NEW YORK, March 23, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia increased 0.1 percent in January to 121.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in December, and a 0.3 percent increase in November.
At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Australia, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.1 percent in January, to 117.9 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decrease in December, and a 0.1 percent increase in November.
The Conference Board LEI for Australia continued its upward trend through the beginning of this year, after a brief pause in the third quarter of 2010. However, its six-month growth rate has continued to moderate. At the same time, The Conference Board CEI for Australia has been essentially flat since last September, and its six-month growth rate has slowed in recent months. Taken together, the current behavior of the composite indexes suggests that economic growth will likely be moderate in the near term.
About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Australia
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component -- primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.
The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Australia include:
Yield Spread, 10 year minus Policy Rate
Share Prices, All Ordinaries
Money Supply, M3
Rural Goods Exports
Sales to Inventory Ratio
Gross Operating Surplus, Private Non-Financial Corporations
For more information including full press release and technical notes: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=7
For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm
About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501(c)(3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.
Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes
Jul to Jan
Leading Economic Index
Coincident Economic Index
n.a. Not available
Indexes equal 100 in 2004
Source: The Conference Board
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