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Allstate Reports Strong First Quarter 2012 Earnings


News provided by

The Allstate Corporation

May 02, 2012, 04:05 ET

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NORTHBROOK, Ill., May 2, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported financial results for the first quarter of 2012:

The Allstate Corporation Consolidated Highlights


Three months ended

March 31,

($ in millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

2012

2011 (1)

%

Change



(As Adjusted)


Consolidated revenues

$ 8,362

$ 8,095

3.3

Net income

766

524

46.2

Net income per diluted share

1.53

0.98

56.1

Operating income*

710

494

43.7

Operating income per diluted share*

1.42

0.93

52.7

Book value per share

38.57

35.72

8.0

Book value per share, excluding the impact of

 unrealized net capital gains and losses on

 fixed income securities*

35.31

34.46

2.5

Catastrophe losses

259

333

(22.2)

Property-Liability combined ratio

92.1

94.9

(2.8) pts 

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the

 effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve

 reestimates, business combination expenses

 and the amortization of purchased intangible

 assets ("underlying combined ratio")*

88.1

89.9

(1.8) pts



* 

Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("non-GAAP") are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the "Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures" section of this document.

(1)

Allstate adopted new deferred acquisition costs "DAC" accounting guidance on a retrospective basis as of January 1, 2012.  Accordingly, all prior period balances have been adjusted.  The DAC and shareholders' equity balances were reduced by $572 million and $376 million, respectively, when compared to the previously reported December 31, 2011 balances.

"Our focus on improving returns while executing a strategy to offer unique products to different customer segments generated strong results in the first quarter," said Thomas J. Wilson, chairman, president and chief executive officer of The Allstate Corporation.  "Maintaining margins in auto insurance and continued implementation of our homeowner profit improvement program resulted in solid returns in our property-casualty business.  Allstate Financial had increased operating and net income reflecting its return improvement program and increased partnership income.  Overall premiums increased reflecting the acquisition of Esurance, higher average homeowners premiums, and growth in emerging businesses.  Partially offsetting was an expected reduction in auto policies in the Allstate Agency channel reflecting profit improvement plans in New York and Florida and the secondary impact of raising homeowner pricing.  Investment returns were also good as higher earnings from limited partnerships and proactive management of the portfolio offset the continuing impact of low interest rates.  As a result, this quarter book value per share increased 6.6%, the dividend was increased by 5% to $.22 per share, and $300 million of common stock was repurchased."

Consolidated Financial Results
Net income for the quarter was $766 million, or $1.53 per diluted share, compared to $524 million, or $0.98 per diluted share in the first quarter 2011.  The increase was due to improvement in operating income and to a lesser extent, realized capital gains.  Operating income was $710 million, or $1.42 per diluted share, compared to $494 million, or $0.93 per diluted share in 2011.  The increase in operating income was primarily due to an improvement in the underlying margin for Allstate brand homeowners and other personal lines, lower catastrophe losses, as well as a benefit from the reclassification of limited partnership income on investments accounted for using the equity method of accounting from realized capital gains to operating income beginning in 2012.

Property-Liability Profitability Increased as Underlying Margin Improved
In the first quarter 2012, Allstate made continued progress on its strategy to improve homeowners returns while maintaining auto margins.  The Property-Liability combined ratio for the quarter was 92.1, a 2.8 point improvement from the prior year quarter.  The underlying Property-Liability combined ratio was 88.1, 1.8 points better than the prior year and within the outlook range of 88 to 91 for the year.

Allstate brand homeowners combined ratio was 80.2 for the first quarter 2012 versus 91.4 for the prior year quarter.  The underlying homeowners combined ratio improved to 67.0 from 74.0 in the first quarter of 2011 due to approved rate increases and a decline in loss costs.  The combined ratio for Allstate brand standard auto was 95.2, 0.2 points higher than the prior year, as the impact of approved rate changes essentially offset the change in loss costs.  The underlying combined ratio for Allstate brand standard auto was comparable to the prior year quarter.  Improvements in emerging businesses also contributed positively to the results in the quarter.

