NEW YORK, Oct. 12 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:
http://www.reportlinker.com/p060913/Lubricants-Industry.html
US demand to reach 2.25 billion gallons in 2014
US demand for lubricants is forecast to expand 1.3 percent annually to 2.25 billion gallons in 2014, valued at $22 billion. This represents a significant improvement over the performance of the 2004-2009 period, when lubricant demand declined 5.0 percent annually. Going forward, renewed economic growth will fuel lubricant market gains. However, total lubricant consumption is not expected to reach pre-recession levels. This will be largely due to the greater use of longer-lasting, higher performing synthetic lubricants that extend drain intervals, therefore reducing overall lubricant requirements in volume terms. Average price increases will continue to be significant, due to an expected rise in crude oil prices and a shift toward higher-value lubricants.
Higher quality, synthetic basestocks to gain share
The primary component of a finished lubricant is the basestock. US demand for higher quality Group II/II+ and Group III basestocks, as well as synthetic types, will increase their share of the market. Advances will be driven by a trend toward fill-for-life lubricants in industrial applications, and rising standards for motor vehicle engine oils. For example, higher quality basestocks will be necessary to comply with updated engine oil standards such as ILSAC GF-5. Going forward, petroleum base oils will face increasing competition from synthetic and bio-based oil basestocks, particularly in applications that require high performance products and in environmentally sensitive applications. Nevertheless, petroleum base oils will continue to account for the vast majority of oils in finished lubricants in volume terms.
Aftermarket declines to restrict engine oil segment
Engine oils accounted for more than half of total US lubricant demand in volume terms in 2009. A significant rebound in motor vehicle output following the double-digit annual declines of the 2004- 2009 period will propel engine oil demand in the factory fill segment. However, this represents only a small fraction of engine oil demand, and the overall outlook for these products in volume terms will be restricted by lengthening oil change intervals and the use of high performance synthetic lubricants. As such, aftermarket demand will decline, with the "do-it-yourself" segment continuing to lose out to "do-it-for-me" (DIFM) services, a trend that stalled in 2008 and 2009 as drivers sought out more economical alternatives for their vehicle service needs in the midst of difficult economic times. As the economy improves, many consumers will once again turn to professionals for their oil change needs due to the greater convenience that DIFM outlets provide.
Process oils to recover with rebounding markets
Process oils -- which include white oils, rubber oils, electrical oils, ink oils, agricultural spray oils and defoamer oils -- represent another leading lubricant category. Demand for these products is forecast to advance at an above-average pace, promoted by rebounding manufacturing activity following the real (inflation- adjusted) declines of the 2004-2009 period. In particular, an improved outlook for food and beverages, chemicals, and plastics and rubber will offer good opportunities for growth. However, process oils will continue to encounter challenges brought about by changing technology and environmental and regulatory standards.
Study coverage
This new industry study presents historical demand data (1999, 2004, 2009) plus forecasts for 2014 and 2019 by product and market. The study also considers key market environment factors, discusses competitive strategies, evaluates company market shares and profiles 35 industry competitors, such as Shell, Exxon Mobil and Chevron.
INTRODUCTION xi
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4
General 4
Macroeconomic Outlook 4
Manufacturing Outlook 8
Consumer Spending 11
Motor Vehicle Outlook 13
Motor Vehicle Design & Technology 17
Light Vehicle Engines 17
Diesel Engines 20
Oil Filters 21
Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Outlook 23
Lubricant Additives Overview 26
Historical Market Trends 28
Pricing Trends 31
Environmental & Regulatory Issues 33
Bio-Based Lubricants 36
Recycling 36
Re-Refining 38
Motor Vehicle Lubricant Classification & Testing 39
Foreign Trade 41
International Activity 43
III. LUBRICANT BASE OILS 45
General 45
Base Oils 47
Petroleum Base Oils 49
Petroleum Base Oil Supply & Demand 52
Petroleum Base Oil Refining Capacity 55
Other Base Oils 59
Synthetic Lubricants 62
Re-Refined Lubricants 66
Bio-Based Lubricants 69
IV. PRODUCTS 72
General 72
Engine Oils 74
Motor Vehicle Engine Oils 77
Markets 80
Grades 81
Other Engine Oils 84
Process Oils 86
