The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Alibaba, Citizens Financial Group, Antero Midstream Partners, Paramount Group and GoPro

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Dec 30, 2014, 09:42 ET

CHICAGO, Dec. 30, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include the Alibaba (NYSE:BABA-Free Report), Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:CFG-Free Report), Antero Midstream Partners LP (NYSE:AM-Free Report), Paramount Group, Inc. (NYSE:PGRE-Free Report) and GoPro Inc (Nasdaq:GPRO-Free Report).

Today, Zacks is promoting its ''Buy'' stock recommendations. Get #1Stock of the Day pick for free.

Here are highlights from Monday's Analyst Blog:

Best-Performing IPOs from Record-Breaking 2014

Wall Street has seen some key records this year. While investors cheered the surge in benchmarks with S&P 500 hitting 52-week and all-time record highs so far, 2014 also became a record year for initial public offerings (IPOs).

The US IPO market was the biggest in 2014 since 2000 in terms of both value and number. The size was mostly boosted by the Chinese e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (NYSE:BABA-Free Report). Financial firms raised significant funds – the highest since 2008 – via IPOs in 2014. Meanwhile, Nasdaq was the most preferred option among US exchanges for launching IPOs.

According to IPO exchange-traded fund manager Renaissance Capital, so far 275 companies became publicly-traded on the US exchanges and have raised over $85 billion. Another report from Ernst & Young LLP notes that 288 IPOs this year raised $95.2 billion, up 54% from 2013. In fact, a report titled EY Global IPO Trends: 2014 Q4 also suggested that IPO activity globally was the best since 2010.

IPO activity is said to be uninterrupted as major global geopolitical and economic concerns failed to have an affect. Renaissance Capital stated, "While various global events -- such as Russia's incursion into the Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East -- caused nervousness in global markets, they largely failed to disrupt the US IPO applecart."

However, the massive volume and proceeds did not translate into being the most profitable year. The average offering return was at 16% in 2014, significantly lower than 41% in 2013. However, the gain was better than the S&P's 13% return year to date. Separately, we have varying figures from Ernst & Young, which took 288 IPOs into account and stated that averaged return was 17.1% year to date.

Thus, investing in the winning IPOs have been a prudent investment move this year. Before looking into the most profitable IPOs in 2014, let's look into the related developments.

Global IPOs & Financial Sponsors

Globally, 1,206 IPOs raised $256.5 billion in 2014, according to Ernst & Young. This marked a 35% increase in volume and 50% jump in value from 2013. Sectors trending on the global IPOs front were Healthcare with 193 deals raising $21.8 billion, followed by Technology with 167 deals collecting $50.2 billion and Industrials accounting for 142 deals that attracted $19.9 billion.

Much of the global IPO market was dominated by financial sponsors. Ernst & Young analyst Maria Pinelli and others noted that financials dominated "as they took advantage of positive market sentiment, primarily in the US, mainland Europe and UK, to dispose of assets acquired in the peak of the economic cycle in 2006-07." Proceeds from 328 financial-sponsored IPOs jumped 86% from last year to $124 billion. This was about half of global IPOs by value.

Separately, cross-border deals were also impactful this year. A total of 129 IPOs on that front represented 10.7% of all deals, the most since 2007. Among these, 52% of the cross-border listings were done on US exchanges, which in turn accounted for 23.3% of the US deal volume.

Records Galore

Among the US exchanges, Nasdaq (NDAQ) emerged as the most proffered destination for launching IPOs. Nasdaq saw 189 IPOs this year, up from 126 IPOs in 2013. The combined proceeds from IPOs listed in Nasdaq was above $22 billion. Total proceeds raised improved 39% from 2013.

Financials were also in the limelight on the domestic front. Financial companies this year raised most money in the US since 2008. Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:CFG-Free Report) and LendingClub Corp. raised a combined $16.8 billion. Four of the five biggest IPOs in the country comprise financial firms, contributing 19% of the total capital collected through all sales.

Obviously, Alibaba was the biggest IPO, not only for 2014 but the biggest in history. Alibaba's stock began trading at $92.70, well above its IPO price of $68, backed by strong demand. The nearly $22 billion collected via the IPO outperformed the $17.8 billion raised in the previous all-time high in 2008. (Read: Alibaba IPO Amasses $21.8B on NYSE Day 1 Trade; Up 38%)

In November, Antero Midstream Partners LP (NYSE:AM-Free Report) became the largest master limited partnership IPO in history after collecting $1.15 billion. Following this, Paramount Group, Inc. (NYSE:PGRE-Free Report) became the biggest IPO of a real-estate investment trust. It raised $2.29 billion. Juno Therapeutics was the final addition this year on the IPO list, which became the highest market capitalization biotech firm on its debut.

Returns

Talking of returns, and as mentioned earlier, a busy year did not turn out to be the most profitable one. This was also the first year (apart from 2011 when return was negative) that average debut return did not hit 20%. The average debut return was 13%. Also, 28% of deals had fallen on debut.

The debut concerns were more evident given the fact that 40% of the IPOs were priced lower than their estimated range. Last year, 29% deals were priced lower than the expected range.

Top Return

However, there were some names that have amassed significant returns since their debut this year. Among the popular debuts were GoPro Inc (Nasdaq:GPRO-Free Report), which surged 30.6% on its debut. GoPro's shares had surged 310% at a time. (Read: GoPro Debuts Strongly with $427M IPO)

What dominate the top-performer list are biotech firms. The high-fliers are the biotechs this year, occupying majority position in the top list. The average biotech IPO return stands at 32%, double of what the average return for 2014 is.

IPOs in 2015

After a busy 2014, the outlook for 2015 remains bright. The possible headwinds next year include the gloomy energy sector and international economic growth. The Fed is most likely to raise rates in 2015. Nonetheless, Renaissance notes that "Overall positive returns and a large pipeline suggest that consistent deal flow should continue into 2015, tempered by disciplined pricing." Renaissance's private company "watchlist" estimates 255 companies debuting on the Street in 2015. Among these, 80% are said to be from the tech sector and includes popular names like GoDaddy and Spotify.

However, 2015 should not only be about volume, proceeds and how busy it is, but should post higher returns.

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