Total Property-Liability premiums written* increased 4% from the first quarter of 2011 to $6.46 billion reflecting the acquisition of Esurance which experienced favorable results for net premiums written and units as expected.  Allstate brand standard auto premiums written declined 1.2% from the prior year, a result anticipated due to actions taken to improve auto profitability in New York and Florida and homeowners returns.  Allstate brand homeowners and other personal lines as well as Encompass contributed to premiums written growth in the quarter. 

Allstate Financial Continues to Successfully Execute Strategy
Allstate Financial results reflect continued progress to improve overall business returns while shifting the focus to underwritten products from spread-based products.  For the first quarter, Allstate Financial generated net income of $112 million, an increase of 9.8% from the prior year.  The improvement reflected an increase in operating income and absence of the loss on wind-down of its banking business in 2011, partially offset by current year realized capital losses compared to prior year realized capital gains. 

Operating income was $150 million versus $113 million in the first quarter 2011.  The increase in operating income included a $60 million ($39 million after-tax) benefit from the classification of equity method limited partnership income as net investment income in 2012.  Our annual study of deferred acquisition cost assumptions ("annual unlock study") has been moved to the third quarter of 2012.  The 2011 annual unlock study resulted in an unfavorable impact to operating income of $7 million (after-tax) in the first quarter of 2011.

Growth in premiums and contract charges on underwritten products for the first quarter 2012 of $18 million was more than offset by a decline in annuities of $34 million.   Consistent with the shift to focus on underwritten products, contractholder funds were reduced by $729 million in the first quarter and $5.2 billion from March 31, 2011.  Allstate Agencies continued to generate strong year-over-year sales growth with a 16% increase in issued life insurance policies compared to the prior year quarter. 

Investment Results Reflect Proactive Management
Allstate continued its proactive management of investment risk and return, delivering solid total returns while focusing on managing yields during this period of historically low interest rates.  Portfolio actions in the first quarter 2012 included optimizing our yield curve position by shifting out of longer-term municipal bonds and shorter-term lower-yielding Treasuries into intermediate investment grade corporate bonds and shifting public equity holdings into high-yield corporate bonds.

Allstate's consolidated investment portfolio totaled $97.0 billion at March 31, 2012 compared to $95.6 billion at December 31, 2011, as solid investment returns and operating cash flow more than offset the expected reduction in Allstate Financial's liabilities.  The pre-tax net unrealized capital gain totaled $3.6 billion at March 31, 2012, compared to $2.9 billion at December 31, 2011, as the impact of tightening credit spreads and strong equity markets was partially offset by rising interest rates and realized gains.

For the first quarter of 2012, net investment income was $1.0 billion and total portfolio yield was 4.6%, both representing increases over the first quarter of 2011 and the prior quarter.  To more closely align the results of our expanding strategies in alternative investments and private asset ownership with the liabilities they support, equity method limited partnership results are being classified as net investment income beginning in 2012.   Excluding the results of these limited partnerships, first quarter 2012 total portfolio yield of 4.3% was comparable to prior year while net investment income was lower, consistent with the expected reduction in Allstate Financial's liabilities. 

Pre-tax net realized capital gains for the first quarter of 2012 were $168 million, compared to $96 million in first quarter 2011.  Realized capital gains in the first quarter of 2012 reflect sales of equity securities and an improving trend in impairment write-downs.

Book Value per Diluted Share Increased 8%; Repurchased $300 Million in Shares
"Managing capital remains a key priority for Allstate.  During the quarter, Allstate repurchased shares worth $300 million, bringing total repurchases to $406 million under the current $1 billion authorization.  Book value per diluted share reached a record $38.57 on strong operating results, improved portfolio values, and an active share repurchase program," said Steve Shebik, Chief Financial Officer.  Book value per diluted share increased 8% from the first quarter 2011 and 6.6% from year-end 2011.

