Realtor.com® 2014 Housing Review: A Year of Jobs, Record-Low Interest and Tight Inventory Sets the Stage for 2015 Growth

SAN JOSE, Calif., Dec. 23, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- This year demonstrated a steady build-up of housing momentum –fueled by significant improvements in economic fundamentals, low mortgage rates, and compressed inventory – and is expected to carry the market into 2015 gains, according to the 2014 Housing Review issued today by realtor.com^®, a leading provider of online real estate services operated by News Corp subsidiary Move, Inc. This review includes the Top 10 Real Estate Trends that defined the 2014 housing market, as well as the Most-Searched Neighborhoods of the year. 

"Many of the gains that we recently predicted in the realtor.com® 2015 Housing Forecast are built on housing growth established in 2014. Overall, this year's housing market showed steady advances over 2013 with significant improvement in key housing metrics, despite some remaining challenges," said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist for realtor.com^®. "Increases in job creation and gross domestic product (GDP) have had a significant impact on consumer confidence and home buyer demand. Paired with historically low interest rates, these factors kept properties moving quickly with median time on market at approximately 90 days. Unfortunately, the low number of homes for sale and stringent lending standards prevented a normal number of first time home buyers from closing on their first home in 2014."   

Realtor.com^®'s Top 10 Real Estate Trends of 2014

Indicators demonstrating a stronger housing recovery:

1. Improving economic fundamentals: After an especially harsh winter earlier in the year, the economy picked up steam and produced a banner year for new jobs. The GDP this year was higher, and is still trending higher, resulting in stronger consumer confidence.
   
2. Historically low mortgage rates continued: Mortgage rates declined despite the end of quantitative easing this year. Global weakness, along with actions by the European Central Bank and similar central banks in Asia kept our Federal Reserve from raising the Federal Fund Rate, which kept mortgage rates low.
   
3. Deceleration of abnormal home price gains or return to normal price appreciation: After two years of abnormally high levels of home price appreciation in 2012 and 2013, price increases moderated throughout 2014. We are now experiencing increases in home prices consistent with long-term historical performance.
   
4. Decline of distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales declined throughout the year, and while total home sales decreased year over year, normal (non-distressed) home sales increased over 2013 – due to the decline of the distressed sales market. Foreclosure inventories also fell substantially, and are forecasted to be down 30 percent year over year at the close of 2014.
   
5. End of the era of major investors active in purchases: Related to the drop in distressed sales opportunities, and against backdrop of higher home prices, portfolios of single-family homes for rent potentially reached their peak earlier this year. Large-scale investor purchase activity in the single-family market sector continued to decline, enabling more room for traditional first-time buyers.

Factors holding back recovery:

1. Tight credit standards and limited mortgage availability: Despite historically low rates, many households were prevented from capitalizing on mortgage access because of overlays lenders added to qualification standards in order to limit put-back risk. A tight spread between approved and declined FICO Scores shut out nearly half of the potential population this year. As a result, mortgage credit availability did not improve in 2014.
   
2. Tight supply of inventory: While absolute inventories increased as the year progressed, supply did not outpace demand. Monthly supply of new homes and existing homes remained beneath normal levels, and the age of inventory was down year over year.
   
3. Depressed levels of first-time buyers: The share of first-time buyers fell to the lowest level in over twenty years according to the National Association of Realtors. "But the first-time buyer share is showing signs of modest improvement by the year-end," said Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist. Federal policy actions, such as revised regulations for lenders and new low down-payment programs introduced in December are anticipated to have a positive impact in 2015.
   
4. Record levels of renters and ever-increasing rent prices: Continued declines in homeownership rates resulted in record numbers of renting households. Rent increases became an inflationary concern this year, and looking ahead, the pace of these increases are not slowing down.
   
5. Lack of recovery in homebuilding and low share of new home sales: Single-family starts barely increased in 2014 over 2013. New home sales remain far from normal share levels – typically near 16 percent, now instead around 9 percent. New home prices increased substantially again this year, revealing that higher priced product is limiting the demand.

"In 2014, we also saw some neighborhoods stand out from the pack, eliciting the most searches on realtor.com^® for the entire year. The hyper-local markets on this list demonstrate the wonderful diversity of real estate demand across the country," Smoke said. "Median list prices in these most-searched neighborhoods are near $400,000, well above national median of $214,000, as well as their respective metro medians. Homes in these communities are moving quickly as the aggregated median age for the group is almost half of the national median of 90 days." 

Realtor.com^®'s Most-Searched Neighborhoods in 2014

Rankings are based on realtor.com^® search and unique visitor statistics at ZIP level from January to November 2014 (desktop only, excludes mobile and web apps). Figures are adjusted relative to housing stock. Ranked ZIPs have a minimum of 5,000 listings.

Supporting Resources

• Read more about realtor.com^®
• Follow @realtordotcom on Twitter
• Like realtor.com^® on Facebook
• Download realtor.com^® mobile apps

About Move, Inc. and realtor.com^®

Move, Inc., a subsidiary of News Corp, is a leading provider of online real estate services. Move operates the realtor.com^® website and mobile experiences, which connect people to the most important and accurate information they need to find their perfect home and to the REALTORS^® whose expertise guides consumers through buying and selling. As the official website of the National Association of REALTORS^®, realtor.com^® empowers consumers to make smart home buying, selling and renting decisions by leveraging its direct, real-time connections with more than 800 multiple listing services (MLS) via all types of computers, tablets and smartphones. In addition to the industry's most comprehensive and accurate information, Move's network of websites provides consumers a wealth of innovative tools, including Doorsteps^®, Moving.com™, SeniorHousingNet^SM  and others. Move supports real estate agents and brokerages by providing many services to grow their businesses, including ListHub™, the nation's leading listing syndicator and centralized intelligence platform for the real estate industry; TigerLead^®; Top Producer^® Systems; and FiveStreet^SM; as well as many free services. Move is based in the heart of Silicon Valley – in San Jose, Calif.  

Forward-Looking Statements

This document contains certain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's views and assumptions regarding future events and business performance as of the time the statements are made. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations due to changes in global economic, business, competitive market and regulatory and other factors. More detailed information about these and other factors that could affect future results is contained in News Corp's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The "forward-looking statements" included in this document are made only as of the date of this document and we do not have any obligation to publicly update any "forward-looking statements" to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except as required by law.

Media Contact: Lexie Puckett, +1 805-557-3151, [email protected]

To view the original version on PR Newswire, visit:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/realtorcom-2014-housing-review-a-year-of-jobs-record-low-interest-and-tight-inventory-sets-the-stage-for-2015-growth-300013495.html

SOURCE realtor.com