United States Telecommunications Report Q3 2012

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The US mobile market continued to grow in Q112, despite poor performance from the larger players in the market. We believe mobile subscribers reached 336.8mn in Q112, with net additions of 5.2mn. This is an increase on Q311 and Q411. The US is one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world, leading the global market in LTE technology, and in Q112 operators reported impressive growth in data revenues. This has managed to sustain ARPUs over the year, with no change in Q111 and Q112 ARPU. Pessimistic jobless rates data released on June 15 2012 indicate that the economy continues to falter, and a full-blown recovery is not yet under way. Private consumption will remain weak as households continue to deleverage, although business investment continues to grow across sectors, including telecoms.

Verizon, AT&T and Sprint all enjoyed growth in prepaid subscribers in Q112, while T-Mobile reported a dramatic fall of 819,000 subscriber losses. In contrast, T-Mobile recorded the largest number of postpaid subscriber net additions, enjoying 1,268. As the iPhone was not released on T-Mobile's network, its postpaid net additions are less affected – all other operators reported muted growth in postpaid subscriptions that quarter, the result of the iPhone upgrades of Q411, which means there are fewer subscribers left to upgrade in Q112. In May 2012 Verizon announced it would divest wireless spectrum in the 700MHz band in order to gain favour for a US$3.6bn deal with Comcast Corp, Time Warner Cable and Bright House Networks to use spectrum reaching 259mn people. It received 36 offers for its spectrum in the 700MHz band. The FCC is in the process of reviewing the deal and a decision is due on August 7 2012. While BMI believes it will ultimately be allowed, stringent requirements are likely to be imposed. Sprint experienced a disappointing Q112, with a US$863mn loss, compared with a US$439mn loss in Q111.

Revenue jumped 5.1% to US$8.73bn. Sprint reported it lost 192,000 two-year contract subscribers in Q112, as a gain of 263,000 in its namesake brand failed to overcome losses at its waning Nextel unit. Sprint saw iPhone sales fall from Q411 highs, although the 17% drop to 1.5mn was lower than its rivals. The carrier boosted average-revenue-per-contract-user, a closely watched metric, by US$1.29 to US$59. The fixed-line market declined even faster than expectations in Q112. It has been following a downward trajectory for almost a decade as fixed lines are replaced by mobiles. This trend shows no immediate sign of abating, and the number of fixed lines in service hit 94.87mn in Q112 – down from 98.11mn in Q411. We revised down our forecasts and now expect there to be 86.15mn fixed lines in service by 2016.By contrast, the broadband market expanded rapidly.

Executive Summary 5SWOT Analysis 6United States Mobile Market SWOT . 6United States Wireline Market SWOT ... 7United States Political SWOT ... 8United States Economic SWOT . 8United States Business Environment SWOT .. 9Risk/Reward Ratings . 10Developed States . 10Table: Q312 Risk/Reward Ratings .. 12US ... 12Industry Forecast Scenario ... 14Mobile .. 14Fixed Line 16Internet 17Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts .. 17Market Data Analysis 19Mobile .. 19Table: US Mobile Market, Regional Mobile Network Operators . 28Subscriber Mix 29Table: US Mobile Network Operator Subscriber Mix Q112 ... 29MVNOs ... 30ARPU .. 30Table: US Mobile Market Blended ARPU, Q410-Q311 .. 313G ... 324G: LTE And WiMAX . 33Mobile Contract Wins .. 37Table: Selected Mobile Contract Wins 37Mobile Content 38Country Outlook . 38SMS . 39PC-Like Services . 39Mobile Banking ... 40VAS Timeline ... 42Mobile Operator Data . 43Table: Wireless Market Overview ... 43Table: Verizon Wireless .. 43Table: AT&T Mobility 44Table: Sprint Nextel 45Fixed-Line 47Table: US Local Voice Market, Q411-Q112 ... 47Mergers And Acquisitions ... 48Bundled Services . 48Pay-TV 49United States Telecommunications Report Q3 2012© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4Table: US Pay-TV Market Q211-Q411 ... 51Broadband ... 52Table: US Broadband Market Q311-Q112 . 56Connection Types 56Fibre-Optic . 57Broadband Technologies Opportunity Programme 57Wireline Developments 58Table: Wireline Developments 58Regulatory Development ... 59Regulatory Environment . 59Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 59Background And Regulatory Bodies ... 60Regulatory Issues 60Competition 60Industry Developments. 61Competitive Landscape 64Market Structure . 64Table: US Telecoms Sector Key Players . 64Operator Profiles ... 65Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview ... 75Mobile . 75Table: Mobile Penetration Overview .. 76Fixed-Line... 76Table: Fixed-Line Penetration Overview 77Internet ... 78Table: Broadband Penetration Overview ... 78Country Snapshot: US Demographic Data .. 79Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) .. 80The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 80Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 82Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 ... 82Glossary Of Terms 83Table: Glossary Of Terms ... 83BMI Methodology .. 84How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts .. 84Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts 84Telecoms Business Environment Ratings . 86Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 86Ratings System 86Indicators 86Table: Ratings Indicators ... 87Weighting 88Table: Weighting Of Indicators .. 88Sources ... 88

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