Statutory surplus at March 31, 2012 was an estimated $16.1 billion for our combined insurance operating companies.  Property-Liability surplus was $12.6 billion and Allstate Financial companies accounted for the remainder.  This compares to statutory surplus at December 31, 2011 of $15.6 billion.  During the first quarter, Allstate Insurance Company paid a $450 million cash dividend to the holding company.  Deployable assets at the holding company level totaled $2.7 billion at March 31, 2012.                      

Visit www.allstateinvestors.com to view additional information about Allstate's results, including a webcast of its quarterly conference call and the presentation discussed on the call.  The conference call will be held at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, May 3. 

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the "You're In Good Hands With Allstate®" slogan, Allstate is reinventing protection and retirement to help 16 million households insure what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow. Consumers access Allstate insurance products (auto, home, life and retirement) and services through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, and Allstate exclusive financial representatives in the U.S. and Canada, as well as via www.allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate®.

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS


($ in millions, except per share data)


Three months ended

March 31,



2012


2011



(unaudited)





(As Adjusted)

Revenues





   Property-liability insurance premiums

$

6,630

$

6,448

   Life and annuity premiums and contract charges


553


569

   Net investment income


1,011


982

   Realized capital gains and losses:





Total other-than-temporary impairment losses


(87)


(156)

Portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income


4


(27)

Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized 

    in earnings


(83)


(183)

Sales and other realized capital gains and losses


251


279

Total realized capital gains and losses


168


96








8,362


8,095






Costs and expenses





   Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense


4,339


4,476

   Life and annuity contract benefits


439


454

   Interest credited to contractholder funds


378


418

   Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs


979


984

   Operating costs and expenses


1,017


900

   Restructuring and related charges


6


9

   Interest expense


95


92



7,253


7,333






Gain (loss) on disposition of operations


3


(20)






Income from operations before income tax expense


1,112


742






Income tax expense


346


218






Net income

$

766

$

524






Earnings per share:










Net income per share - Basic

$

1.54

$

0.99






Weighted average shares - Basic


498.7


531.0






Net income per share - Diluted

$

1.53

$

0.98






Weighted average shares - Diluted


501.5


533.6






Cash dividends declared per share

$

0.22

$

0.21



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

SEGMENT RESULTS

($ in millions, except ratios)


Three months ended



March 31,




2012


2011






Property-Liability





  Premiums written

$

6,463

$

6,215







  Premiums earned

$

6,630

$

6,448

  Claims and claims expense


(4,339)


(4,476)

  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs


(878)


(864)

  Operating costs and expenses


(884)


(769)

  Restructuring and related charges


(6)


(11)

     Underwriting income


523


328

  Net investment income


313


284

  Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments


(1)


(4)

Business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased





 intangible assets


47


--

  Income tax expense on operations


(281)


(181)

     Operating income


601


427







  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax


124


38

  Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge 





     derivative instruments, after-tax


1


3

Business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased





   intangible assets, after-tax


(31)


--

     Net income

$

695

$

468

  Catastrophe losses

$

259

$

333

  Operating ratios:





     Claims and claims expense ratio


65.4


69.4

     Expense ratio


26.7


25.5

     Combined ratio


92.1


94.9

     Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio


3.9


5.2

     Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio


(3.1)


(0.7)

     Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates





        on combined ratio


(2.5)


(0.5)

     Effect of business combination expenses and the amortization of





        purchased intangible assets on combined ratio


0.7


--

     Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio


--


0.1

Allstate Financial





  Investments

$

57,620

$

60,484

  Premiums and contract charges

$

553

$

569

  Net investment income


687


684

  Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments


15


17

  Contract benefits


(439)


(454)

  Interest credited to contractholder funds


(368)


(425)

  Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs


(86)


(95)

  Operating costs and expenses


(142)


(132)

  Restructuring and related charges


--


2

  Income tax expense on operations


(70)


(53)

     Operating income


150


113







  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax


(14)


25

  Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax


(6)


8

  DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and





     losses and valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not





     hedged, after-tax


(10)