Rubber Oils 89
White Oils 91
Electrical Oils 94
Other Process Oils 98
General Industrial Oils 100
Hydraulic Fluids 103
Turbine Oils 106
Fire-Resistant Fluids 109
Other General Industrial Oils 112
Transmission & Hydraulic Fluids 114
Automatic Transmission Fluids 117
Tractor Hydraulic & Transmission Fluids 120
Power Steering & Other Fluids 122
Metalworking Fluids 123
Product Characteristics 126
Suppliers 129
Gear Oils 130
Automotive Gear Oils 131
Industrial Gear Oils 135
Greases 137
Industrial Greases 139
Automotive Greases 140
V. MARKETS 143
General 143
Light Vehicle Aftermarket 145
Light Vehicle Industry Outlook 146
Light Vehicle Aftermarket Lubricant Demand 148
Engine Oils 149
Transmission Fluids 150
Gear Oils 152
Light Vehicle Engine Oil Sectors 153
Professional 154
DIY 159
Commercial & Industrial 160
Agriculture 162
Agriculture Industry Outlook 163
Agriculture Lubricant Demand 165
Power Generation 168
Electricity Generation Industry Outlook 168
Power Generation Lubricant Demand 170
Construction Equipment 173
Construction Industry Outlook 173
Construction Equipment Lubricant Demand 176
Petroleum & Natural Gas Production 178
Petroleum & Natural Gas Industry Outlook 178
Petroleum & Natural Gas Lubricant Demand 180
Mining 182
Mining Industry Outlook 183
Mining Industry Lubricant Demand 184
Other Commercial & Industrial Markets 186
Transportation Equipment Aftermarket 188
Heavy-Duty Trucks & Buses 190
Heavy-Duty Truck & Bus Industry Outlook 190
Heavy-Duty Truck & Bus Lubricant Demand 193
Marine Equipment 196
Waterborne Commerce Industry Outlook 196
Marine Lubricant Demand 198
Railroad Equipment 200
Railroad Industry Outlook 200
Railroad Lubricant Demand 202
Aerospace Equipment 204
Aerospace Industry Outlook 204
Aerospace Lubricant Demand 205
Other Transportation Equipment Aftermarket 207
Nondurable Goods Manufacturing 209
Plastics & Rubber 212
Plastics & Rubber Industry Outlook 212
Plastics & Rubber Lubricant Demand 214
Food & Beverages 216
Food & Beverage Industry Outlook 217
Food & Beverage Lubricant Demand 219
Cosmetics & Toiletries 224
Cosmetic & Toiletry Industry Outlook 224
Cosmetic & Toiletry Lubricant Demand 226
Chemicals 228
Chemical Industry Outlook 228
Chemical Product Lubricant Demand 231
Paper & Textiles 233
Paper & Textile Industry Outlook 233
Paper & Textile Lubricant Demand 235
Printing Inks 237
Printing Ink Industry Outlook 237
Printing Ink Lubricant Demand 239
Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing 241
Durable Goods Manufacturing 242
Transportation OEM 245
Transportation Equipment Industry Outlook 246
Transportation OEM Lubricant Demand 248
Machinery 250
Machinery Industry Outlook 250
Machinery Production Lubricant Demand 252
Metals 254
Metal Products Industry Outlook 255
Metal Production Lubricant Demand 256
Other Durable Goods Manufacturing 258
VI. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 260
General 260
Industry Composition 261
Market Share 263
Competitive Strategies 268
Low Cost Production 268
Strategic Partnerships 270
Acquisitions & Divestitures 272
Refining & Blending 274
Marketing 275
Industrial Lubricant Marketing Strategies 276
Automotive Lubricant Marketing Strategies 277
Brand Name Recognition 280
Sports Sponsorship 280
Distribution 282
Company Profiles 285
Air BP, see BP
AMSOIL Incorporated 286
Anderol, see Chemtura
Ashland Incorporated 289
BP plc 293
Burmah Castrol, see BP
Calumet Specialty Products Partners LP 298
Chemetall, see Rockwood Holdings
Chemtura Corporation 301
Chevron Corporation 304
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC 309
CIMCOOL Global Industrial Fluids, see Milacron
CITGO Petroleum, see Petroleos de Venezuela
ConocoPhillips 310
CPI Engineering Services, see Lubrizol
Croda International plc 315
Cross Oil Refining & Marketing Incorporated 316
Dow Chemical Company 319
DuPont (EI) de Nemours 321
Dylon Industries, see FUCHS Petrolub
Ergon Incorporated 323
Excel Paralubes, see ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corporation 325
FUCHS Petrolub AG 329
Hatco, see Chemtura
Henkel AG & Company KGaA 332
Holly Corporation 334
Houghton International Incorporated 335
Houston Refining, see LyondellBasell Industries
Illinois Tool Works Incorporated 337
LPS Laboratories, see Illinois Tool Works
Lubrizol Corporation 340
LyondellBasell Industries NV 342
Marathon Oil Corporation 343
Metal Mates, see Illinois Tool Works
Milacron LLC 345
Motiva Enterprises, see Royal Dutch Shell
MS Fluid Technologies, see FUCHS Petrolub
Oak International, see Milacron
Petro-Canada, see Suncor Energy
Petroleos de Venezuela SA 347
Petroleum Additives, see Chemtura
Quaker Chemical Corporation 350
Rockwood Holdings Incorporated 353
Royal Dutch Shell plc 354
Safety-Kleen Systems Incorporated 358
San Joaquin Refining Company Incorporated 359
Sonneborn LLC 360
Suncor Energy Incorporated 362
Sunoco Incorporated 365
