LONDON, Oct.1, 2014 /PRNewswire/ --
INTRODUCTION
The Freedonia Group Incorporated is a leading international industry study/database company. Founded in 1985, Freedonia publishes more than 125 studies each year, covering such areas as building materials, chemicals, health care, packaging, pharmaceuticals, plastics, security, and many other industries. Studies cover entire industry sectors as well as key niche markets. Each study includes such valuable intelligence as growth markets and products, market share, product analyses and forecasts, market analyses and forecasts, and company profiles. Studies specific to the US also place the industry into its international context.
This study analyzes the world market for geosynthetics, including geotextiles, geomembranes, geogrids, geonets, and others (e.g., geocells, geofoam, geosynthetic clay liners, and preformed geocomposites). Plastic geopipes and natural fiber geotextiles are not included in this study. Markets include construction, transportation infrastructure, landfills, liquid containment, and such others as mining and secondary containment. Historical data for 2002, 2007, and 2012 and forecasts for 2017 and 2022 are provided for demand in million square meters. As used in this study, the term "demand" refers to sales or apparent consumption and denotes production from a nation's indigenous geosynthetic manufacturing facilities plus imports, less exports. Tabular details may not add to totals due to independent rounding. Ratios may be rounded for the sake of clarity. A wide variety of primary and secondary sources were used in the compilation of this report.
These include national and regional statistical agencies, industry experts, trade associations, online databases and other Freedonia studies. The US Census Bureau, European Union, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), United Nations, World Bank and various national government statistical publications were among the public sector data sources utilized. Primary information was gathered through consultations with personnel of participating companies. Secondary data and background information were obtained from various publications, including Civil Engineering, ENR/Engineering News-Record, Erosion Control, Geosynthetics, Roads & Bridges, TextileWorld, Waste Management World, and World Highways, among others.
Macroeconomic and demographic indicators presented in this study were obtained from The Freedonia Group Consensus Forecasts dated June 2013. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) historical data are derived from the national income and products accounts from the Organisation for Economic Co- Operation and Development (OECD) for its member countries, from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) for its member countries, and from the International Monetary Fund for its member countries that are not part of the OECD or EBRD. Sources of GDP estimates for other countries are based on information from the World Bank and a variety of sources including the countries' statistical bureaus. GDP forecasts are developed from a consensus of public agencies and private firms. All estimates of gross domestic product and components of GDP are done in terms of constant purchasing power parity in a benchmark year (2011) that is one year before the base year (2012) used in this study. Purchasing power parity GDP estimates for the benchmark year are obtained from the OECD; Eurostat; the World Bank; the International Monetary Fund; the US Central Intelligence Agency; and selected other sources.
These purchasing power parity GDP estimates for the benchmark year are based on gross domestic product data expressed in the individual countries' local currency, which are then converted to US dollars by valuing each country's output at US prices in the benchmark year. This approach values the same physical output at a consistent price for all countries, thereby reducing the distorting influence of different price levels in the different countries. The alternative approach of using exchange rates to convert local currency GDP to US dollars would tend to overvalue the output of countries with high average price levels and undervalue the output of countries with low average price levels, because exchange rate conversions only partially reflect the relative prices for goods and services that are domestically consumed and invested. Furthermore, factors other than relative prices -- such as demand and supply in currency markets, interest rates, and capital flows -- affect exchange rates. Once the GDP values for a country are estimated for the benchmark year, we then calculate inflation-adjusted GDP for all other years for that country based on historical and forecast growth rates of GDP expressed in inflationadjusted units of that country's local currency. This approach ensures that the GDP series for any given country is an accurate index of changes in inflationadjusted GDP for that country.
However, it also implicitly assumes that the price structures across countries do not change from those of the benchmark year. Therefore, caution should be used in comparing the relative GDP of countries in years other than the benchmark year. If the ratio of prices across two countries in a given year differs from the ratio of prices across those countries in the benchmark year, then the change in the relative sizes of those two economies as measured will not accurately reflect changes in output. The benchmark year is chosen to be one year prior to the base year for the study for reasons of data availability. One benefit of that choice is that the ratio of prices across countries in the base year is usually similar to that in the benchmark year. Therefore, the ratio of real GDP between two countries in the base year of 2012 is generally a reasonably accurate representation of the relative sizes of their economies.
World demand to rise nearly 9% annually through 2017
Worldwide demand for geosynthetics is expected to rise nearly nine percent per year to 5.3 billion square meters in 2017. Advances will benefit from improved spending on the construction of structures and roads. Additional growth will be driven by increased market penetration, stimulated by growing concerns regarding environmental protection and greater awareness of the performance advantages of these products in a variety of applications. Concerns about the leaching of hazardous material into soil and groundwater at landfill, mining, and oil and gas sites, as well as interest in limiting erosion and reducing roadway maintenance, will also promote geosynthetics use throughout the world.
Construction to be fastest growing market
The construction market accounted for approximately one-third of workdwide geosynthetics sales in 2012. In addition to being the largest, this market is projected to register the fastest gains through 2017. Growth was aided by continued expansion in building construction activity worldwide and improved spending in developed areas as the global recession of 2009 and subsequent slow recovery limited the market in the 2007-2012 period. Use of geosynthetics will rise as a means of preventing sedimentary runoff from construction sites, as well as reducing the need for other erosion controls in a growing list of countries. The transportation infrastructure market will provide opportunities for a number of geosynthetics, benefiting from the maintenance of the existing extensive roadway networks in developed countries. Rising market penetration and the ongoing extension of paved roads and railways will boost sales in developing countries. Gains in the landfill market will benefit from a growing number of countries adopting modern landfill design and operations that typically incorporate geosynthetic liners and caps.
China to claim about half of all new global demand
Market advances in the large Asia/Pacific region will be propelled by the rapidly developing Chinese market, which will account for roughly three-fourths of the regional sales in 2017 and about half of additional global volume demand through 2017. China's vast stretches of available land, its ongoing development of largescale infrastructure projects, and its need for erosion control will provide opportunities for geosynthetics going forward. Similar to China, India is also expected to post double-digit growth through 2017, although from a much smaller base. However, in many of the least developed countries, growth for geosynthetics will be more limited due to inadequate funding, a lack of regulations that require their use, and the presence of lower-cost alternatives such as natural fiber geotextiles and rock.
Key US market to provide significant opportunities
The US is the world's largest national geosynthetics market, accounting for over a fifth of worldwide demand in 2012. The enormity of the US market reflects the immense size and advanced nature of the country's economy. In addition to having a huge construction sector and an extensive transportation infrastructure, the US has relatively strict environmental control regulations regarding containment issues, all of which will continue to provide significant opportunities for geosynthetics through 2017.
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