Bank of America Outlook Sees Renewed Opportunity Across Commercial Real Estate, Farmland, Timberland and Energy

Key findings

• Real assets remain an important diversification tool in uncertain markets.
• Improving fundamentals are reshaping opportunities in commercial real estate and land.
• Rising power demand driven by AI is changing the energy investment landscape.

CHARLOTTE, N.C., May 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Bank of America today released its 2026 Specialty Asset Management Outlook, highlighting investment opportunities across commercial real estate (CRE), farmland, timberland, and energy. As capital markets reopen and short‑term borrowing costs decline, the report reveals a more constructive investment environment for real-asset investors in 2026 and beyond.

"In uncertain markets, real assets can serve as a powerful diversifier for ultra-high-net-worth individuals and institutions," said Ken Shepard, Head of Specialty Asset Management at Bank of America. "Real assets' historically low correlation to traditional assets and potential inflation‑hedging characteristics can dampen the effects of volatility over the long term while helping provide differentiated returns."

CRE turns the corner with improving fundamentals and emerging capital market rebound
After a significant interest-rate driven reset that began in 2022, CRE appears to be turning the corner, with values at or nearing an inflection point. Vacancies have largely peaked, new forward supply is muted, and negative appreciation returns have faded, approaching positive territory as transaction activity picks up and more capital enters in the market. Fundamentals are poised to continue improving, supported by secular demand trends (industrial, apartments, medical) and cyclical trends (retail and apartments). Together, these dynamics position CRE as an increasingly attractive entry point for long‑term investors.

Farmland recalibrates with opportunities in select markets
Farmland markets are entering a recalibration phase following several years of strong appreciation. While excess commodity supply and trade and interest‑rate uncertainty continue to weigh on near‑term conditions, their impact has eased compared with a year ago, reinforcing farmland's durable long‑term role in diversified portfolios. Its inflation‑resistant profile and stable income potential continue to attract investors, with value opportunities emerging in markets such as California, where climate conditions in the Central Valley support permanent crops, and the Northern Plains, driven by strong livestock markets.

Timberland supported by improving housing demand
Elevated construction and borrowing costs weighed on U.S. housing in 2025 and put short‑term pressure on lumber prices. Despite these headwinds, long‑term timberland fundamentals remained stable, and the U.S. South continued to attract significant sawmill and bioenergy investment. Improving housing demand and increased timber consumption are expected to drive long‑term timberland value appreciation. Looking ahead, disciplined market monitoring and proactive asset management, rather than simply a buy‑and‑hold approach, can help investors capture emerging opportunities in the sector.

Energy markets shift as AI drives power demand
In 2026, demand is rising for reliable electricity as artificial intelligence, data centers, and broader electrification accelerate and place increasing strain on aging power grids. Oil markets continue to introduce uncertainty amid geopolitical risks, evolving supply dynamics, and changing energy security priorities. Meanwhile, natural gas will continue to play a growing role in meeting energy needs. The balance between fuel abundance and power scarcity will be a defining theme for investors.

Read Bank of America's full 2026 Specialty Asset Management Outlook.

Frequently asked questions

Question: What is Bank of America's Specialty Asset Management group?
Answer: Bank of America's Specialty Asset Management (SAM) group helps clients integrate real assets into their broader wealth management plans through a disciplined, long‑term approach. Backed by decades of hands-on expertise, the team provides investment guidance, oversight, and stewardship for a range of specialty assets, including commercial real estate, farmland, timberland, energy and mineral interests, and private businesses. The SAM team works with advisors and their clients who already own real assets or are considering acquiring them. Today, the team manages client assets with a total asset value of over $13 billion.

Question: How are specialty assets different from traditional investments?
Answer: Specialty assets often involve operating considerations, unique risk profiles, and longer holding periods than traditional financial assets. They require active oversight and specialized expertise, particularly around liquidity needs, valuation, and operations. Importantly, these assets often behave differently from traditional stocks and bonds, which can make them a non‑correlated option within a broader, diversified portfolio. For many ultra‑high‑net‑worth families and institutions, specialty assets also represent holdings tied to legacy, making thoughtful management and oversight especially important.

Question: How does the Specialty Asset Management group support clients across market cycles?
Answer: For ultra‑high‑net‑worth clients and institutions, specialty assets often carry both significant financial value and long‑term legacy considerations. The SAM group supports clients across market cycles by providing consistent governance and oversight, with a focus on risk management, cash‑flow sustainability, and long‑term asset stewardship. This includes monitoring market developments, overseeing third‑party operators and advisors, and helping ensure specialty assets remain aligned with clients' broader objectives as markets, regulations, and legacy goals evolve over time.

Bank of America
Bank of America is one of the world's leading financial institutions, serving individual consumers, small and middle-market businesses and large corporations with a full range of banking, investing, asset management and other financial and risk management products and services. The company provides unmatched convenience in the United States, serving nearly 70 million clients with approximately 3,500 retail financial centers, approximately 15,000 ATMs (automated teller machines) and award-winning digital banking with approximately 59 million verified digital users. Bank of America is a global leader in wealth management, corporate and investment banking and trading across a broad range of asset classes, serving corporations, governments, institutions and individuals around the world. As the #1 small business lender in the United States (FDIC), Bank of America offers industry leading support to approximately 4 million small business households through a suite of innovative, easy-to-use online products and services. The company serves clients through operations across the United States, its territories and more than 35 countries. Bank of America Corporation stock (NYSE: BAC) is listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

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Reporters may contact

Carolyn Batt, Bank of America
Phone: 1.646.983.1369
[email protected]

MAP #8927124

Important disclosures

Investing involves risk. There is always the potential of losing money when you invest in securities or real assets. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Asset allocation, rebalancing and diversification do not guarantee against risk in broadly declining markets.

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SOURCE Bank of America Corporation