion

News provided by

realtor.com

Oct 15, 2019, 09:00 ET

SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 15, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Realtor.com^®, The Home of Home Search^™, today released new data that found total student debt could buy every U.S. house on the market 1.9 times over. With the rising costs of education, students are borrowing more and more money, which has led to delayed homeownership as the average student loan borrower owes $34,500 -- $8,500 more than the typical down payment off $26,000.

"Student debt has ballooned to an all-time high as the price of education continues to outpace wage growth, and this is holding back many potential buyers from being able to purchase a home," according to realtor.com^®'s Senior Economist, George Ratiu. "Student debt is already impacting borrowers' ability to buy a home and education debt is expected to hamper consumers' financial decisions for many years down the road."

Students are taking on more debt to cover their expenses than ever before, according to the Department of Education. This is in part due to the fact that wage growth has been stagnant in comparison to the rapid growth in cost of higher education. The typical tuition at a public university has grown at four times the rate of the average wage since 1986, and private university tuition has grown at seven times the rate of the average wage over the same time.

Nationally, the median sale price of a U.S. home is $260,000, according to realtor.com^®. With a typical down payment of 10 percent that would come out to $26,000, which is $8,500 less than the average student debt of $34,500. Additionally, the total value of U.S. homes on the market is $780 billion. That is 1.9 times less than the total outstanding student debt of $1.5 trillion shouldered by 42.8 million borrowers.

At 15.1 million strong, millennials make up 34 percent of all student borrowers. The generation's total debt has accumulated to $498 billion -- over half the value of all U.S. homes for sale. Millennials have an average balance of $33,000 per borrower, which is $7,000 more than the typical down payment on the median U.S. home. In comparison, the median down payment for millennials is $11,400, according to realtor.com.

"The important implication of rising debt is that young generations are delaying major life decisions," added Ratiu. On the real estate front, the affordability crisis in major cities is driving young families to more affordable Midwestern and Southern markets, where savings for a down payment stretch much further and can turn owning a home from a future dream into today's reality."

According to a recent NAR report, 26 percent of millennials cite student loans as the primary barrier to saving up for a down payment. Additionally, 61 percent of those millennials say their student loans have delayed their home purchase.

On a state level, the state with the greatest outstanding loan balance is California, with $116 billion in student debt. Meanwhile, Washington, D.C. has the largest average balance per borrower at $52,581.

Ohio has the most affordable down payment, compared with educational debt load, where the average down payment on a median priced home in Ohio is 53 percent of the average student loan balance. Ohio is followed by Alabama, Michigan, Arkansas, and Oklahoma. In the short term, a high down payment to student debt ratio will delay many buyers' ability to enter the market, while reducing access to available inventory.

National Breakdown - Down Payment vs Debt

Total Outstanding Balance	Total Number of Borrowers	Avg Debt Per Borrower	Median Home Sale Price (July 2019)	10% Down Payment	Down Payment vs Debt
1.48 trillion	42.8 million	$34,500	$260,000	$26,000	75.4%