(22)

  DAC and DSI unlocking relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax


--


3

  Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge 





     derivative instruments, after-tax


(10)


(12)

  Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax


2


(13)

     Net income

$

112

$

102

Corporate and Other





  Net investment income

$

11

$

14

  Operating costs and expenses


(86)


(91)

  Income tax benefit on operations


34


31

     Operating loss


(41)


(46)

  Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax


--


--

     Net loss

$

(41)

$

(46)

Consolidated net income

$

766

$

524



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

($ in millions, except par value data) 


March 31,


December 31,



2012


2011

Assets


(unaudited)





(As Adjusted)

Investments:





     Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $74,060 and $73,379)

$

77,223

$

76,113

     Equity securities, at fair value (cost $3,430 and $4,203)


3,847


4,363

     Mortgage loans


7,167


7,139

     Limited partnership interests


4,637


4,697

Short‑term, at fair value (amortized cost $1,886 and $1,291)


1,886


1,291

     Other


2,249


2,015

          Total investments


97,009


95,618

Cash


577


776

Premium installment receivables, net


4,908


4,920

Deferred policy acquisition costs


3,716


3,871

Reinsurance recoverables, net


7,118


7,251

Accrued investment income


846


826

Deferred income taxes


201


722

Property and equipment, net


912


914

Goodwill


1,242


1,242

Other assets


2,049


2,069

Separate Accounts


7,355


6,984

              Total assets

$

125,933

$

125,193

Liabilities





Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

$

20,283

$

20,375

Reserve for life‑contingent contract benefits


14,296


14,406

Contractholder funds


41,603


42,332

Unearned premiums


9,888


10,057

Claim payments outstanding


750


827

Other liabilities and accrued expenses


6,490


5,978

Long-term debt


6,058


5,908

Separate Accounts


7,355


6,984

              Total liabilities


106,723


106,867






Equity





Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued


--


--

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million

 issued, 493 million and 501 million shares outstanding


9


9

Additional capital paid‑in


3,151


3,189

Retained income


32,565


31,909

Deferred ESOP expense


(41)


(43)

Treasury stock, at cost (407 million and 399 million shares)


(17,034)


(16,795)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:





Unrealized net capital gains and losses:





Unrealized net capital losses on fixed income securities with OTTI


(100)


(174)

Other unrealized net capital gains and losses


2,412


2,041

Unrealized adjustment to DAC, DSI and insurance reserves


(438)


(467)

      Total unrealized net capital gains and losses


1,874


1,400

     Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments


65


56

     Unrecognized pension and other postretirement benefit cost


(1,407)


(1,427)

              Total accumulated other comprehensive income


532


29

              Total shareholders' equity


19,182


18,298

Noncontrolling interest


28


28

              Total equity


19,210


18,326

              Total liabilities and equity

$

125,933

$

125,193



THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

($ in millions)


Three months ended

March 31,



2012


2011

Cash flows from operating activities


(unaudited)




(As Adjusted)

Net income 

$

766

$

524

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:





Depreciation, amortization and other non-cash items


96


31

Realized capital gains and losses


(168)


(96)

(Gain) loss on disposition of operations


(3)


20

Interest credited to contractholder funds


378


418

Changes in:





Policy benefits and other insurance reserves


(346)


(58)

Unearned premiums


(180)


(248)

Deferred policy acquisition costs


52


67

Premium installment receivables, net


19


3

Reinsurance recoverables, net


57


(117)

Income taxes 


333


203

Other operating assets and liabilities


(197)


(21)

Net cash provided by operating activities


807


726

Cash flows from investing activities





Proceeds from sales





     Fixed income securities


5,689


8,363

     Equity securities


1,059


642

     Limited partnership interests


403


113

     Mortgage loans


6


26

     Other investments


36


63

Investment collections





Fixed income securities


966


1,201

Mortgage loans


170


88

Other investments


23


77

Investment purchases





Fixed income securities


(7,008)


(10,207)

Equity securities


(128)


(144)

