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      Sixty-One Percent of Occupations Projected to Lose Jobs Over the Next Five Years are Middle-Wage, According to CareerBuilder and Emsi Research

      - Study Highlights Top Occupations Gaining and Losing Jobs in High-, Middle- and Low-Wage Categories


      News provided by

      CareerBuilder

      Aug 05, 2016, 12:05 ET

      Share this article

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      CHICAGO, Aug. 5, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- The U.S. economy is expected to add 7,232,517 jobs over the next five years — a 5 percent increase — but a new study from CareerBuilder and Emsi shows that workers in middle-wage jobs may not find as many opportunities.

      High-wage and low-wage occupations are each projected to grow 5 percent from 2016 to 2021, but middle-wage jobs are only estimated to grow 3 percent. At the same time, 61 percent of the 173 occupations expected to lose jobs over the next five years are in the middle-wage category.

      Continue Reading
      CareerBuilder logo
      CareerBuilder logo

      "The U.S. is facing a sustained trend of declining middle-wage employment that has serious implications not only for workers, but for the economy overall," said Matt Ferguson, CEO of CareerBuilder and co-author of The Talent Equation. "If we can't find a way to re-skill and up-skill workers at scale, middle-wage workers will become increasingly susceptible to unemployment or will have to move into lower-paying roles that may not support them and their families. This can have a negative ripple effect on consumer spend, housing, investing and other key financial indicators."

      Occupations Adding and Losing Jobs by Wage Category
      For the purpose of this study, CareerBuilder and Emsi defined low-wage jobs as those that pay $13.83 per hour and below; middle-wage jobs earn $13.84 - $21.13 per hour; and high-wage occupations make $21.14 per hour and higher. ¹

      The following is a list of occupations that rank among the top for projected growth or declines in employment for each wage category from 2016 to 2021. Each of the growing occupations listed are those adding at least 50,000 jobs over the next five years.

      Growing High-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Software Developers, Applications

      772,195

      861,122

      88,927

      12%

      Computer Systems Analysts

      600,001

      671,245

      71,244

      12%

      Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists

      532,336

      590,363

      58,027

      11%

      Management Analysts

      798,484

      870,713

      72,229

      9%

      Registered Nurses

      2,870,340

      3,116,957

      246,617

      9%

      Declining High-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Postal Service Mail Carriers

      303,325

      279,023

      (24,302)

      (8%)

      Reporters and Correspondents

      47,501

      44,063

      (3,438)

      (7%)

      Construction Managers

      368,245

      350,774

      (17,471)

      (5%)

      Real Estate Sales Agents

      415,006

      400,417

      (14,589)

      (4%)

      First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

      622,435

      617,020

      (5,415)

      (1%)

      Growing Middle-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Medical Assistants

      631,435

      701,056

      69,621

      11%

      Customer Service Representatives

      2,674,925

      2,846,989

      172,064

      6%

      Maintenance and Repair Workers

      1,466,944

      1,535,161

      68,217

      5%

      Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

      1,926,886

      2,009,133

      82,247

      4%

      Office Clerks

      3,365,039

      3,489,518

      124,479

      4%

      Declining Middle-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Printing Press Operators

      174,311

      159,083

      (15,228)

      (9%)

      Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

      494,879

      458,732

      (36,147)

      (7%)

      Travel Agents

      77,683

      72,789

      (4,894)

      (6%)

      Carpenters

      1,053,273

      1,031,359

      (21,914)

      (2%)

      Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks

      1,780,151

      1,752,270

      (27,881)

      (2%)

      Growing Low-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Home Health Aides

      992,134

      1,179,527

      187,393

      19%

      Cooks, Restaurant

      1,219,433

      1,333,041

      113,608

      9%

      Nursing Assistants

      1,520,614

      1,655,662

      135,048

      9%

      Security Guards

      1,185,116

      1,260,953

      75,837

      6%

      Janitors and Cleaners

      2,632,801

      2,792,345

      159,544

      6%

      Declining Low-Wage Occupations

      Occupation

      2016 Jobs

      2021 Jobs

      Job Added 2016 - 2021

      2016 - 2021  % Change

      Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors

      78,078

      64,271

      (13,807)

      (18%)

      Sewing Machine Operators

      157,931

      135,575

      (22,356)

      (14%)

      Floral Designers

      53,876

      48,391

      (5,485)

      (10%)

      Cooks, Fast Food

      545,746

      530,839

      (14,907)

      (3%)

      Tellers

      501,879

      490,202

      (11,677)

      (2%)

      1 Definition from the National Employment Law Project

      About Emsi
      Emsi (Economic Modeling Specialists Intl.) is a CareerBuilder company that provides industry-leading employment data and economic analysis via web tools and custom reports. Emsi turns vast amounts of labor market data into easy-to-use information that helps organizations understand the connection between economies, people, and work, and ultimately build a better workforce. Emsi's software services - Analyst and Career Coach - are used by thousands of professionals in higher education, workforce and economic development, and the private sector. Emsi has also produced more than 1,400 comprehensive impact analyses for colleges and universities in the U.S. and internationally. For more information, visit www.economicmodeling.com.

      About CareerBuilder®
      As the global leader in human capital solutions, CareerBuilder specializes in cutting-edge HR software as a service to help companies with every step of the recruitment process from acquire to hire. CareerBuilder works with top employers across industries, providing job distribution, sourcing, workflow, CRM, data and analytics in one pre-hire platform. It also operates leading job sites around the world. Owned by TEGNA Inc. (NYSE:TGNA), Tribune Media (NYSE:TRCO) and The McClatchy Company (NYSE:MNI), CareerBuilder and its subsidiaries operate in the United States, Europe, South America, Canada and Asia. For more information, visit www.careerbuilder.com.

      Media Contact
      Rob Zaldivar
      312.698.1042312.698.1042 
      [email protected]
      http://www.twitter.com/CareerBuilderPR

      Logo - http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20160804/395710LOGO

      SOURCE CareerBuilder

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