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S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices Show Increases in Default Rates

Bank Card and Second Mortgages increase in defaults in April


News provided by

Standard & Poor's

May 17, 2011, 09:29 ET

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NEW YORK, May 17, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Data through April 2011, released today by S&P Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed an increase in bank card and second mortgages default rates for the first time in at least five months. Bank Card defaults went up from 5.59% in March to 5.91% in April and Second Mortgages increased from 1.42% to 1.51%.  First Mortgages experienced a fairy large decrease in default rates down to 2.16% from 2.33%, while Auto Loan had a small decrease to 1.45%.

"We had seen default rates fall across all major categories and most major cities during the prior six months, but given April's data that might be coming to end.  The real question is whether April was temporary or are household balance sheets worsening?" said David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Indices. "In addition, there are some significant differences across credit types and MSAs. Bank Card default rates went up in April, after having fallen each of the past 11 months; and the data indicate that the rate of default on credit cards is still 5.90%, more than twice any of the other loan classes.  We see a similar situation in the Miami Composite Index. While well below the 10.26% rate we saw for Miami in November 2010, that market is registering default rates of 5.40%. The other four MSAs we follow registered no higher than 2.60% in April.  Like most economic recoveries, while there will be general trends we do expect to see differences across loan classes and regions."

Consumer credit defaults varied across major cities and regions of the U.S. Among the five major Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) reported in this release each month, Los Angeles and New York lead the way with the largest decrease in defaults rates to 2.57% and 2.11%, from 2.73% and 2.26%, respectively. Chicago and Dallas followed not far behind with defaults decreasing to 2.48% and 1.56%.  Miami's default rates increase this month to 5.40% from 5.33%.

The table below summarizes the April 2011 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.


S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices

National Indices

Index

April

Index

Level

Change

from March,

2011

Change

from

April

2010

Composite

2.30

-5.26%

-40.36%

First Mortgage

2.16

-7.30%

-41.75%

Second Mortgage

1.51

+6.03%

-39.39%

Bank Card

5.91

+5.71%

-35.45%

Auto Loans

1.45

-1.70%

-25.29%

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices

Data through April 2011

The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:


Metropolitan Statistical Area

April

Index

Level

Change

from

March,

2011

Change

from

April

2010

New York

2.11

-6.66%

-48.77%

Chicago

2.48

-5.81%

-42.31%

Dallas

1.56

-5.26%

-42.27%

Los Angeles

2.57

-6.18%

-50.07%

Miami

5.40

+1.24%

-48.18%

Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices

Data through April 2011

Jointly developed by Standard & Poor's and Experian, the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are published on the third Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the default experience of consumer balances in four key loan categories: auto, bankcard, first mortgage lien and second mortgage lien. The Indices are calculated based on data extracted from Experian's consumer credit database. This database is populated with individual consumer loan and payment data submitted by lenders to Experian every month. Experian's base of data contributors includes leading banks and mortgage companies, and covers approximately $11 trillion in outstanding loans sourced from 11,500 lenders.

For more information, please visit: www.consumercreditindices.standardandpoors.com.

About S&P Indices

S&P Indices, a part of McGraw-Hill Financial, is the world's leading index provider maintaining a wide variety of investable and benchmark indices. Over $1.25 trillion is directly indexed to Standard & Poor's family of indices, which includes the S&P 500, the world's most followed stock market index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, the S&P Global BMI, an index with approximately 11,000 constituents, the S&P GSCI, the industry's most closely watched commodities index, and the S&P National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index, the premier investable index for U.S. municipal bonds. For more information, please visit www.standardandpoors.com/indices.  

Standard & Poor's does not sponsor, endorse, sell or promote any S&P index-based investment product. The S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices are products of S&P Indices, which operates independently of Standard & Poor's Ratings Group. Standard & Poor's Ratings Group plays no role in the compilation, distribution or licensing of the Indices.

About Experian Capital Markets

Formed as a response to market needs, Experian Capital Markets leverages Experian's comprehensive U.S. consumer and business databases to provide data and analytics to serve the transparency needs of the structured finance market participants. By taking underlying borrower data and applying advanced analytics, Experian provides insight into U.S. consumer and business credit behavior across all obligations, helping to forecast future payment patterns on prepayments, delinquencies, charge-offs or defaults for non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities and other asset-backed securities.

