NEW YORK, Dec. 22, 2010 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico increased 1.5 percent in October to 119.5 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in September, and a 0.5 percent increase in August.
At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Mexico, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.4 percent in October to 112.9 (2004 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in September, and a 0.4 percent increase in August.
The Conference Board LEI for Mexico has risen for the past four consecutive months, after declining modestly in the middle of 2010. Still, its six-month growth rate has slowed sharply from earlier this year. Meanwhile, The Conference Board CEI for Mexico, a measure of current economic activity, has continued to increase, although its six-month growth rate has gradually moderated. Taken together, the behavior of the composite indexes suggests that despite the recent volatility, the economy will continue to grow, but at a moderate pace in the near term.
About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.
The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Mexico include:
Industrial Production, Construction Component
U.S. Refiners' Acquisition Cost of Domestic and Imported Crude Oil
Net Insufficient Inventories
Federal Funds Rate
Real Exchange Rate
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About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.
Summary Table of Composite Indexes
Apr. to Oct
n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised
Indexes equal 100 in 2004
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SOURCE The Conference Board