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May 2012 New Car Sales Expected to Be Highest May Since 2007 According to TrueCar.com

May 2012 SAAR Estimated at 14.5M; Volkswagen Sales Highest Ever; Toyota Sales Highest Since August 2009

TrueCar Logo. (PRNewsFoto/TrueCar.com) (PRNewsFoto/)

News provided by

TrueCar.com

May 24, 2012, 02:48 ET

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SANTA MONICA, Calif., May 24, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- TrueCar.com, the authority on new car pricing, trends and forecasting, today released its May 2012 sales and incentives forecast.  The forecast shows the following:

(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20110118/LA31413LOGO)

  • For May 2012, new light vehicle sales in the U.S. (including fleet) is expected to be 1,400,665 units, up 32 percent from May 2011 and up 18.3 percent from April 2012 (on an unadjusted basis)
  • The May 2012 forecast translates into a Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) of 14.5 million new car sales, up from 11.7 million in May 2011 and flat from 14.5 million in April 2012
  • Retail sales are up 29.4 percent compared to May 2011 and up 21.1 percent from April 2012
  • Fleet and rental sales are expected to make up 21.0 percent of total industry sales in May 2012
  • The industry average incentive spending per unit will be approximately $2,392 in May 2012, which represents an increase of 4.0 percent from May 2011 and decrease of 2.0 percent from April 2012
  • Used car sales* are estimated to be 4,387,554, up 6.3 percent from May 2011 and up 15.7 percent from April 2012.  The ratio of new to used is estimated to be 1:3 for May 2012

"Pent up demand continues to fuel auto sales at a steady and sustainable level in May" said Jesse Toprak, Vice President of Market Intelligence for TrueCar.com. "All major manufacturers will see double digit growth this month; Toyota's recovery stemming from the natural disasters has happened at a breakneck pace and sales this month for Toyota will be the highest we have seen in a few years led by strong sales of the Camry and Prius along with strong sales from GM, which will be the highest since September 2008.

Forecasts for the top eight manufacturers for May 2012:

Unit Sales

Manufacturer

May 2012 Forecast

% Change vs. April 2012

% Change vs. May 2011

Chrysler

153,309

8.6%

32.9%

Ford

211,689

17.8%

10.5%

GM

258,072

20.9%

16.7%

Honda

146,305

19.9%

61.2%

Hyundai/Kia

130,949

19.2%

21.9%

Nissan

104,312

46.2%

37.0%

Toyota

206,808

16.2%

90.8%

Volkswagen

53,356

8.8%

31.6%

Industry

1,400,665

18.3%

32.0%

Market Share

Manufacturer

May 2012 Forecast

Apr-12

May-11

Chrysler

10.9%

11.9%

10.9%

Ford

15.1%

15.2%

18.1%

GM

18.4%

18.0%

20.9%

Honda

10.4%

10.3%

8.6%

Hyundai/Kia

9.3%

9.3%

10.1%

Nissan

7.4%

6.0%

7.2%

Toyota

14.8%

15.0%

10.2%

Volkswagen

3.8%

4.1%

3.8%

Incentive Spending

Manufacturer

May 2012

Incentives

% Change vs. April 2012

% Change vs. May 2011

Total Spending

Chrysler

$3,104

-3.4%

5.0%

$475,910,309

Ford

$2,637

7.1%

8.4%

$558,279,288

GM

$2,973

-6.0%

-3.6%

$767,331,629

Honda

$2,281

-8.2%

50.8%

$333,731,752

Hyundai/Kia

$1,201

-4.9%

-20.5%

$157,315,638

Nissan

$2,474

1.5%

10.1%

$258,093,982

Toyota

$1,685

-0.7%

22.2%

$348,472,382

Volkswagen

$2,438

-3.5%

20.7%

$130,087,770

Industry

$2,392

-2.0%

4.0%

$3,350,645,891

"Strong products from all automakers are driving sales as automakers continue to maintain or reduce incentive levels," said Kristen Andersson, Senior Analyst at TrueCar.com. "Volkswagen should have their best sales ever in the month of May with strong sales of the redesigned Passat and Jetta."

TrueCar.com also projects sales down to the brand level, which can be viewed in its entirety at the Truth Blog on TrueCar.com.  Brand level incentive spending forecasts are available upon request.

TrueCar.com bases its forecast on actual transaction data.  The transaction data based forecast is refined by other current and historical factors that impact vehicle sales, including:  sales, inventory, incentives, fuel prices, and macro economic data (major stock market indexes, consumer confidence, new home starts, and CPI).  TrueCar.com does not adjust for selling days in year-over-year percentage change calculations.

*Used car sales figures include sales from franchise dealerships, independent dealerships and private party sales

About TrueCar, Inc.

TrueCar, Inc. is an automotive solutions provider focused on changing how cars are sold by providing a significantly better customer experience while helping qualified dealer partners to gain incremental market share and reduce costs.  TrueCar is a visual publisher of new car transaction data.  TrueCar price reports help both dealers and consumers to agree on the parameters of a fair deal by providing an accurate, comprehensive and simple understanding of what others actually paid recently for an identically-equipped vehicle both locally and nationally.  TrueCar works with a national network of dealers that provide a no-hassle car buying experience, and in many cases a highly competitive upfront price, to assist some of the nation's largest and most well respected membership and service organizations to meet the auto buying needs of their members and customers.  TrueCar is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA and has offices in San Francisco, CA and Austin, TX.  With 131 percent annual growth since 2006, TrueCar has connected hundreds of thousands of consumers with dealers nationwide resulting in the sale of over 400,000 vehicles and is developing a suite of products and services centered on radical clarity through the comprehensive analysis of market data and information.

You can follow TrueCar on Twitter and become a fan of TrueCar on Facebook. 

Disclaimer

This press release and the information contained herein is for noncommercial use on "as-is, as available" basis and may be used for informational purposes only.  TrueCar makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, with respect to the information contained in this press release and the results of the use of such information, including but not limited to implied warranty of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement.  The information contained in this press release may include technical inaccuracies or typographical errors.  Neither TrueCar nor any of its parents, subsidiaries, affiliates or respective partners, officers, or directors, employees or agents shall be held liable for any damages, whether direct, incidental, indirect, special or consequential, including without limitation lost revenues or lost profits, arising from or in connection with your use or reliance on the information presented in this press release.

Available Topic Expert(s): For information on the listed expert(s), click appropriate link.
Jesse Toprak
https://profnet.prnewswire.com/Subscriber/ExpertProfile.aspx?ei=94534

SOURCE TrueCar.com

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