Comerica Bank's Michigan Index Continues to Level Out

Jan 05, 2016, 11:45 ET from Comerica Bank

DALLAS, Jan. 5, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Comerica Bank's Michigan Economic Activity Index improved marginally in October, increasing to a level of 127.3. October's reading is 53 points, or 72 percent, above the index cyclical low of 74.1. The index averaged 117.4 points for all of 2014, three and three-tenths points above the index average for 2013. September's index reading was 127.1.

"Our Michigan Economic Activity Index increased slightly in October after showing no change through August and September. Four index components were positive for the month including unemployment insurance claims (inverted), housing starts, state sales tax and hotel occupancy. State exports, house price index, and auto production were negative factors, and payroll employment was unchanged. Auto production has ramped up significantly since the bleak days of 2009, supporting gains in our Michigan index. However, going forward we expect auto production to plateau and then gradually decline, reflecting very strong auto sales through late 2015 that will most likely ease by 2017, if not sooner," said Robert Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. "The U.S. manufacturing sector generally is facing headwinds with soft global demand, the strong dollar and the weak energy sector."

The Michigan Economic Activity Index consists of eight variables, as follows: nonfarm payrolls, exports, hotel occupancy rates, continuing claims for unemployment insurance, housing starts, sales tax revenues, home prices, and auto production. All data are seasonally adjusted, and indexed to a base year of 2008. Nominal values have been converted to constant dollar values. Index levels are expressed in terms of three-month moving averages.

Comerica Bank, with 214 banking centers in Michigan, is a subsidiary of Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA), a financial services company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and strategically aligned by three business segments: The Business Bank, The Retail Bank, and Wealth Management. Comerica focuses on relationships, and helping people and businesses be successful. In addition to Michigan and Texas, Comerica Bank locations can be found in Arizona, California, and Florida, with select businesses operating in several other states, as well as in Canada and Mexico. To find Comerica on Facebook, please visit

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SOURCE Comerica Bank