Limited partnership interests


(318)


(334)

Mortgage loans


(216)


(26)

Other investments


(163)


(58)

Change in short-term investments, net


(379)


1,649

Change in other investments, net


(9)


(119)

Purchases of property and equipment, net


(51)


(48)

Disposition of operations


(1)


(1)

Net cash provided by investing activities


79


1,285

Cash flows from financing activities





Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt


493


--

Repayment of long-term debt


(350)


--

Contractholder fund deposits


485


596

Contractholder fund withdrawals


(1,299)


(2,122)

Dividends paid


(106)


(107)

Treasury stock purchases


(309)


(305)

Shares reissued under equity incentive plans, net


15


9

Excess tax benefits on share-based payment arrangements


(1)


(3)

Other


(13)


--

Net cash used in financing activities


(1,085)


(1,932)

Net (decrease) increase in cash


(199)


79

Cash at beginning of period


776


562

Cash at end of period

$

577

$

641







Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures
We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP and operating financial measures.  Our methods for calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income (loss) is net income (loss), excluding:

  • realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income (loss),
  • valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,
  • amortization of DAC and deferred sales inducements (DSI), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses or valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax
  • business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax,
  • gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and 
  • adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years. 

Net income (loss) is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income (loss).

We use operating income (loss) as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations.  We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the company's ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items.  Realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged and gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn additional income, operating income (loss) includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes.  These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income (loss), we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments.  Business combination expenses are excluded because they are non-recurring in nature and the amortization of purchased intangible assets is excluded because it relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends.  Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.  Accordingly, operating income (loss) excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business.  A byproduct of excluding these items to determine operating income (loss) is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods.  Operating income (loss) is used by management along with the other components of net income (loss) to assess our performance.  We use adjusted measures of operating income (loss) and operating income (loss) per diluted share in incentive compensation.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income (loss), operating income (loss) and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance.  We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income (loss) results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's performance.  We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income (loss) as the denominator.  Operating income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss) and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income.

($ in millions, except per share data)


For the three months ended March 31,



Property-Liability


Allstate Financial


Consolidated


Per diluted share



2012


2011


2012


2011


2012


2011


2012


2011

Operating income

$

601

$

427

$

150

$

113

$

710

$

494

$

1.42

$

0.93

Realized capital gains and losses


189


57


(21)


39


168


96





Income tax (expense) benefit


(65)


(19)


7


(14)


(58)


(33)





Realized capital gains and losses,

   after-tax


124


38


(14)


25


110


63


0.22


0.12

Valuation changes on embedded

   derivatives that are not hedged,

   after-tax


--


--


(6)


8


(6)


8


(0.01)


0.02

DAC and DSI amortization relating to

   realized capital gains and losses and

   valuation changes on embedded

   derivatives that are not hedged,

   after-tax


--


--


(10)


(22)


(10)


(22)


(0.02)


(0.04)

DAC and DSI unlocking relating to

   realized capital gains and losses, 

   after-tax


--


--


--


3


--


3


--


--

Reclassification of periodic settlements

   and accruals on non-hedge derivative

   instruments, after-tax


1


3


(10)


(12)


(9)


(9)


(0.02)


(0.02)

Business combination expenses and the

   amortization of purchased intangible

   assets, after-tax


(31)


--


--


--


(31)


--


(0.06)


--

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations,

  after-tax


--


--


2


(13)


2


(13)


--


(0.03)

Net income

$

695

$

468

$

112

$

102

$

766

$

524

$

1.53

$

0.98

Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP.  Management uses this measure in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results.  It is also an integral component of incentive compensation.  It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance.   Net income (loss) is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss) and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income (loss) to net income (loss) is provided in the "Segment Results" page.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates, business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets ("underlying combined ratio") is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between four GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio, the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio, the effect of business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets on the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, prior year reserve reestimates, business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets.  Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves.  Business combination expenses and the amortization of purchased intangible assets primarily relate to the acquisition purchase price and are not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends.   We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the underlying combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  The underlying combined ratio should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business. 

