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      There's Been a 70% Uptick in Redfin.Com Users Looking to Relocate to Sacramento and Las Vegas Since Last Year

      There has also been a 50% increase in the number of people looking to leave New York and Los Angeles since last year

      Redfin Logo (PRNewsfoto/Redfin)

      News provided by

      Redfin

      Nov 24, 2020, 09:00 ET

      Share this article

      Share this article


      SEATTLE, Nov. 24, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — Nationwide, 28.5% of Redfin.com users looked to move to another metro area in October, up from 24.9% a year before and a slight decline from 29.2% in the third quarter. This is according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Sacramento, Las Vegas and Phoenix were the most popular destinations for people looking to move to a different metro area in October, with higher net inflows than any other major U.S. metro. A net inflow means more people are looking to move in than leave, while a net outflow means more people are looking to leave than move in.

      All three places were more popular with out-of-towners in October than during the same time last year, likely reflecting pandemic-driven interest in moving to affordable areas to work remotely. In Sacramento, more than 50% of Redfin.com searches were from users outside the area in October, up from 44.1% last year. In Las Vegas, 49% of searches were from users outside the area, up from 46.9% last year, and in Phoenix the share of out-of-town searches was 34.2% versus 33.7% last year. 

      The net number of people looking to move into Sacramento from outside the area increased by more than 75% from last year, with about 6,400 people looking to move into Sacramento in October versus 3,600 last October. The net number of people looking to move into Las Vegas increased 70.5% (5,800, up from 3,400), and the number of people looking in Phoenix increased 51.5% (5,500, up from 3,700). 

      The latest migration analysis is based on a sample of more than 1 million Redfin.com users who searched for homes across 87 metro areas in October 2020, excluding searches unlikely to precede an actual relocation or home purchase. To be included in this dataset, a Redfin.com user must have viewed at least 10 homes in a particular metro area, and homes in that area must make up at least 80% of the user's searches.

      The vast majority of people moving to Sacramento from outside the metro are from the Bay Area

      More than 72% of out-of-towners searching in Sacramento were based in the Bay Area, partly because its relative affordability and proximity is attracting remote workers. Sacramento is located just 90 miles northeast of San Francisco and homes are considerably more affordable, with the typical home selling for $480,000 in October versus $1.43 million in the San Francisco metro. Three other California metros—Los Angeles, Fresno and Chico—and Reno round out the top five origins for Redfin.com users looking to move to Sacramento, but the share of searches from those places are all in the single digits. 

      "There has been a surge of buyers coming from San Francisco, San Jose, Oakland and Napa this summer and fall," said Sacramento Redfin agent Kellee Bradford. "A lot of families are moving to Sacramento for affordable homes because they're able to telecommute, and investors are buying homes to rent out because remote work is making the area so much more desirable."

      Los Angeles was the most common origin for out-of-towners searching for homes in Las Vegas

      Nearly 38% of out-of-town searches for homes in Las Vegas came from Los Angeles in October. The Bay Area, Portland, OR, Seattle and San Diego—all expensive coastal metros, like Los Angeles—round out the top five origins for people looking to move to Las Vegas. The typical Las Vegas home sold for $317,000 in October, versus $735,000 in Los Angeles. 

      "For some people, moving from coastal California to Las Vegas is a no-brainer from a financial standpoint," said Los Angeles Redfin agent Laura Salgues. "I recently worked with one couple who are both now working remotely, and they sold their expensive Los Angeles home to purchase a larger, more luxurious home in the Las Vegas suburbs. They're able to save more money and enjoy a better quality of life because the Las Vegas home is so much more affordable."

      People moving to Phoenix are coming from expensive coastal metros

      The story is similar in Phoenix, where Los Angeles was the most common origin for out-of-towners searching for homes in October, with nearly one-quarter of out-of-town searches coming from the Southern California metro. It's followed by Seattle, the Bay Area, Chicago and San Diego. 

