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      Harley-Davidson Reports Third Quarter 2016 Earnings

      New Model Year Motorcycles Drive Increased Retail Sales in September


      News provided by

      Harley-Davidson, Inc.

      Oct 18, 2016, 06:55 ET

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      MILWAUKEE, Oct. 18, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) third quarter 2016 diluted earnings per share decreased 7.2 percent to $0.64 compared to diluted EPS of $0.69 in the same period in 2015. Net income was $114.1 million on consolidated revenue of $1.27 billion compared to net income of $140.3 million on consolidated revenue of $1.32 billion in the third quarter of 2015.

      Harley-Davidson worldwide retail motorcycle sales in the third quarter were down 4.5 percent, primarily on weak U.S. industry trends. Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales in the U.S. were down 7.1 percent compared to the year-ago quarter, with the overall U.S. industry also down for the same period. Harley-Davidson's U.S. market share for the quarter was 52.3 percent in the 601cc-plus segment, essentially flat compared to the third quarter in 2015. Harley-Davidson international retail sales increased by 1.0 percent over the prior year quarter.

      "We continue to effectively navigate a fiercely competitive environment and an ongoing weak U.S. industry," said Matt Levatich, president and chief executive officer, Harley-Davidson, Inc. "We are pleased with the positive results and the enthusiasm we've seen for our Model Year 2017 motorcycles, featuring the new Milwaukee-Eight engine. We are confident that the entire line-up will drive retail sales growth for the remainder of 2016 and position us well heading into the spring riding season next year."

      The Milwaukee-Eight™ engine packs innovative technologies that deliver improved horsepower, torque, and comfort and enhanced sound. It was introduced on Touring motorcycles in August as part of the Model Year 2017 product launch. Response to the new model year motorcycles drove increased retail sales in September over prior year.

      Through nine months, Harley-Davidson 2016 net income was $645.0 million on consolidated revenue of $4.89 billion compared to nine-month 2015 net income of $710.0 million on consolidated revenue of $4.81 billion. Diluted EPS was $3.55 compared to diluted EPS of $3.41 in the year-ago period. Worldwide retail motorcycle sales were down 1.9 percent compared to the same period in 2015. International retail sales were up 3.3 percent, offset by a decline of 4.7 percent in U.S. retail sales.

      Recognizing the continued slower industry growth in the U.S., the company will streamline its operations in the fourth quarter of 2016. It expects to incur expenses of approximately $20 million to $25 million in the fourth quarter, primarily for employee separation and reorganization costs.

      "Our value as a company and as a brand is the sum of 113 years of commitment to our riders and the freedom seekers we will inspire to ride in the future," said Levatich. "We remain intensely focused on growing the sport and delivering strong business results."

      Retail Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Sales

      $ in thousands

      3rd Quarter

      Nine Months

      2016

      2015

      Change

      2016

      2015

      Change

      Americas Region







         U.S.

      45,469

      48,918

      (7.1)%

      135,581

      142,196

      (4.7)%

         Canada

      2,663

      2,554

      4.3%

      8,946

      8,414

      6.3%

         Latin America

      2,605

      2,818

      (7.6)%

      7,064

      8,091

      (12.7)%

      Europe, Middle East, Africa (EMEA) Region

      10,224

      10,031

      1.9%

      37,947

      35,598

      6.6%

      Asia Pacific Region

      7,994

      7,857

      1.7%

      24,141

      23,471

      2.9%

      Worldwide Total

      68,955

      72,178

      (4.5)%

      213,679

      217,770

      (1.9)%

      Retail sales in EMEA were up 1.9 percent in the third quarter and up 6.6 percent for the first nine months due to the popularity of Model Year 2016 cruiser motorcycles and our focus on driving demand through test rides. Asia Pacific retail sales were up 1.7 percent in the quarter and up 2.9 percent for the first nine months compared to 2015 behind strong growth in Australia and Japan.

      Motorcycles and Related Products Segment Results

      $ in thousands

      3rd Quarter

      Nine Months

      2016

      2015

      Change

      2016

      2015

      Change

      Motorcycle Shipments (vehicles)

      48,611

      53,472

      (9.1)%

      219,807

      218,233

      0.7%

      Revenue







         Motorcycles

      788,856

      812,398

      (2.9)%

      3,437,066

      3,376,356

      1.8%

         Parts & Accessories

      231,279

      252,226

      (8.3)%

      673,192

      692,938

      (2.8)%

         General Merchandise

      65,289

      69,008

      (5.4)%

      211,664

      212,954

      (0.6)%

      Gross Margin Percent

      33.6

      34.6

      (1.0)pts

      36.1

      37.9

      (1.8)pts

      Operating Income

      108,929

      143,065

      (23.9)%

      764,135

      869,122

      (12.1)%

      Operating Margin Percent

      10.0%

      12.5%

      (2.5)pts

      17.6%

      20.2%

      (2.6)pts

      Revenue from motorcycles and related products was down compared to the third quarter in 2015, primarily behind decreased motorcycle shipments. Operating margin as a percent of revenue decreased versus the prior year as a result of lower gross margin behind unfavorable manufacturing expense and higher year-over-year SG&A.

