Who Will Lead Capitol Hill After the Election -- A Cassidy Exclusive Report

Nov 13, 2012, 16:29 ET from Cassidy & Associates

WASHINGTON, Nov. 13, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- As lawmakers return to finish their business on Capitol Hill before a new session of Congress begins in January and new Members sworn in, Washington is a buzz about whether there will be any changes in leadership of both chambers and its committees. In its continuing series of exclusive reports WASHINGTON After the Election, Cassidy & Associates removes the guesswork with its Leadership Report, tracking the next steps of leaders on Capitol Hill and identifying those who will make them.

"Our series of exclusive reports from our public policy experts confirms that the political power structure that emerges from the election has immediate consequences in the leadership on Capitol Hill and will ultimately affect the policy outcomes.  Policy stakeholders can shape those outcomes, but only if they are fully engaged and recognize that managing their Washington risk has never been more important," said Cassidy CEO Gerald S.J. Cassidy.

The snapshot of the full Leadership Report posted online shows:


REPUBLICANS: Our sources indicate that it is unlikely that any freshmen will have the ability in the 113th Congress to serve on the highly desired Ways and Means or Energy & Commerce Committees.

Cassidy & Associates expects two contested races for Republican leadership: McMorris Rodgers (WA) v. Price (GA) for Conference Co-Chair and Foxx (NC) vs. Denham (CA) for Conference Secretary.  While the outcome of these races is unknown at this time, the vote outcome could provide interesting insight into the mindset of the post-election Republican caucus

DEMOCRATS: Barring a Pelosi retirement, the top three Democratic Leaders are expected to maintain their roles, with the only possible change happening with the Caucus Vice Chairman slot, currently held by Rep. Xavier Becerra of California.


House Appropriations Committee: Ranking Member Norm Dicks (D-WA) is retiring and both Marcy Kaptur (D-OH), the most senior Appropriations Democrat, and Nita Lowey (D-NY), the fourth-most-senior Democrat on the panel, are in the running to succeed him.  Early indications give the advantage to Representative Lowey.

House International Relations Committee: U.S. Rep. Chris Smith (R-NJ) has the seniority to take over chairmanship of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, where Chairwoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL) has reached the end of her committee chair term limit, however, our sources give the advantage to Rep. Ed Royce (R-CA), who said he plans to seek the chairmanship. The Democratic ranking membership slot also is open after Rep. Howard Berman's (D-CA) loss to Brad Sherman in their California faceoff. Sherman wants the job but will likely face opposition, from Rep. Eliot Engel (D-NY).

House Science Committee: While he is not retiring, current Chairman Ralph Hall (R-TX) is likely to cede the Chairmanship to fellow Texan Lamar Smith, who is himself term limited as the current Chair of the Judiciary Committee.  However, former Science Committee Chairman Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI) has also expressed interest in reclaiming a leadership role to where he would act as an "anti-climate hawk." Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA) is also expressing interest in the chairmanship. All early signs, however, point to Rep. Smith.


DEMOCRATS: Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) is expected to continue as Majority Leader.

REPUBLICANS: Despite what many see as disappointing election results, Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is expected to return to that position.

We expect that Senator Jerry Moran (R-KS) will vie for NRSC Chairmanship.


Senate Environment and Public Works Committee: Current Ranking Member James Inhofe (R-OK) will be assuming the Ranking Member position on the Armed Services Committee, which leaves Senator David Vitter (R-LA) to take the Ranking Member role. Senator Boxer (D-CA) is expected to continue as Chairwoman, but in recent days has expressed interest in the Foreign Affairs Committee Chairmanship if Senator Kerry departs for the Administration.

A full copy of WASHINGTON, After the Election, Leadership Report, can be obtained through Cassidy & Associates.

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SOURCE Cassidy & Associates