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Upward Revaluation Rationalized By Superior Asset-Light Coworking Space Management Model


News provided by

Ucommune International Ltd.

Nov 03, 2021, 11:54 ET

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NEW YORK, Nov. 3, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Ucommune (Nasdaq: UK) is an asset-light operator that focuses on providing operation custody, operation management and output services for other asset owners, where the proportion of projects managed under the light-asset model is expected to reach 75% by 2022 from ~50% in 2020.  Specifically, Ucommune's asset-light business contracted 154 venues in 52 cities, with a management area of approximately 439,000 square meters as of June 30, 2021, increased by respective 141%, 63% and 98% year-over-year from a year ago.

Bridging the Valuation Gap – Ucommune and its competitors

UK's revenues have been growing at a much faster pace than its competitors (public companies), more than tripled from ~USD 70 million in 2018 to $211 million in 2021, according to Capital IQ. On the back of steady recovery of China's economic conditions shaking off the adverse impact of Covid, Ucommune's looking to realize positive revenue growth this year. 

With more and more companies electing to extend the work-from-home practices coming out of Covid pandemic, corporations are increasingly resorting to coworking space to cut costs of office rentals while improving work efficiency.  And with a differentiated, yet better asset-light operating and managing business model, UK shares is expected to warrant an upward revaluation from the current trough level, to be more in line with other co-working space operators. 

As of Oct. 29, 2021, the current market competitor has a market capitalization of ~US$8 billion, valuing the firm at a P/S ratio of ~3X over its 2021 estimated revenue of ~US$2.65 billion, based on its SEC filings, compared to a P/S ratio of ~0.4X for Ucommune. The market value of UK is expected to be higher than 4 billion yuan (by applying ~3X of estimated 2021 revenue of 1.35bn yuan), or more than 8X from today's market capitalization of ~$80 million.

With asset-light model Ucommunce is able to free up operating cash flow to scale business more efficiently, while avoiding asset value volatilities, for the following reasons:

  • Higher capital efficiency. Due to the small investment in the early stage, Ucommune's asset-light projects are expected to be more profitable, evidenced by the company's narrowing operating losses. Specifically, UK's net loss narrowed by 37% year-on-year in 2020.
  • Greater business scalability. The current market competitor's number of communities dropped 10% to 763 in 38 countries from the end of 2020.  On the contrary, UK has been in a state of rapid expansion transitioning into the light-asset model.  As of June 30, 2021, Ucommune had 282 venues in 87 cities, an increase of 21% compared to the end of 2020.
  • Stronger operational capabilities leading to higher occupancy rates.  Ucommune's occupancy rate was 79% in the first half of 2021, up from 77% in 2020. UK is able to maintain a high occupancy rate owing to the rapid growth of its asset-light projects, and the recognition of its strong operating capabilities.

Furthermore, UK has a strategic domestic focus, making it easier to standardize and reproduce. UK's communities footprints started with the comprehensive first- and second-tier cities in China, while trickling down to also cover the third- and fourth-tier cities.  Though Ucommune's main focus is on China's domestic markets, it is also making initial entrance into the international market, through the join hands with Australia's Hexa Group to co-develop "Hexa Space-Ucommune" light-asset project, according to the company's press release on Oct. 18.

The advantage of asset-light model is gradually gaining recognition by other coworking space operators. UK has built a business model integrating asset-light, SaaS, and enterprise services.  Key customer customization (such as for Alibaba, Meituan, 360 and Zhongwang Group, etc. in major cities) and digital transformation and upgrade (such as holding e-commerce qualifications, self-developed APP, SaaS systems, smart hardware including face recognition and cloud printing, and "speed reading network" for the real estate brokers) have completed and already demonstrated noticeable results. 

DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMERS

Stone Street Group LLC ("Stone Street") publishes research reports on publicly-traded companies. Stone Street has been retained by the Company discussed in this report (the "Company") to provide ongoing digital investor relations services, including the creation and dissemination of this report. All research published by Stone Street is based on public information, or on information from the Company that the Company is required to promptly make public.

Stone Street is not a broker-dealer or a "covered person" under SEC Regulation AC, and does not distribute its research through a registered broker-dealer or any associated person of a registered broker-dealer. Accordingly, Stone Street is exempt from the provisions of Regulation AC. Nevertheless, Stone Street makes the following voluntary disclosures and disclaimers in connection with its research reports:

NO GUARANTEE:  This research report is not a substitute for the exercise of an investor's independent due diligence and independent investment determinations. Information contained herein is based on sources we believe to be reliable but we do not guarantee their accuracy. It should be presumed that the analyst who authored this report has had discussions with the Company to endeavor to ensure factual accuracy prior to publication, however, no independent due diligence or verification has been undertaken by the analyst.  No endorsements are made in respect of information provided or published by the subject Company and relied upon by the analyst for purposes of this research report. Recipients of this report should consider this report as only one factor in making any investment decision. This report is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.  Any and all information provided by the Company which has been publicly disclosed as "forward looking information" remains subject to all uncertainties in such regard and Stone Street makes no assurances or guaranties of actual outcomes. 

NO CONFLICTS OF INTEREST:  Stone Street does NOT own securities of the issuers described herein, and Stone Street does not make a market in any securities. Stone Street does not engage in, or receive compensation from, any investment banking or corporate finance-related activities with the Company discussed in the report. Stone Street's contracts with issuers protect Stone Street's full editorial control of all research, timing of release of reports, and release from liability for negative reports.

ANALYST INDEPENDENCE:  Each Stone Street analyst has full discretion on the analysis and revenue targets contained in the report, based on his or her own due diligence. Analysts are paid in part based on overall profitability of Stone Street. No part of analyst compensation was, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in any report or article. Stone Street policy does not allow an analyst or a member of their household (i) to own, trade, or have any beneficial interest in any securities of any Company that analyst covers, or (ii) serve as an officer or director of a covered Company.

RISK FACTORS:  Earnings targets and opinions concerning the composition of market sectors included in this report reflect analyst judgments as of this date and are subject to change without notice. A risk to our earnings targets is that the analyst's estimates or forecasts may not be met. This report contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ significantly from such forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in the "Risk Factors" section in the issuer's SEC filings available in electronic format through SEC Edgar filings at www.sec.gov.

COMPENSATION:  Stone Street received a flat fee from or on behalf of the Company for the creation and dissemination of the report. Stone Street has not received investment banking income from the Company in the past 12 months, and does not expect to receive investment banking income from the Company in the next 12 months.

ANALYST CERTIFICATION:  The research analyst certifies that this report accurately reflects his/her personal views about the Company's securities that none of the research analyst's compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the analyst's specific recommendations or views contained in this research report.

SOURCE Ucommune International Ltd.

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