The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea Increases

Mar 10, 2011, 20:00 ET from The Conference Board

NEW YORK, March 10, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea increased 1.3 percent in January to 121.8 (2004 = 100), following a 1.2 percent increase in December, and a 0.9 percent increase in November.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Korea, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.3 percent in January to 115.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in December and a 0.8 percent increase in November.

The Conference Board LEI for Korea has resumed its upward trend, after declining slightly in the middle of last year. In addition, its six-month growth rate has rebounded sharply. Meanwhile, The Conference Board CEI for Korea has also been increasing, although its six-month growth rate moderated somewhat from the first half of last year. Taken together, the current behavior of the composite indexes and their components suggest that economic expansion should continue in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea

The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Korea include:

Stock Prices

Value of Machinery Orders

Letter of Credit Arrivals

Index of Shipments to Inventories

Export FOB

Yield of Government Public Bonds

Private Construction Orders



For more information including full press release and technical notes:

http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=6

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes








2010


6-month







Nov

Dec

Jan

Jul to Jan






Leading Economic index (LEI)

118.8 r

120.2 r

121.8


Percent Change

0.9

1.2 r

1.3

5.2

Diffusion

71.4

78.6 r

71.4

71.4

Coincident Economic Index (CEI)

114.2 r

115.0 p

115.4 p


Percent Change

0.8

0.7 p

0.3 p

1.6 p

Diffusion

75.0

50.0

75.0

75.0






n.a. Not available      p Preliminary      r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

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SOURCE The Conference Board



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