      Financial Services Segment Results

      $ in thousands

       3rd Quarter

      Nine Months

      2016

      2015

      Change

      2016

      2015

      Change

      Revenue

      183,183

      177,109

      3.4%

      547,505

      513,093

      6.7%

      Operating Income

      69,447

      72,771

      (4.6)%

      215,391

      219,348

      (1.8)%

      Operating income from financial services was down 4.6 percent in the third quarter compared to the year ago period.

      Guidance
      Harley-Davidson continues to expect to ship 264,000 to 269,000 motorcycles in 2016, which is approximately down 1 percent to up 1 percent from 2015. In the fourth quarter of 2016, the company expects to ship 44,200 to 49,200 motorcycles compared to 48,149 motorcycles shipped in the year-ago period. The company continues to expect full-year 2016 operating margin of approximately 15 to 16 percent for the Motorcycles segment. The company continues to expect 2016 capital expenditures for Harley-Davidson, Inc. of $255 million to $275 million.

      Income Tax Rate
      For the first nine months, Harley-Davidson's effective tax rate was 32.9 percent compared to 34.8 percent in 2015. The company continues to expect its full-year 2016 effective tax rate will be approximately 33 percent.

      Cash Flow
      Cash and marketable securities totaled $795.3 million at the end of the third quarter, compared to $1.42 billion a year ago. During the first nine months of the year, Harley-Davidson generated $927.8 million of cash from operating activities compared to $1.02 billion for the same period in 2015.

      Shareholder Returns
      In the third quarter, the company paid a cash dividend of $0.35 per share. During the same time period, on a discretionary basis, the company repurchased 2.1 million shares of Harley-Davidson common stock for $104.6 million. Also in the third quarter, there were approximately 179.3 million weighted-average diluted shares outstanding, compared to approximately 204.6 million shares in the year-ago quarter. As of September 25, 2016, a total of 20.9 million shares remained on board-approved share repurchase authorizations.

      Company Background
      Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Since 1903, Harley-Davidson Motor Company has fulfilled dreams of personal freedom with custom, cruiser and touring motorcycles, riding experiences and events and a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise, riding gear and apparel. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing, insurance, extended service and other protection plans and credit card programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and riders in the U.S., Canada and other select international markets. For more information, visit Harley-Davidson's Web site at www.harley-davidson.com.

      Conference Call and Webcast Presentation
      Harley-Davidson will discuss third-quarter results on a Webcast at 8:00 a.m. CT today. The supporting slides will be posted prior to the call and can be accessed at http://investor.harley-davidson.com under "Events and Presentations." The audio portion of today's call will also be posted approximately two hours after the call concludes.

      Forward-Looking Statements
      The company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are "forward-looking statements" intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the company "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "plans," or "estimates" or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, unfavorably or favorably, from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

      The company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the company's ability to (i) execute its business strategy, (ii) manage through changes in general economic conditions, including changing capital, credit and retail markets, and political events, (iii) prevent a cybersecurity breach involving consumer, employee, dealer, supplier, or company data and respond to evolving regulatory requirements regarding data security, (iv) drive demand by executing its marketing strategy of appealing to and growing sales to multi-generational and multi-cultural customers worldwide in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (v) manage the impact that prices for and supply of used motorcycles may have on its business, including on retail sales of new motorcycles and collections, (vi) develop and introduce products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (vii) balance production volumes for its new motorcycles with consumer demand, including in circumstances where competitors may be supplying new motorcycles to the market in excess of demand at reduced prices, (viii) prevent and detect any issues with its motorcycles or any associated manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, regulatory agency investigations, increased warranty costs or litigation and adverse effects on its reputation and brand strength, (ix) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS' loan portfolio, (x) accurately estimate and adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (xi) effectively execute reorganization actions within expected costs and realize the expected benefits of those actions, (xii) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributors and dealers and manage the risks that its independent dealers may have difficulty obtaining capital and managing through changing economic conditions and consumer demand, (xiii) manage risks that arise through expanding international manufacturing, operations and sales, (xiv) manage through the effects inconsistent and unpredictable weather and weather patterns may have on retail sales of motorcycles, (xv) manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters, (xvi) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology systems, including systems at its manufacturing facilities, (xvii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (xviii) retain and attract talented employees, (xix) manage its exposure to product liability claims and commercial or contractual disputes, (xx) execute its flexible production strategy, (xxi) adjust to healthcare inflation and reform, pension reform and tax changes, (xxii) successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms (including interest rates) that are acceptable to the company and within its expectations, and (xxiii) continue to manage the relationships and agreements that the company has with its labor unions to help drive long-term competitiveness.