Total SA 366
Valero Energy Corporation 370
Valvoline, see Ashland
Warren Oil Company Incorporated 371
Additional Companies Mentioned in the Study 373
LIST OF TABLES
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table 3
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Macroeconomic Indicators 8
2 Manufacturers' Shipments 11
3 Personal Consumption Expenditures 13
4 Motor Vehicle Indicators 16
5 Petroleum Industry Indicators 26
6 Lubricant Market, 1999-2009 30
7 Lubricant Pricing 33
8 US Finished Lubricant Foreign Trade 43
SECTION III -- LUBRICANT BASE OILS
1 Lubricant Base Oil Demand 49
2 Petroleum Base Oil Supply & Demand 54
3 Petroleum Base Oil Refining Capacity by Company, 2009 58
4 Other Lubricant Base Oil Demand 62
5 Synthetic Lubricant Demand by Type 66
6 Re-Refined Lubricant Demand 69
7 Bio-Based Lubricant Demand 71
SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS
1 Lubricant Demand by Type 73
2 Engine Oil Demand 77
3 Motor Vehicle Engine Oil Demand by Market 81
4 Motor Vehicle Engine Oil Demand by Grade 83
5 Other Engine Oil Demand 86
6 Process Oil Demand 88
7 Rubber Oil Demand 91
8 White Oil Demand 94
9 Electrical Oil Demand 97
10 Other Process Oil Demand 100
11 General Industrial Oil Demand 102
12 Industrial Hydraulic Fluid Demand 106
13 Industrial Turbine Oil Demand 108
14 Fire-Resistant Fluid Demand 111
15 Other General Industrial Oil Demand 114
16 Transmission & Hydraulic Fluid Demand 116
17 Metalworking Fluid Demand 126
18 Gear Oil Demand 131
19 Grease Demand 139
SECTION V -- MARKETS
1 Lubricant Demand by Market 144
2 Light Vehicles in Use 148
3 Light Vehicle Aftermarket Lubricant Demand 149
4 Light Vehicle Engine Oil Demand by Sector 154
5 Commercial & Industrial Lubricant Demand 161
6 Agricultural Indicators 165
7 Agricultural Lubricant Demand 168
8 Electricity Generation 170
9 Power Generation Lubricant Demand 172
10 Construction Expenditures 176
11 Construction Equipment Lubricant Demand 178
12 Petroleum & Natural Gas Production 180
13 Petroleum & Natural Gas Lubricant Demand 182
14 Mining Materials Handled 184
15 Mining Lubricant Demand 186
16 Other Commercial & Industrial Lubricant Demand 188
17 Transportation Equipment Aftermarket Lubricant Demand 189
18 Heavy Truck & Bus Indicators 193
19 Heavy Truck & Bus Aftermarket Lubricant Demand 195
20 Waterborne Commerce Indicators 198
21 Marine Lubricant Demand 200
22 Railroad Indicators 202
23 Railroad Lubricant Demand 203
24 Aircraft in Service 205
25 Aerospace Lubricant Demand 207
26 Other Transportation Equipment Aftermarket Lubricant
Demand 209
27 Nondurable Goods Lubricant Demand 211
28 Plastics & Rubber Demand 214
29 Plastics & Rubber Lubricant Demand 216
30 Food & Beverage Shipments 219
31 Food & Beverage Lubricant Demand 223
32 Cosmetic & Toiletry Supply & Demand 226
33 Cosmetic & Toiletry Lubricant Demand 228
34 Chemical Product Shipments 231
35 Chemical Product Lubricant Demand 232
36 Paper & Textile Products Shipments 235
37 Paper & Textile Lubricant Demand 237
38 Printing Ink Production 239
39 Printing Ink Lubricant Demand 241
40 Other Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Lubricant Demand 242
41 Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricant Demand 244
42 Transportation Equipment Shipments 248
43 Transportation OEM Lubricant Demand 250
44 Machinery Shipments 252
45 Machinery Production Lubricant Demand 254
46 Metal Products Shipments 256
47 Metal Production Lubricant Demand 258
48 Other Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricant Demand 259
SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 US Lubricant Sales by Company, 2009 262
2 Selected Cooperative Agreements 271
3 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures 273
LIST OF CHARTS
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Lubricant Market, 1999-2009 30
SECTION III -- LUBRICANT BASE OILS
1 Lubricant Production Flowchart 46
2 Petroleum Base Oil Refining Stages 51
3 Petroleum Base Oil Demand by Type, 1999-2019 55
4 Petroleum Base Oil Refining Capacity by Company, 2009 59
SECTION IV -- PRODUCTS
1 Lubricant Demand by Type, 2009 74
2 Motor Vehicle Engine Oil Demand by Grade, 1999-2019 84
3 Process Oil Demand by Type, 2009 89
4 General Industrial Oil Demand by Type, 2009 103
5 Transmission & Hydraulic Fluid Demand by Type, 2009 117
SECTION V -- MARKETS
1 Lubricant Demand by Market, 2009 145
2 Commercial & Industrial Lubricant Demand by End Use,
2009 162
3 Transportation Equipment Aftermarket for Lubricants, 2009 190
4 Nondurable Goods Lubricant Demand by Market, 2009 212
5 Durable Goods Manufacturing Lubricant Demand
by Market, 2009 245
SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 US Finished Lubricant Market Share, 2009 263
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Nicolas Bombourg |
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