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Invesco Fixed Income Research Reveals Implicit and Explicit Factor Exposures are Key Drivers of Excess Returns

Sample of largest US asset managers finds factor exposures help explain 66% of excess return variations

Invesco Ltd. logo. (PRNewsFoto/Invesco, Chris Wilson)

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Invesco Ltd.

May 07, 2019, 11:00 ET

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ATLANTA, May 7, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco, a leading asset manager with over 30 years of expertise in factor investing, today released findings from a new study "Active bond returns – powered by factors," the first in a series of papers designed to help investors better understand the implications of factor investing in fixed income. The study applies factor strategies to numerous fixed income vehicles and found that, even when a bond strategy is not explicitly labeled a factor strategy, its factor exposures are key drivers of active performance.

"We found that factors may be responsible for many active fixed income managers' performance over the last decade, and that many may be leveraging factors without even knowing it," said Rob Waldner, Chief Strategist and Head of Multi-Sector Portfolio Management, Invesco Fixed Income. "Factor-based strategies mark a permanent shift in how assets are managed and offer potentially significant benefits for those investors who understand and manage factor exposures in their portfolios."

Investment factors are directly observable characteristics of securities, which can be used as part of an investment strategy to help investors achieve particular outcomes. Fixed income factors include:

  • the value factor, which identifies bonds priced lower than their peers, and which Invesco Fixed Income believes often helps to explain the excess returns referenced in the study;
  • the carry factor, which explains risk-adjusted excess returns from holding higher-yielding bonds;
  • the liquidity factor, which explains risk-adjusted excess returns from holding less liquid bonds;
  • and the quality factor, which explains risk-adjusted excess returns from holding low-volatility bonds.

The analysis sampled 65 of the largest US fixed income managers in the Lipper Core Plus peer group over the period of January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2018. The analysis regressed factor returns against active returns for each fund in the manager's universe, considering the value, carry, liquidity and quality factors above.

"We observed that the median manager had materially positive exposure to carry, liquidity and value, and that the majority of bond managers were able to beat their benchmarks, at least partially, by holding older, smaller issue size bonds with lower ratings and longer maturities compared to the benchmark average," said Jay Raol, Director of Quantitative Research, Invesco Fixed Income. "To a lesser extent, managers held securities that were cheap relative to their sector and rating peers. On average, the data revealed that factor exposures explained 66% of bond managers' excess returns."

Given portfolios' inherent factor exposures, Invesco Fixed Income believes managers should explicitly identify these exposures and, where appropriate, adjust them to better align a portfolio's risk profile with the return objectives. A factor framework can thus add value alongside fundamental, alpha-seeking strategies and low-cost index strategies.

"Not only could the factor lens result in outcomes more suited to an investor's objectives; it can also increase transparency, help explain portfolio movements and clarify an active manager's skill in an efficient, scalable and cost-efficient way," continued Mr. Waldner. "With a clear understanding of a strategy's factor exposures, alpha-generating ability and costs, investors have more information to help determine the likelihood of achieving their desired result."

"As such, a single-factor solution may be used to complete a portfolio that could lack exposure to a desired factor," concluded Mr. Raol. "For example, additional exposure to the quality factor could balance the natural carry and value tilts of the median active manager. However, as single factors can go through long periods of outperformance and underperformance relative to the benchmark, a multi-factor solution may be more desirable where investors are seeking long-term exposure to all factor premiums in an efficient and risk-controlled manner."

Invesco offers both active and passive factor-based, fixed income investment vehicles. To access the full paper, "Active bond returns – powered by factors," please click here, or to learn more about Invesco Fixed Income, please visit www.invesco.com.

About Invesco
Invesco Advisers, Inc., an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd.  Invesco is an independent investment management firm dedicated to delivering an investment experience that helps people get more out of life. NYSE: IVZ; www.invesco.com.  

Disclosures This is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument and should not be relied upon as the sole factor in an investment making decision. As with all investments there are associated inherent risks.   This should not be considered a recommendation to purchase any investment product. This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy for a particular investor.   Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions if they are uncertain whether an investment is suitable for them. Please obtain and review all financial material carefully before investing. 

SOURCE Invesco Ltd.

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http://www.invesco.com

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