A reconciliation of the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio to the Property-Liability combined ratio is provided in the following table.


Three months ended

March 31,


2012


2011

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year

   reserve reestimates, business combination expenses and

   the amortization of purchased intangible assets ("underlying

   combined ratio")

88.1


89.9

Effect of catastrophe losses

3.9


5.2

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.6)


(0.2)

Effect of business combination expense and the amortization of

   purchased intangible assets

0.7


--

Combined ratio

92.1


94.9





Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(2.5)


(0.5)

Underwriting margin is calculated as 100% minus the combined ratio.

The Property-Liability underlying combined ratio by brand is provided in the following table.


Three months ended

March 31,


2012


2011

Allstate brand

87.0


89.7

Encompass brand

96.6


93.1

Esurance brand

109.1


--

In this news release, we provide our outlook range on the Property-Liability 2012 underlying combined ratio.  A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes.  Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

A reconciliation of the Allstate brand standard auto underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand standard auto combined ratio is provided in the following table.


Three months ended

March 31,


2012


2011

Underlying combined ratio

94.9


94.8

Effect of catastrophe losses

1.2


0.5

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.9)


(0.3)

Combined ratio

95.2


95.0





Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.3)


(0.1)

A reconciliation of the Allstate brand homeowners underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand homeowners combined ratio is provided in the following table.


Three months ended

March 31,


2012


2011

Underlying combined ratio

67.0


74.0

Effect of catastrophe losses

12.6


17.7

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

0.6


(0.3)

Combined ratio

80.2


91.4





Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(8.5)


(2.4)

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure.  It is calculated by dividing shareholders' equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC, DSI and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding.  We use the trend in book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods.  We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers.  We note that book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique.  Book value per share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be considered as a substitute for book value per share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

($ in millions, except per share data)


As of March 31,



2012


2011

Book value per share





Numerator:





  Shareholders' equity

$

19,182

$

18,898

Denominator:





 Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares

        outstanding


497.3


529.0

Book value per share

$

38.57

$

35.72






Book value per share, excluding the impact of

   unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed

   income securities





Numerator:





  Shareholders' equity

$

19,182

$

18,898

  Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income

        securities


1,620


671

Adjusted shareholders' equity

$

17,562

$

18,227

Denominator:





Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares

      outstanding


497.3


529.0

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized

   net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

$

35.31

$

34.46

Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period.  Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.  Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period.  The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.  A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

($ in millions)


Three months ended

March 31,



2012


2011

Property-Liability premiums written

$

6,463

$

6,215

Decrease in unearned premiums


167


234

Other


--


(1)

Property-Liability premiums earned

$

6,630

$

6,448

Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
This news release contains forward-looking statements about our outlook for the Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates, business combination expenses, and the amortization of purchased intangible assets for 2012 and returns on equity.  These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management's estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on the risk factors described below.

  • Premiums written and premiums earned, the denominator of the underlying combined ratio, may be materially less than projected.  Policyholder attrition may be greater than anticipated resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.
  • Returns on equity may be materially less than projected and adversely affected by our inability to obtain regulatory approval for rate changes that may be required to achieve targeted levels of profitability.
  • Unanticipated increases in the severity or frequency of standard auto insurance claims may adversely affect our underwriting results.  Changes in the severity or frequency of claims may affect the profitability of our Allstate Protection segment.  Changes in bodily injury claim severity are driven primarily by inflation in the medical sector of the economy and litigation.  Changes in auto physical damage claim severity are driven primarily by inflation in auto repair costs, auto parts prices and used car prices.  The short-term level of claim frequency we experience may vary from period to period and may not be sustainable over the longer term.  A decline in gas prices, increase in miles driven, and higher unemployment are examples of factors leading to a short-term frequency change.  A significant long-term increase in claim frequency could have an adverse effect on our underwriting results.

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements.  This news release contains unaudited financial information.

SOURCE The Allstate Corporation

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