The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for France Declines

Jul 20, 2012, 04:00 ET from The Conference Board

BRUSSELS, July 20, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for France declined 0.2 percent in May to 113.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent decline in April, and a 0.4 percent increase in March.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for France, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.1 percent in May to 104.7 (2004 = 100), following no change in April, and a 0.1 percent increase in March.

The Conference Board LEI for France fell slightly again in May after gains in March and February. However, its six-month growth rate is still in positive territory. At the same time, The Conference Board CEI has been mostly flat during the last twelve months. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite economic indexes suggests that economic growth in France may continue in the near term, but it is unlikely to pick up.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for France
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for France include:

Yield Spread, 10 year minus Day-Day Loan
Stock Price SBF 250 Index
Building Permits, residential
New Unemployment Claims
Industrial New Orders
Production Expectations
Ratio Deflator of Manufacturing Value Added to Unit Labor Cost

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=3

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Indexes


2012

6-month


Mar

Apr

May

Nov to May






Leading Economic Index (LEI)

113.8 p

113.6 p

113.4 p


 Percent Change

    0.4 p

   -0.2 p

   -0.2 p

    0.9 p

 Diffusion

64.3

35.7

21.4

28.6






Coincident Economic Index (CEI)

104.6 p

104.6 p

104.7 p


 Percent Change

    0.1 p

    0.0 p

    0.1 p

    0.2 p

 Diffusion

62.5

62.5

62.5

50.0






n.a. Not available    p Preliminary    r Revised





Indexes equal 100 in 2004





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