      Top 10 Metros by Net Inflow of Users and Their Top Origins (October 2020)

      Rank

      Metro*

      Net
      Inflow†

      Net
      Inflow
      LY

      Portion of
      Searches from
      Users
      Outside
      the Metro

      Portion of
      Searches from
      Users Outside
      the Metro LY

      Top Origin

      Top Out-of-State Origin

      1

      Sacramento, CA

      6,397

      3,646

      50.1%

      44.1%

      San Francisco, CA

      Reno, NV

      2

      Las Vegas, NV

      5,762

      3,380

      49.0%

      46.9%

      Los Angeles, CA

      Los Angeles, CA

      3

      Phoenix, AZ

      5,548

      3,662

      34.2%

      33.7%

      Los Angeles, CA

      Los Angeles, CA

      4

      Austin, TX

      5,290

      1,997

      39.5%

      30.0%

      San Francisco, CA

      San Francisco, CA

      5

      Atlanta, GA

      4,603

      3,221

      26.4%

      26.7%

      New York, NY

      New York, NY

      6

      Dallas, TX

      4,303

      1,745

      31.3%

      24.5%

      Los Angeles, CA

      Los Angeles, CA

      7

      Nashville, TN

      3,209

      1,287

      40.2%

      30.9%

      New York, NY

      New York, NY

      8

      Tampa, FL

      2,914

      1,529

      55.8%

      51.8%

      Orlando, FL

      New York, NY

      9

      Charlotte, NC

      2,357

      1,523

      40.0%

      40.7%

      New York, NY

      New York, NY

      10

      Miami, FL

      2,242

      917

      26.0%

      23.8%

      New York, NY

      New York, NY

      *Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in Q4 2020

      †Negative values indicate a net outflow; among the one million users sampled for this analysis
      only

      Significantly more Redfin.com users are leaving New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles than last year 

      Expensive coastal cities typically experience the most out-migration, and October was no exception. New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles are the top three places Redfin.com users were looking to leave, with higher net outflows than any other major metro in the U.S. 

      The portion of Redfin.com users in the New York City metro looking to move away has declined since last year, from 37.1% to 34.8%, but that's likely an underrepresentation of the actual share of New Yorkers looking at homes outside the area because a lot of people have already left the metro, so their search origins reflect their current location. In San Francisco, the share of Redfin.com users looking to move away in October was flat from last year (23.6% versus 23.7%), and in Los Angeles it was up slightly (17.8%, up from 16.5%).

      The net number of people looking to leave was significantly higher than the same time last year in all three metros. Nearly 28,000 Redfin.com users looked to leave New York in October, up 53.1% from 18,000 last October. Roughly 26,000 people looked to leave the Bay Area, up 27.6% from 20,000, and 16,000 people looked to leave Los Angeles, up 51.8% from about 11,000. 

      Top 10 Metros by Net Outflow of Users and Their Top Destinations (October 2020)

      Rank

      Metro*

      Net
      Outflow†

      Net
      Outflow LY

      Portion of
      Local Users
      Searching
      Elsewhere

      Portion of
      Local Users
      Searching
      Elsewhere LY

      Top Destination

      Top Out-of-State
      Destination

      1

      New York, NY

      27,998

      18,285

      34.8%

      37.1%

      Boston, MA

      Boston, MA

      2

      San Francisco, CA

      25,963

      20,353

      23.6%

      23.7%

      Sacramento, CA

      Seattle, WA

      3

      Los Angeles, CA

      16,123

      10,623

      17.8%

      16.5%

      San Diego, CA

      Las Vegas, NV

      4

      Washington, DC

      7,902

      3,969

      12.7%

      10.7%

      Salisbury, MD

      Salisbury, MD

      5

      Chicago, IL

      4,619

      2,068

      12.2%

      10.0%

      South Bend, IN

      South Bend, IN

      6

      Denver, CO

      2,707

      1,419

      26.9%

      22.7%

      Seattle, WA

      Seattle, WA

      7

      Milwaukee, WI

      1,601

      460

      40.8%

      37.7%

      Chicago, IL

      Chicago, IL

      8

      San Diego, CA

      1,511

      -1,853

      25.4%

      18.2%

      Los
      Angeles, CA

      Phoenix, AZ

      9

      Seattle, WA

      1,087

      -3,376

      13.4%

      11.1%

      Los
      Angeles, CA

      Los Angeles,
      CA

      10

      Indianapolis, IN

      1,017

      289

      40.6%

      30.9%

      Chicago, IL

      Chicago, IL

      *Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in Q4 2020

      †Among the one million users sampled for this analysis only

      To view the full report, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/october-2020-housing-migration-trends 

      About Redfin 
      Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered residential real estate company, redefining real estate in the consumer's favor in a commission-driven industry. We do this by integrating every step of the home buying and selling process and pairing our own agents with our own technology, creating a service that is faster, better and costs less. We offer brokerage, iBuying, mortgage, and title services, and we also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage search site, offering a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate. We represent people buying and selling homes in over 90 markets in the United States and Canada. Since our launch in 2006, we have saved our customers over $800 million and we've helped them buy or sell more than 235,000 homes worth more than $115 billion.

      For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email [email protected]. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

      SOURCE Redfin

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