About Experian

Experian is the leading global information services company, providing data and analytical tools to clients in more than 90 countries. The company helps businesses to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers and automate decision making. Experian also helps individuals to check their credit report and credit score and protect against identity theft.

Experian plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (EXPN) and is a constituent of the FTSE 100 index. Total revenue for the year ended March 31, 2010, was $3.9 billion. Experian employs approximately 15,000 people in 40 countries and has its corporate headquarters in Dublin, Ireland, with operational headquarters in Nottingham, UK; Costa Mesa, California; and Sao Paulo, Brazil.

For more information, visit http://www.experianplc.com.

Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.

For more information:


Dave Guarino

Standard & Poor's

Communications

212-438-1471

[email protected]

David Blitzer

Standard & Poor's

Chairman of the Index Committee

212-438-3907

[email protected]

Susan Henson

Experian Public Relations

714-830-5129

[email protected]




This document does not constitute an offer of services in jurisdictions where Standard & Poor's or its affiliates do not have the necessary licenses.  Standard & Poor's receives compensation in connection with licensing its indices to third parties.

All information provided by Standard & Poor's is impersonal and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group of persons.  Standard & Poor's, its affiliates and its third party licensors do not sponsor, endorse, sell, promote or manage any investment fund or other vehicle that is offered by third parties and that seeks to provide an investment return based on the returns of any Standard & Poor's index. Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors are not investment advisors, and Standard & Poor's, its affiliates and its third party licensors make no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other vehicle.  A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other vehicle should not be made in reliance on any of the statements set forth in this presentation. Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other vehicle. Inclusion of a security within an index is not a recommendation by Standard & Poor's or its third party licensors to buy, sell, or hold such security, nor is it considered to be investment advice. Exposure to an asset class is available through investable instruments based on an index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. There is no assurance that investment products based on the index will accurately track index performance or provide positive investment returns.

Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors do not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness and/or completeness of any Standard & Poor's index, any data included therein, or any data from which it is based, or any communication with respect thereto, including, but not limited to, oral or written communications (including electronic communications) with respect thereto.  STANDARD & POOR'S AND ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS MAKE NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE MARKS, THE INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN.  STANDARD & POOR'S AND ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS SHALL NOT BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS, OMISSIONS OR DELAYS IN THE INDEX OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN AND THE DISSEMINATION THEREOF.  Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors make no warranties, express or implied, as to results to be obtained from use of information provided by Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors and used in this service, and Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors expressly disclaim all warranties of suitability with respect thereto.  Without limiting the foregoing, the Indices are calculated by Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors based on a sampling of data reported to Standard & Poor's or its third party licensor from third parties, and neither Standard & Poor's nor its third party licensors verify the adequacy, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of such data.  Neither Standard & Poor's nor its third party licensor guarantee that such data and/or the sampling thereof shall be representative of the rate of actual consumer credit default or of any other attribute or activity.  

Neither Standard & Poor's nor its third party licensors shall be liable for any claims or losses of any nature in connection with information contained in this document, including but not limited to, lost profits or punitive or consequential damages, even if it is advised of the possibility of same. These materials have been prepared solely for informational purposes. Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors make no representation with respect to the accuracy or completeness of these materials, the content of which may change without notice. The methodology involves rebalancing and maintenance of the indices that are made periodically during each year and may not, therefore, reflect real-time information. Standard & Poor's and its third party licensors shall not have any obligation to update any published index in light of any change to the data used to calculate such index or to provide anyone with notice of such change.  

Analytic services and products provided by Standard & Poor's are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of each analytic process.  Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during each analytic process.  Standard & Poor's and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to, many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers, broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.

WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT WHATSOEVER SHALL STANDARD & POOR'S OR ITS THIRD PARTY LICENSORS BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, LOSS OF PROFITS, TRADING LOSSES, LOST TIME OR GOODWILL, EVEN IF THEY HAVE BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY OR OTHERWISE.  No third party, including any sublicensee, investor, customer or user of a product, is intended to be a third party beneficiary to any agreement between or among any of licensee, Standard & Poor's and/or any of its third party licensors.

Copyright © 2011 by Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. All rights reserved.

Redistribution, reproduction and/or photocopying in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission.

S&P, S&P 500, and STANDARD & POOR'S are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.

© 2011 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. • All rights reserved

SOURCE Standard & Poor's

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