Poll: Maine Is On The Presidential Map; Romney Has Chance To Pick Up Key Electoral Vote

Oct 31, 2012, 08:19 ET from Kimball Political Consulting

BOSTON, Oct. 31, 2012 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- According to a new Kimball Political Consulting survey, Governor Romney has a chance to pick up an Electoral College vote in Maine, which could determine the Presidential election.  Maine is one of two states, Nebraska is the other, that award electoral college votes based on the popular vote in their Congressional districts. Maine's 2nd Congressional district is polling 50% in support of Barack Obama and 45% in support of Mitt Romney with 5% undecided. 

According to the pollster, Spencer Kimball, "there are several indicators suggesting the President is not vulnerable to defeat."  Kimball points out that the President is still in a strong position with a 54% favorable opinion versus Romney who is at 43%. Independents are also breaking heavily for the President, 55% to 37% (9% undecided). Female voters are breaking to the President by 11 points (53% to 42%) while male voters are split between the candidates at 48%.

However, Kimball explained that Romney does have a chance to steal an electoral vote if he can get 95% of Republican voters to the polls, as well as independents friendly to him, which is possible in this election based on Republican excitement across the nation.  At the very least, this may force Maine into play during this last week…possibly pulling staff from other states.

The top issue for Romney supporters is the deficit (44%) and this is also the most important issue for undecided voters (37%). Voters who said the deficit was the most important issue overwhelmingly support Romney (70% to 24%) compared to voters who said jobs were most important supported Romney over Obama 53% to 44%.

The survey of 825 "likely voters" in Maine's 2nd Congressional district was conducted October 30, 2012 using automated telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 3.34 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Frequencies and full cross-tabulation data are available on the www.kimballpc.com website.


SOURCE Kimball Political Consulting