State Breakdown - Down Payment vs Debt

Location	Balance (in billions)	Borrowers (in thousands)	Avg Debt Per Borrower	Median Home Sale Price (July 2019)	10% Down Payment	Down Payment vs Debt
Ohio	$50.50	1,618	$31,217	$164,900	$16,500	52.9%
Alabama	$18.20	548	$33,218	$182,000	$17,818	53.6%
Arkansas	$9.80	331	$29,607	$181,000	$16,700	56.4%
Michigan	$42.10	1,290	$32,636	$170,000	$18,500	56.7%
Oklahoma	$11.70	405	$28,889	$169,500	$16,500	57.1%
Iowa	$11.20	408	$27,458	$174,000	$15,750	57.4%
Missouri	$23.50	733	$32,064	$163,000	$18,738	58.4%
West Virginia	$5.90	204	$28,922	$195,154	$17,180	59.4%
Kentucky	$15.50	527	$29,423	$231,000	$17,650	60.0%
Georgia	$52.90	1,422	$37,206	$205,000	$22,980	61.8%
Indiana	$23.90	815	$29,311	$185,972	$18,347	62.6%
Tennessee	$24.40	740	$32,973	$187,500	$21,000	63.7%
Pennsylvania	$52.30	1,610	$32,491	$215,000	$21,000	64.6%
South Carolina	$21.30	628	$33,933	$226,000	$22,200	65.4%
Illinois	$50.70	1,466	$34,589	$222,000	$22,700	65.6%
Nebraska	$6.40	223	$28,725	$190,000	$19,000	66.1%
Louisiana	$16.60	540	$30,729	$205,000	$20,450	66.5%
North Carolina	$38.00	1,128	$33,679	$222,450	$23,100	68.6%
Mississippi	$12.30	382	$32,207	$235,000	$22,501	69.9%
Wisconsin	$19.00	664	$28,614	$200,000	$20,000	69.9%
New Mexico	$6.00	198	$30,349	$218,250	$21,908	72.2%
Florida	$75.90	2,197	$34,544	$205,000	$25,000	72.4%
South Dakota	$2.90	102	$28,431	$250,000	$20,650	72.6%
Vermont	$2.30	69	$33,333	$243,750	$24,375	73.1%
Kansas	$10.10	346	$29,174	$230,000	$22,115	75.8%
Maine	$5.00	166	$30,102	$238,000	$24,250	80.6%
Minnesota	$21.90	724	$30,253	$243,100	$24,500	81.0%
Delaware	$3.60	109	$32,907	$245,025	$26,990	82.0%
Connecticut	$13.90	435	$31,969	$319,900	$26,500	82.9%
Texas	$89.50	2,992	$29,911	$272,000	$24,807	82.9%
Arizona	$24.10	749	$32,193	$215,000	$26,800	83.2%
North Dakota	$2.00	77	$25,940	$265,000	$21,860	84.3%
Maryland	$28.90	741	$39,028	$268,998	$33,053	84.7%
Virginia	$34.10	959	$35,565	$305,000	$31,800	89.4%
New Hampshire	$5.30	171	$30,940	$317,250	$28,000	90.5%
Idaho	$5.90	197	$29,919	$270,000	$27,313	91.3%
Wyoming	$1.30	47	$27,484	$285,000	$25,866	94.1%
Montana	$3.30	111	$29,837	$255,000	$28,755	96.4%
Alaska	$1.90	61	$31,148	$280,125	$30,049	96.5%
Rhode Island	$3.70	126	$29,459	$279,900	$28,500	96.7%
New York	$76.50	2,192	$34,895	$303,125	$34,500	98.9%
Nevada	$8.80	286	$30,812	$308,360	$31,000	100.6%
Oregon	$16.50	490	$33,646	$334,375	$35,000	104.0%
New Jersey	$34.20	1,055	$32,432	$352,200	$34,500	106.4%
Utah	$7.90	269	$29,412	$336,250	$33,000	112.2%
District of Columbia	$5.50	105	$52,581	$385,000	$60,000	114.1%
Colorado	$22.90	686	$33,401	$625,783	$38,250	114.5%
Washington	$22.60	706	$32,016	$387,700	$38,500	120.3%
Massachusetts	$25.70	814	$31,584	$430,000	$42,200	133.6%
California	$116.00	3,429	$33,832	$515,000	$51,000	150.7%
Hawaii	$3.60	108	$33,395	$537,050	$57,500	172.2%

Methodology

Federal student loan debt data taken from U.S. Department of Education, Q2 2019.

Home sale prices taken from realtor.com home sales database, July 2019.

Total market value derived from realtor.com residential listings database, September 2019.

Millennial median down payment is based on a realtor.com analysis of a sample of residential mortgage loan originations from Optimal Blue.

About realtor.com^®

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SOURCE realtor.com