      In addition, the company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

      The company's ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the company's independent dealers to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the company. In addition, the company's independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.

      Harley-Davidson, Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

      (In thousands, except per share amounts)




      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)



      Three months ended


      Nine months ended



      September 25, 


      September 27,


      September 25, 


      September 27,



      2016


      2015


      2016


      2015










      Motorcycles and related products revenue


      $    1,091,630


      $   1,140,321


      $    4,338,353


      $   4,301,674

      Gross profit


      367,019


      394,039


      1,564,857


      1,631,528

      Selling, administrative and engineering expense


      258,090


      250,974


      800,722


      762,406

        Operating income from motorcycles & related products


      108,929


      143,065


      764,135


      869,122










      Financial services revenue


      183,183


      177,109


      547,505


      513,093

      Financial services expense


      113,736


      104,338


      332,114


      293,745

        Operating income from financial services


      69,447


      72,771


      215,391


      219,348










      Operating income


      178,376


      215,836


      979,526


      1,088,470

      Investment income


      2,300


      3,211


      3,754


      5,983

      Interest expense


      7,706


      4,879


      21,968


      4,897

      Income before income taxes


      172,970


      214,168


      961,312


      1,089,556

      Provision for income taxes


      58,905


      73,821


      316,327


      379,545

      Net income


      $       114,065


      $      140,347


      $       644,985


      $      710,011










      Earnings per common share:









        Basic


      $            0.64


      $           0.69


      $            3.57


      $           3.43

        Diluted


      $            0.64


      $           0.69


      $            3.55


      $           3.41










      Weighted-average common shares:









        Basic


      178,438


      203,598


      180,779


      207,255

        Diluted


      179,320


      204,580


      181,582


      208,282










      Cash dividends per common share


      $            0.35


      $           0.31


      $            1.05


      $           0.93




















      Harley-Davidson, Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets(1)

      (In thousands)










      (Unaudited)




      (Unaudited)



      September 25,


      December 31,


      September 27,



      2016


      2015


      2015








      ASSETS







      Current assets:







          Cash and cash equivalents


      $       790,284


      $      722,209


      $    1,368,554

          Marketable securities


      5,038


      45,192


      47,358

          Accounts receivable, net


      346,176


      247,405


      294,054

          Finance receivables, net


      2,205,644


      2,053,582


      2,068,873

          Inventories


      426,547


      585,907


      466,657

          Restricted cash


      65,088


      88,267


      113,499

          Other current assets


      263,567


      235,321


      251,225

      Total current assets


      4,102,344


      3,977,883


      4,610,220








      Finance receivables, net


      4,944,322


      4,814,571


      5,009,473

      Other long-term assets


      1,165,560


      1,180,523


      1,092,341



      $  10,212,226


      $   9,972,977


      $  10,712,034








      LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY







      Current liabilities:







          Accounts payable & accrued liabilities


      $       798,127


      $      707,578


      $       781,246

          Short-term debt


      1,055,428


      1,201,380


      990,049

          Current portion of long-term debt, net


      700,152


      838,349


      885,889

      Total current liabilities


      2,553,707


      2,747,307


      2,657,184








      Long-term debt, net


      5,170,609


      4,832,469


      5,040,644

      Pension and postretirement healthcare liabilities


      303,319


      358,547


      254,864

      Other long-term liabilities


      192,223


      195,000


      199,669








      Total shareholders' equity


      1,992,368


      1,839,654


      2,559,673



      $  10,212,226


      $   9,972,977


      $  10,712,034









      (1)

      ASU 2015-03 Interest - Imputation of Interest (Subtopic 835-30) Simplifying the Presentation of Debt Issuance Costs was adopted retrospectively on January 1, 2016. Debt issuance costs in Other current assets and Other long-term assets have been reclassified to Current-portion of long-term debt, net and Long-term debt, net for 2015 balances to reflect the adoption of the new guidance.

      Harley-Davidson, Inc.

      Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

       (In thousands)




      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)



      Nine months ended



      September 25,


      September 27,



      2016


      2015






      Net cash provided by operating activities


      $       927,809


      $   1,020,957






      Cash flows from investing activities:





        Capital expenditures


      (162,726)


      (139,054)

        Finance receivables, net


      (569,013)


      (719,472)

        Proceeds from sale of finance receivables


      312,571


      -

        Net change in marketable securities


      40,014


      9,500

        Acquisition of business 


      -


      (59,910)

        Other


      251


      5,172

      Net cash used by investing activities


      (378,903)


      (903,764)






      Cash flows from financing activities:





        Proceeds from issuance of senior unsecured notes


      -


      740,949

        Proceeds from issuance of medium-term notes


      1,193,396


      595,386

        Repayments of medium-term notes


      (451,336)


      (600,000)

        Proceeds from securitization debt


      -


      1,195,668

        Repayments of securitization debt


      (535,616)


      (764,909)

        Net (decrease) increase in credit facilities and unsecured commercial paper


      (146,328)


      258,734

        Borrowings of asset-backed commercial paper


      33,428


      69,191

        Repayments of asset-backed commercial paper


      (55,170)


      (55,124)

        Net change in restricted cash


      30,981


      (15,165)

        Dividends paid


      (190,387)


      (191,451)

        Purchase of common stock for treasury


      (374,234)


      (894,565)

        Excess tax benefits from share-based payments


      1,291


      2,878

        Issuance of common stock under employee stock option plans


      6,444


      16,755

      Net cash (used by) provided by financing activities


      (487,531)


      358,347






      Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents


      6,700


      (13,666)






      Net increase in cash and cash equivalents


      $        68,075


      $      461,874






      Cash and cash equivalents:





        Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period


      $       722,209


      $      906,680

        Net increase in cash and cash equivalents


      68,075


      461,874

        Cash and cash equivalents - end of period


      $       790,284


      $   1,368,554






      Motorcycles and Related Products Revenue and

       Motorcycle Shipment Data




      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)


      (Unaudited)



      Three months ended


      Nine months ended



      September 25,


      September 27,


      September 25,


      September 27,



      2016


      2015


      2016


      2015

      MOTORCYCLES AND RELATED PRODUCTS REVENUE (in thousands)









        Motorcycles


      $       788,856


      $      812,398


      $    3,437,066


      $   3,376,356

        Parts & Accessories


      231,279


      252,226


      673,192


      692,938

        General Merchandise


      65,289


      69,008


      211,664


      212,954

        Other


      6,206


      6,689


      16,431


      19,426



      $    1,091,630


      $   1,140,321


      $    4,338,353


      $   4,301,674










      MOTORCYCLE SHIPMENTS:









          United States


      26,269


      30,092


      141,708


      141,884

          International


      22,342


      23,380


      78,099


      76,349

            Total 


      48,611


      53,472


      219,807


      218,233










      MOTORCYCLE PRODUCT MIX:









          Touring


      23,295


      21,994


      89,467


      95,354

          Cruiser


      13,986


      18,405


      78,570


      71,753

          Sportster® / Street


      11,330


      13,073


      51,770


      51,126

            Total


      48,611


      53,472


      219,807


      218,233

























      Worldwide Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles(1)












      Three months ended


      Nine months ended



      September 30,


      September 30,


      September 30,


      September 30,



      2016


      2015


      2016


      2015

      Americas Region









        United States


      45,469


      48,918


      135,581


      142,196

        Canada


      2,663


      2,554


      8,946


      8,414

        Latin America


      2,605


      2,818


      7,064


      8,091

          Total Americas Region


      50,737


      54,290


      151,591


      158,701










      Europe, Middle East and Africa Region (EMEA)









        Europe(2)


      8,807


      8,441


      32,590


      30,720

        Other


      1,417


      1,590


      5,357


      4,878

          Total EMEA Region


      10,224


      10,031


      37,947


      35,598










      Asia Pacific Region









        Japan


      2,762


      2,642


      7,631


      7,194

        Other


      5,232


      5,215


      16,510


      16,277

          Total Asia Pacific Region


      7,994


      7,857


      24,141


      23,471










          Total Worldwide Retail Sales


      68,955


      72,178


      213,679


      217,770










          Total International Retail Sales


      23,486


      23,260


      78,098


      75,574











      (1)

      Data source for retail sales figures shown above is new sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning new retail sales, and this information is subject to revision.



      (2)

      Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.


      Motorcycle Registration Data(1)








      Nine months ended



      September 30,


      September 30,



      2016


      2015

      United States(2) 


      263,479


      279,013

      Europe(3)


      337,694


      313,302







      (1)

      Data includes on-road 601+cc models. On-road 601+cc models include dual purpose models, three-wheeled motorcycles and autocycles. 



      (2) 

      United States data is derived from information provided by Motorcycle Industry Council (MIC). This third party data is subject to revision and update.  



      (3) 

      Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 601+cc models derived from information provided by Association des Constructeurs Europeens de Motocycles (ACEM), an independent agency. This third-party data is subject to revision and update. 

      SOURCE Harley-Davidson, Inc.

      Modal title

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